The Nub

 the_nub_apr2009.html

(Posted: 4/30/09)

What Baseball and the Bailout Have in Common

Any baseball fan meeting friends from the other side of the political field knows how to avoid a verbal brawl: “How about those Mets (Yanks, Red Sox, etc.)?”  Baseball can bring opponents together, at least for the moment, providing a common base of interest.

MIT Prof. Simon Johnson says the bank bailout is playing like baseball; it has created common ground on which the left and right can stand..  Appearing on Bill Moyers Journal last weekend, Johnson, a former International Monetary Fund executive, said all of us bailout-bashers on the third-base side of the diamond have company:

“Everyone's worried about…the disproportion of power in the hands of a relatively few financial big players…You can worry about it from a left point of view. You say, ‘Well, this is just unfair and it obviously affects distribution of power and income.’  You can worry about it from a right point of view because it leads to corporate welfare.  Actually, I think everyone's opposed to corporate welfare (for) these big players.”

Johnson says the banking big guys think they’ve won, and they’re right: “They got the bailout. They got the money they needed to stay in business. They got a vast line of credit from the taxpayer…The banks have (even succeeded in getting) control of the state… Not the state control of the banks.  If the state had control of the banks, the banks wouldn't be able to turn around and say, no on your Chrysler deal and no way on modifying the rules about mortgages…”

The chances of a public outcry leading to fairer government measures are not good, says Johnson.  Why? “We're having a moment of relative clarity right now where a lot of people are agreeing. But these things pass.  

“The baseball season is upon us.”

Historical note: “(In) the Depression of 1929-31…Britain’s was the first major economy to turn the corner…(It) spen(t) on new housing, which reanimated the construction industry…In France, by contrast, governments…lent large sums to banks…and lost it.”
                      - From The Penguin History of the Second World War (reissue 1999)

                     -     -     -
From the e-mailbag, re baseball’s racist history (previous Nub): The disgrace to MLB is the failure to honor Commisioner Albert ("Happy") Chandler's role in causing the color line to be broken.  The vote to dishonor the Dodgers' contract with Jackie Robinson was 15-to-1 with all owners -- apart from the Dodgers -- voting against.  Chandler, former Kentucky senator, overrode the racists,  He was rewarded by having his contract not renewed.  (Commisioner Kenesaw Mountain) Landis, a devout racist, denied Bill Veeck's effort purchase the Phillies in 1944 upon learning that Veeck planned to engergize the ‘Phutile’ Phillies by hiring Negro players.”
                                                                               
David Schechter, Wilmette, IL

“Unwatchable,” a word easily associated with the ’08 Mets, is fast becoming applicable to the doleful ’09 edition.  Worse, the NY Post’s Kevin Kernan is already saying the unsayable about Omar Minaya’s Mets:  Kernan suggested the other day that the NY team with the second highest mlb payroll could finish the season under-.500.

Tuesday night’s TV lineup offered a perfect illustration of the fan-appeal challenge facing the Mets in their competition with the Yanks.  What attentive fan would choose to watch Livan Hernandez pitch against the Marlins rather than see young Phil Hughes take on the Tigers?  Another Omar salvage project on SNY, a prospect on YES.  Multiply that disadvantage four (non-Santana) games out of five and one could almost sympathize with the over-hyped, under-clutched Metsies.
                                      - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)



(Posted: 4/28/09)

When Racism, Fascism Went to Bat

Observance this month of Jackie Robinson’s breakthrough 52 years ago points to a gap in baseball’s voluminous history: the racist period.  Details of the behind-the-scenes maneuvering by the mlb commissioner and owners to keep the pro sport segregated during its first half-century have remained unreported.  (Commish Kenesaw Mountain Landis was sometimes called the “Great White Father.”) That nothing useful could come of compiling such a report - baseball’s implicit stance – is, we know, also at the center of a political debate these days:  whether to disclose more detailed information about torture and those involved.   

International Herald Tribune columnist William Pfaff has gone to bat forcefully for disclosure. He recalls the 1935 Sinclair Lewis novel “It Can't Happen Here” which foresaw “install(ation  of) an American counterpart to the fascist dictatorships already in power in Italy and Germany.”  That turned out to be a false alarm, says Pfaff.  But:

“When ‘It’ did happen was in 2001-2008, in the Bush administration.  There was a takeover of the government by a self-willed executive power, unprecedented in American history. The president and vice president acted on a novel and legally unsupported claim to unlimited ‘wartime’ presidential and executive-branch power. The justification was an illegal, undeclared war.

”International law and American treaty obligations were defied, as were established American law on the conduct of war and the treatment of prisoners, constitutional protections, and the surveillance of citizens.   All of this occurred without meeting serious, or at least successful, Congressional or judicial challenge, with little or no objection from the national…media….

“President Obama’s unwillingness to see his first term dominated by the crimes of the Bush administration is comprehensible.   Yet there is a limit.  The…moral vacuum  created and encouraged during the Bush years is so outrageous, perverse, sadistic and nihilistic that it demands attention…”

It’s a demand that has particular resonance today, the fifth anniversary of our first seeing photos of the horrors fellow Americans perpetrated at Abu Ghraib.

Out of the lost weekend at Fenway came a sense that the Yankees will find themselves and be all right.  One reason: Hideki Matsui is healthy enough to have reclaimed his stroke.  Another: the oft-mentioned possibility that Alex Rodriguez will be back in the lineup sometime next week.  A-Rod-added punch or not, the Yanks may well have to settle for the wild card.  The Red Sox confirmed that they are extremely deep, thanks to an impressive farm system that keeps producing young arms like Hunter Jones and Michael Bowden (not to mention Jon Lester, Justin Masterson, etc.)  When Globe reporter Adam Kilgore suggested to Tito Francona that the farm system might give him the equivalent of a 14-man pitching staff, the manager said, “Or 18 or 20.”

Anyone watching the Phillies sweep the Marlins over the weekend (on MLB and TBS), coming from behind in the ninth twice, could not help but notice the contrast between the defending champions and the Mets:  the Phils exude energy, bounce and clutch hitting.  The Mets convey the opposite of resiliency - tightness under pressure.  Re: Oliver Perez – one can almost hear Fred Wilpon saying to Omar Minaya: “$36 million!  What could you have been thinking?”

Mets have lots of pitching-woes company, the LA Angels the most striking example. Three LAA starters are on the injury shelf:  None of the three - John Lackey, Ervin Santana and Kelvim Escobar – is expected back before the end of next month.  Meanwhile, the Angels are looking to sign someone from the independent Atlantic League.
                                  - o -

(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


(Posted: 4/25/09)

Political All-Stars Event – a Scorer’s Notes

On a political playing field the other night - a Manhattan Democratic club - baseball was served up during appearances by four pol all stars.  The occasion: an NYC public advocate candidates forum involving the four – Eric Gioia, Norman Siegel, Mark Green and Bill de Blasio.  All lefties, they comprised a formidable pitching rotation.

The night’s starter Gioia, up from the Council team out of Queens, kept everybody on his toes with a rapid-fire delivery.  The newest face among the four, he established himself as a pesky comer by defying those who run the outfit in Queens and competing successfully to make the Council roster.  That was eight years ago.  Since then Gioia has been firing away on behalf of, among others, people on food stamps and residents of the huge Queensbridge Houses project in his Woodside district.  He actually tried playing for a week while living on food stamps.  And he went to bat successfully to bring services to the project.  Gioia’s energetic style has paid off dollar-wise: he’s the most well-heeled member of the rotation.

Seconds into his pitching turn, civil liberties league veteran Siegel threw a high, hard one at the city and the Yankees.  His target: their failure to keep a pledge to local residents of the area around the new Stadium. “The people in the South Bronx want their parkland back,” he said.  Twenty-two acres of public green space was traded away as part of the stadium deal.  The community has yet to get the promised compensatory recreational parcels.  Siegel delivered the locals’ case at a demonstration protesting against the delay on the new Stadium’s opening day.  He’s also bearing down on Team Bloomberg’s plan to turn over 40 percent of playing fields on Randalls Island to 20 private schools.  “This,” the combative Siegel called out, “is who I am.”

Green, looking to win the comeback-player-of-the-year award, pitched with an easy, effortless motion.  He acknowledged the high velocity of the others in the rotation.  But, he said, where they are still prospects, “I’ve shown what I can do.”  Back in the dugout, he reviewed the record book of his stint as top man on the public advocate team from 1993 to 2001.  The info accompanying his stats detailed his forcing the tobacco industry to stop appealing to young would-be smokers.  It also noted his work in disclosing that the NYPD only penalized one in 20 officers found to have committed “substantive” offenses.  Green indicated Mayor Bloomberg could expect brush-backs from him.  He said he has many new ideas to let loose if returned to the PA team.

Closer for the night Bill de Blasio, from the Council team out of Brooklyn, impressed spectators with his confident delivery.  Less familiar to Manhattan spectators than the others, he pitched the fight he led in the Council against the extension of term-limits by legislation instead of referendum.  He said affordable housing would be his focus, as it has been.  He told of getting buzzed on a plan he had formulated for affordable housing in his Park Slope neighborhood.  “When I called (deputy mayor) Dan Doctoroff about it, he said ‘Bill, we’ll fight you to the death on this one’.”  As the game was wrapping up, de Blasio was asked if he would support the Democrat in the mayoral race.  He tossed out a spirited “Yes!” before the question was even completed.

Scorers’s note:  We’ve worked in the past with Siegel and Green and have a high regard for both.  But Gioia and de Blasio are superior candidates as well.  This is surely the season’s most interesting citywide primary race   
                                    -     -     -
It seemed to us early on that, from a pitching standpoint, Omar Minaya was like the man who jumped out the window, hoping he - and the Mets -were on the first floor.  He took the chance that his starters after Johan Santana would come around; he took it even though Mike Pelfrey, Oliver Perez and John Maine were clearly an iffy trio.  Now the Mets are plunging toward the basement, and, although Jerry Manuel says he’s prepared to “address” his pitching problem, his implicit message to Minaya (through the media) is:

“Get me help!”  Mark Mulder would surely be worth a shot from Manuel’s standpoint.  No Pedro Martinez, thank you.  And, please, no more Nelson Figueroa-types.   

The Washington Post’s Tom Boswell offers some D.C. perspective on Boston’s concern about David Ortiz:  “The Red Sox better hope Kevin Youklis can keep tearing it up at No. 4 because Ortiz looks like he may have gotten old fast.  Pitchers are challenging him up and in with mediocre fastballs… and dominating him”

And here is Boswell on Lastings Millidge, newly dropped to triple-A by the Nationals:  “Looks like he's a corner OF with CF power (ie., not quite enough). I think he still has trade value. That New York Hype machine takes a long time to wear off…. The main problem perhaps: Lastings loves being a big leaguer more than he enjoys the game itself. If that ever changes, he could be a fine player.”
                                   - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 



(Posted: 4/23/09)

Baseball and Politics Differ on Looking Back

We know one reason for baseball’s popularity is its preoccupation with the past.  Fans take pride in total recall of the sport’s memorable stats and moments.  The common themes are clutch performances, excellence, even greatness.  Politics, by contrast, avoids dwelling on the - often dubious - past.  Policies and events that are error-filled, like the yanqui record in Latin America, is a pertinent example.

Skipper Obama’s polite encounter with Hugo Chavez in the Trinidad clubhouse set off a commotion in right field, in part, because the democratically-elected Venezuelan president is, for some in that field, a “dictator”, a “tyrant.”  In a typical accusation, CNN’s senior political analyst Gloria Barger complained “(Chavez) say(s) outrageous things about us.”

But what really caused a rhubarb at the Summit was the sudden presence of another player: Eduardo Galeano.  A Uruguayan who appeared in name only as the author of a book Chavez gave Obama, Galeano treaded where many Americans would prefer not to go: into the hemispheric record book.  He called his history “The Open Veins of Latin America.”

Galeano’s accounts of the U.S. “pillaging” its neighbors to the south distresses many of our political and media people.  Better to pass over purposely - they believe - names like Arbenz (of Guatemala),  Allende, and even Chavez, whom Team Bush helped depose briefly in 2002.  In a review of “Open Veins,” Salvador Allende’s cousin Isabel reminded readers of the U.S. Latin American record in the late 1900’s alone:

“It was the time of the Cold war, and the United States would not allow a leftist experiment to succeed in what Henry Kissinger called ‘its backyard.’  The Cuban revolution was enough; no other socialist project would be tolerated, even if it was the result of a democratic election.  On September 11, 1973, a Military Coup ended a century of democratic tradition in Chile and started the long reign of General Augusto Pinochet. Similar coups followed in other countries, and soon half the continent's population was living in terror.  This was a strategy designed in Washington and imposed upon the Latin American people by the economic and political forces of the right.  In every instance the military acted as mercenaries to the privileged groups in power.  Repression was organized on a large scale; torture, concentration camps, censorship, imprisonment without trial, and summary executions became common practices.  Thousands of people ‘disappeared,’  masses of exiles and refugees left their countries running for their lives…”  (Monthly Review, April 1997)

Now wonder the right attacked Obama: he accepted a record book few Americans knew existed, and fewer still want publicized.
                       -     -     -
If Edgar Allan Poe were alive today, he could entitle a story about the 2009 Mets “The Tell-Tale Lack of Heart.”  Going into last night’s game in St.Louis, six of seven Mets defeats occurred in contests in which opponents had overtaken them.  When a lead evaporates, Jerry Manuel’s team seems to lose the spunk needed to persevere to victory.  It’s a failing the Metsies displayed a year ago as well, under Willie Randolph. 

With two-plus weeks of the season completed, we have unlikely first-place teams in three of the six divisions: Florida in the NL East, and Toronto and Seattle in the AL East and West.  But the Yanks and Red Sox are already ruffling the Jays’ feathers, so they may not remain on top much longer.  Lots of fun in store this weekend at Fenway Park, with both teams, the Sox and NYYs, getting their acts together.

The Pirates’ three-game spearing of the Marlins qualifies as the biggest early-week surprise.  Bucs starter Paul Maholm is 3-0; closer Matt Capps has five saves and hasn’t given up a run.
                               - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)



(Posted: 4/21/09)

Fans Lament Distancing of Obama and Baseball

Q - What do many B. Obama and NY baseball fans have in common? 

 A - A sense that all is not as good as it should be in their world.

Both feel distanced; the Yankees and Mets have relegated the average fan to the far reaches of their new parks, each as much a mall as a place to play ball.  Early on, skipper Obama let coaches Tim Geithner and Larry Summers run the team; neither distinguished himself for fair play.  Barack’s Middle Eastern game plan has been as fuzzy as it is unpopular.  No one sees how competing both in Afghanistan and Iraq can end in wins.  

And, despite the skipper’s smiles and words, two change-averse Team Bush holdover advisors (Jeffrey Davidow, Thomas Shannon) are obstructing the sight of where Obama’s going in Latin America.

The Nation columnist Naomi Klein sees the need for a wider, more realistic perspective:

“A growing number of Obama enthusiasts are starting to entertain the possibility that their man is not, in fact, going to save the world if we all just hope really hard.

“This is a good thing. If the superfan culture that brought Obama to power is going to transform itself into an independent political movement, one fierce enough to produce programs capable of meeting the current crises, we are all going to have to stop hoping and start demanding…

“Hope was a fine slogan when rooting for a long-shot presidential candidate.  But as a posture toward the president of the most powerful nation on earth, it is dangerously deferential.  The task as we move forward (as Obama likes to say) is not to abandon hope but to find more appropriate homes for it…”

Klein urges small-ball activism rather than waiting for the skipper, remote in the stately white dugout, to push the buttons that make good things happen.
                              -     -     -
Sunday at the new Stadium, 9,000 no-shows.  YES camera coverage showing, mainly, on-field action and wide shots of the 43,000 in attendance.  Then, in the bottom of the seventh, during the replay interruption of the Yanks-Indians game, viewers were shown a friendly front-of-dugout chat between Joe Girardi and Derek Jeter.  In the background: rows and rows of empty premium seats.   True fans could see plainly on this perfect weekend afternoon how little the big spenders cared and how the game had moved away from what they remembered it to be.

Over at Citi Field, “Figgy” (Nelson Figueroa) - the aptly nicknamed stopgap starter for the Mets - pitched just badly enough to give Milwaukee a win.  On Sunday, filling in for Mike Pelfrey, the 34-year-old journeyman was a familiar sight - a fig leaf covering the paucity of promising talent in the Mets’ system.  Casey Fossum, Figgy’s replacement, is the latest wilted exhibit.

Newsday’s Wallace Matthews noticed swatches of empty seats at Citi as well as at the Stadium.  Here was his take in yesterday’s Newsday: Both ballparks were built on many of the same principles that are destroying our economy.  Both teams grotesquely, and artificially, inflated the value of their product, and did their best to create a false sense of demand by reducing capacity and trying to bully longtime fans into paying absurd new prices or risk being shut out.”    

It’s early, but two-plus weeks into the season it looks as though Joe Torre’s Dodgers, with a payroll half the size of the Yankees ($100,000 to $201,000), have as good a chance as the pinstripers (if not better) to win their division.  Prematurely speaking, the Dodgers may be the only division-winning sure thing in the MLB                                     - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


Will Obama Change Stance Toward Team Chavez?

Late last year, a reporter asked White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen who was the toughest man he knew.  “Fidel Castro,” he said.  “Everybody’s against him, and he still survives, has power. Still has a country behind him.  Everywhere he goes they roll out the red carpet.  I don’t admire his philosophy. I admire him.”

Guillen, a proud Venezuelan, has never claimed to be a supporter of his country’s president Hugo Chavez.  But Chavez could easily be his choice as second toughest. After all, Guillen watched as Chavez led a failed left-wing coup against a rightist Caracas  government in 1992.  Six years later, soon after release from jail, Chavez won the presidency with a campaign based on advocacy for the poor and greater public control of the country’s oil resources.  He survived a U.S.-supported right-wing coup attempt in 2002 and was re-elected to a third term in 2006, much to the distress of Team Bush.

The big question at the Latin American Summit in Trinidad/Tobago is how America’s new president will get along with Chavez, who like Castro (far from unpopular with “everybody”), has most of Latin America behind him.  Skipper Obama has called Chavez an “obstacle to progress” in the hemisphere.  NYU’s Greg Grandin, author of “Empire’s Workshop: Latin America, the U.S. and the Rise of the New Imperialism,” calls that stance a mistake:

“(The) left turn that started with Chávez's 1998 election as Venezuela's president…still continues apace. Last year, after all, Paraguay elected a liberation theologian as president; and last month… the guerrilla group turned political party Ronald Reagan spent six billion dollars and 70,000 Salvadorean lives trying to defeat in the 1980s  finally came to power in El Salvador     

“Love Chávez or hate him, he is recognized as a legitimate leader by all Latin American countries and is a close ally to many. For eight years, a Bush administration policy of driving a wedge between the rest of the region and the Venezuelan proved a dismal failure, except when it came to increasing the outflow of Washington's hemorrhaging power in the hemisphere.”  (The Nation)

The wfile:///C:/Users/dickstar/Downloads/Documents/PerfectPitch%20blog/the_nub.htmlelcome Team Obama gave the conciliatory words of Raul Castro yesterday might be a sign the president is in a let-bygones-be-bygones mood at the Latin American Summit.  But everyone recognizes that a teaming up of the U.S. and Chavez is far from a sure thing.

E-mailbag exchange: I agree with much of what you wrote about Castro in your latest blog.  However, I think your praise of Castro needs a little tempering.  After all, he did imprison a lot of people who disagreed with him. The ACLU probably will not give him any medals for his toleration of dissent.”  - D.Bruner, Budapest, Hungary

To: D.Bruner: Can't defend Castro for his imprisonments, especially of gays, jailed only because of their sexual persuasion.   But, there have been no documented reports of torture.  And many, if not most, dissidents were found to have been on the CIA payroll.  Overriding post-cold-war question: Why should we be judging - even seeking to subvert - the policies of other sovereign states?”

                                    -     -     -
With nearly two weeks in the books, it’s time to take one team seriously: the Florida Marlins.  Yes, the Marlins, the team with the lowest payroll in the majors - $37 million (just $4 million more than Alex Rodriguez) - have the best record in either league.  Florida’s rotation, featuring Ricky Nolasco, Josh Johnson, Chris Volstad and Anibal Sanchez, strengthens the sense the Marlins will make the NL East a four-team race.

John Smoltz, Mark Kotsay and Julio Lugo:  that threesome working out this weekend in Fort Myers will be reinforcing the hurting Red Sox, one by one, as spring progresses.  Infielder Lugo is expected to be the first, in a week or so, outfielder/first baseman Kotsay, shortly thereafter, and pitcher Smoltz sometime in June.

The puffery for eateries at both new ballparks has been egregious.  Yesterday, it was Michael Kay and Paul O’Neil on YES, ooohing over the Mohegan Sun Bar in the new Stadium.  “How about if we go out there tomorrow?” one asked the other.  The other night, SNY’s Kevin Burkhardt stood on the terrace outside the Acela, a high-end place at Citi Field.  He explained the series of seatings, the limitations on who qualified for admission, etc.  All this while the Mets-Padres game was in progress.  On Wednesday night, when there were patches of empty grandstand seats at Citi, the cameras were directed instead at the long lines waiting for service at Shake Shack.  Looked like a good crowd was on hand.

Keith Hernandez is often fun to listen to on SNY, as well as insightful.  But occasionally he slips into questionable taste, as he did this week:  Fumbling for a name or stat, he said “I’m getting Alzheimer’s.”
                                 - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


(Posted: 4/16/09)

Fidel Is Still Faithful to Baseball

Fifty years ago last January, a former college baseball player led the overthrow of a Cuban dictator.  The ex-pitcher took control of the island nation, and soon turned it into a feisty Communist and Moscow-protected opponent of Team USA.  Since then, while playing David to America’s Goliath, Fidel Castro has maintained his love for America’s national pastime; he’s persisted in that affection despite US-linked terrorist acts, a military invasion and an economic embargo that has deprived his people of all but basic sustenance.  American hostility persisted for no rational foreign-policy reason after the cold war ended in 1989.

Not long ago, even the most tenacious anti-Castro exile outfit in Florida conceded what had long since been acknowledged outside of Miami: that Fidel had won the standoff with the U.S.; or, at least, the effort to bat him away had not worked.  And earlier this week, Team Obama took a first, tentative step toward normalizing relations with Cuba.

The embargo remains in place and newly permitted travel on the island will be restricted to Cuban-Americans.  But it is a start that should be welcomed by the majority of Americans who feel no animosity toward Cuba.

Fidel himself considers the step “positive” but insufficient. His only truly negative remark about the U.S. lately had to do with baseball.  The MLB-organized World Baseball Classic bracketed the Cuban team early with Japan and South Korea, the two best teams in the tournament.  He saw it as a deliberate effort to try to get rid of the Cubans before the semi-final round. 

It’s doubtful that Skipper Obama will say anything about Fidel at the Latin American Summit beginning tomorrow in Trinidad/Tobago, although he could acknowledge El Jefe’s retirement a little over a year ago.  Before he sent himself to the showers, Castro had successfully played and lasted against an impressive 10-man U.S. lineup: Dwight Eisenhower, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George W.B. Bush, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush.  It’s unlikely the retired Fidel, soon to be 83, will outlast Obama.
                           -     -     -
After winning their opening home game, 15-5, the Rays brought out the best in the Yankees.  Both A.J. Burnett and Andy Pettitte pitched into the eight inning in 7-2 and 5-4 victories.  The Yanks saw Xavier Nady go down with an injury that may keep him out for a long while.  But hot-hitting Nick Swisher is on hand to take his place. 

Misery-has-company dept:  Red Sox and Yanks are watching to see how serious is the setback of each of their Asian starters, Daisuke Matsuzaka and Chien-Ming Wang.  Dice-K was put on the DL following Tuesday night’s game in Oakland, when he left after one inning complaining of shoulder fatigue.  Chien-Ming could follow him on to the DL, although his struggle seems more mental than physical.  He has let lack of execution - he can’t get his sinker to sink - shatter his confidence.  Chien-Ming is scheduled to pitch again this weekend as Joe Girardi keeps his fingers crossed.

An E-mailbag message from NYC statman Scott Swanay, the Fantasy Baseball Sherpa, that may cheer up Mets fans.  He says when it comes to lack of solid starters, the NYMs have company:  As down as Mets' fans might be on their team's rotation, I think they match up well with the Phillies' rotation.  Hamels is more of an injury risk than Santana,  Myers is at least as inconsistent as Ollie, I'll take Maine or Pelfrey over Moyer or Blanton…Phillies had the superior bullpen last year, but with their additions of Green, Putz, and Francisco (as well as subtractions of Heilman & Schoeneweis), the Mets have closed the gap significantly.  Phillies obviously had a big edge on offense last season, and I believe it's even greater this season… Both teams are flawed, but that's what will make for an entertaining race this summer!”
                                       - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


(Posted: 4/14/09)

Cubs Fans Converting to Obama?

The polling scoreboard that posts day-to-day tallies attracts most attention in the political field.  But more important is the scoreboard that tracks partisan trends over the years.  Super statman Charlie Cook, who follows those trends, has issued a report on Congressional scoring with baseball-related implications.  It suggests that, although Barack Obama is an avowed White Sox fan, he has reason to consider saying nice things about the Cubs.

Cook says a Democratic trend has developed in the Chicago suburbs, traditionally Cubs - and GOP - country.  Suburbanites in six Chi-area districts have moved toward the Dems in recent years, and Cook notes that the change corresponds to the emergence of Obama as a heavy hitter.  The GOP has made gains in a different ballpark, notably inTennessee, where the Cubs have their double-A farm team.  Cook says the Dems lost ground in Tennessee when native son Al Gore left the presidential field.  The report, based on House results collected over the past five presidential election cycles, includes, obviously, the Bush-Gore race in 2000.  It shows where the Dem-GOP game stands now, in the aftermath of the nationwide 2008 vote.

The scoreboard tracking partisan rallies gives the Dems a whopping 34-16 lead in the 50 most competitive House districts. That reflects a hint of a trend in 163 minimally competitive races.  As for the rest, Cook notes that Dems and the GOP usually split 222 “sure” seats of the lower chamber’s 435.  In a top-of-the-grandstand view, Cook’s stats give the Dems a 51.3 - 48.7 edge over the Repubs nationwide. (That happens to approximate bookmaking odds the Cubs will make it to the NL championship series.) 

Consensus day-to-day polling, by the way, gives Obama a 60 percent approval, Congress a 58 percent disapproval rating.  Still, as we’ve seen, most House incumbents are safe.
                            -     -     -
Daniel Murphy seems safely ensconced as the Mets’ number two hitter, despite his Agita-causing on-the-job learning as a leftfielder.  His welcome presence in the lineup points up a glaring Mets absence in recent years – that of other home-grown position-player prospects.  Jose Reyes broke in six years ago this June, David Wright five years ago this July.  The dry spell since then attests to the oft-noted deficiency in the team’s player-development operation.     

On Saturday, fans tuning in the Red Sox-Angels network TV game had to make do with the reporting of Fox second-stringers Kenny (Flat) Albert and Eric Karros.  They transformed a fairly exciting matchup into a snoozer.  The only enthusiasm exhibited by Albert came when he extolled the wonders of the new Yankee Stadium, whence next Saturday’s Cleveland-Yanks game will be carried on Fox.  He was especially dynamic in his description of the stadium’s “five-star restaurant” and other amenities.  A couple of times Karros had to remind Kenny that his touting of Toronto’s lead in the AL East and Pittsburgh’s moving over .500 meant nothing. “It’s April,” Karros said, with an edge of exasperation many viewers shared

                               - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


(Posted: 4/11/09)

Bats Out for the Boys of Summers

How about that good news for the economy’s bleacher-seat people? In advance of today’s anti-bailout rallies in 50 cities, Tim Geithner said ordinary fans may get a chance to profit from the government handouts, just like Wall Street’s heavy hitters.  The game plan calls for creation of bailout funds - much like mutual funds – that would let punch-and-judy swingers invest in the toxic assets Team Obama is trying to rescue with taxpayer money.

If the plan works, the Obama-ites are clearly hopeful that the resulting positive vibes will take some of the heat off Geithner and his bailout double-play partner Larry Summers.  Both are linked in the public’s mind to a program that seems to be benefiting only those teams and players who caused the debacle in the first place.  Geithner, we know, was the ultimate Wall Street insider as skipper of the Fed Reserve team in New York.  He oversaw the trick plays that led to the subprime crisis.  Summers made those plays possible, then profited from them, as TruthDig.com’s Robert Scheer reminds us:

“Summers…(was) cut in on the loot from the loopholes in the toxic derivatives market that he pushed into law when he was Bill Clinton's treasury secretary… No one has been more persistently effective in paving the way for the financial swindles that enriched the titans of finance while impoverishing the rest of the world than the man who is now the top economic adviser to President Obama.”    

Obama reportedly told a group of Wall Street CEOs last week that “the public isn’t buying” attempts to rationalize their privileged status in the bailout ballpark.  He added - according to The Politico - “My administration is the only thing between you and the pitchforks.”  Barack should know that he, personally, is the only thing between Larry and Tim - his team’s “Boys of Summers” - and a grand slam of public bashings.
                                   -     -     -
Amid predictable signs that the non-Santana part of the Mets’ rotation is shaky comes a first-hand report from SI’s Jon Heyman on starters for the Braves and Marlins: “Beyond (Derek) Lowe the Braves aren't bad… Javier Vazquez wasn’t great for the White Sox, but he's generally been better in the National League, and maybe the switch will do him good.  Throw in Jair Jurrjens and the Braves have the makings of a very nice rotation…

“The Marlins are going to be tough whenever they're throwing their top three pitchers, because Ricky Nolasco, Josh Johnson and Chris Volstad give them a great trio.”

Heyman, like many Yankee fans, suspects that the team will have to upgrade the middle of its bullpen - Jonathan Albaladejo, Phil Coke, Brian Bruney and Damaso Marte - if it is to compete successfully with the Rays and Red Sox to make the playoffs.

No sooner did Baseball Prospectus’s Joe Sheehan predict on the eve of the season that the Texas Rangers would “lead the AL in runs scored by a good margin,” than the Rangers tallied 29 runs in a three-game sweep of Cleveland.  Texas tacked on just two more in the blowout yesterday against the Tigers.  But that’s still a total of just under eight runs a game.
                                - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


(Posted: 4/9/09)

The Obama-Jeter Connection

“The iconic images many of us have of (Derek) Jeter on the field are diving head first into the stands to catch a foul ball, running way out of position to make a crucial flip home, as well as the calm,  graceful, unselfish style he shows on and off the field.  Obama clearly has the calm and grace (he'd be a great two-strike hitter, too) but I think Obama still has to show some of that willingness to get dirty, get a few stitches.”
– J. Mindich, Manhattan (E-Mailbag, re 4/04 Nub)

The “few stitches” image paints the black because of Obama’s bruise-free  involvement in policies linked to torture.  In one of his first acts in January, the new president elected not to outlaw the practice of rendition – picking up suspected terrorists and sending them to a third country for questioning.  Although he stipulated that “harsh interrogation techniques” were not to be used, there have been numerous reports of torture in rendition sites in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.  To believe such methods are being  discontinued there because of an executive order in Washington requires a long leap of faith.    

Why was the president willing to “get dirty” on the side of aggressiveness rather than restraint?  An unidentified Obama teammate explained the skipper’s stance this way: "Obviously you need to preserve some tools -- you still have to go after the bad guys."

Barack has further disappointed his fans in left field by refusing to let the law go after Team Bush’s bad guys – the ones the International Red Cross says engaged in the brutal treatment of suspects.  Team Obama’s position on that – the same as Team Bush’s:  Release of such “informationcould jeopardize national security.” 

The American Civil Liberties Union accuses Obama of reneging - through the Justice Department - on a stance he took as a candidate: pledging to reform abuse of the state secrets game.  This is far from “change”, says the ACLU.  It’s the same Bush-league style of play; the skipper keeps his his distance from the field and his uniform clean.
                                          -     -     -
Jeter may have looked his vintage self, batting leadoff in Baltimore, but his Yankees seem a little tentative…at least, compared to the cocky Red Sox.  Kevin Youklis is already bemoaning a lack of consensus on where the Sox will wind up: 
Man, how can anybody,” he says, “ pick us to lose to the Cubs in the World Series?"  

Baseball Prospectus’s Joe Sheehan is prematurely bullish on the relief-bolstered NYMs: If the Mets just play as well as they did through six innings a year ago, they'll win the NL East, because they will be much better after that…”

Says here that’s a big “if” because of the team’s soft starter-rotation underbelly: Mike Pelfrey, and Oliver Perez and John Maine, in particular.  We know what bookends Johan Santana and Livan Hernandez can and will do: Santana will win at least as many – 16 – as he did last year, and Hernandez will manage at least 12 (and lose almost as many).  But games Perez and Maine start will be up for grabs, and Pelfrey’s outings only a little less so.  Bottom line: Mets will need a hard, productive-hitting year to compensate for the softness elsewhere.
                                  - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 


(Posted: 4/7/09)

Flafile:///C:/Users/dickstar/Downloads/Documents/PerfectPitch%20blog/the_nub.htmlk-file:///C:/Users/dickstar/Downloads/Documents/PerfectPitch%20blog/the_nub.htmlCatching in Finance and Baseball

Q - What do the new Met, Gary Sheffield, and Team Obama’s still-new Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, have in common?

 A – They’re both taking flak for performances – past (in Sheffield’s case) and past and present (in Geithner’s).

Geithner took a pounding on Bill Moyers Journal the other night from William Black, author of “The Best Way to Rob a Bank is to Own One.”  An economics and law professor at the University of Missouri, Black supported Barack Obama, but he said Geithner’s – and therefore Obama’s – bank-bailout policies are “substantively bad” and “completely lack integrity.”  Why?  Because the Treasury Secretary is letting the banks play fast and loose with taxpayers’ money:

“Geithner is…covering up.  Just like (former Treasury Secretary Henry) Paulson did before him. Geithner is publicly saying that it's going to take…$2 trillion taxpayer dollars to deal with this (financial collapse) problem.  But they're allowing all the banks to report that they're not only solvent, but fully capitalized.  Both statements can't be true.  It can't be that they need $2 trillion, because they have massive losses, and that they're fine.

“These are all people who have failed.  Paulson failed,  Geithner failed.  (He)… was one of our nation's top regulators, during the entire subprime scandal,..He took absolutely no effective action.  He may be right (to claim)that he never regulated, but his job was to regulate.  That was his mission statement…as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York…”

Black says the bank bailouts have involved outright lawbreaking; he calls inaction on the part of government a “scandal.”  There’s a reason for the inaction, says Nicholas Lemann in the New Yorker:  nationalizing instead of bailing out the banks “would drive the stock market down and increase the agita of people with 401(k) plans” plus “soften (Congressional Dem) support for (Obama) legislation.”  Therein lies a clue as to why the mainstream media can’t seem to make a coherent case for outrage over the scandal. 

Newsday’s Wallace Matthews sums up the record book on Sheffield this way: “In his 21 major-league seasons, Sheffield, 40,  has called seven clubhouses his home, and not one did he leave on friendly terms.  At every stop, he has clashed with managers, general managers and owners. He has insulted teammates, reneged on contracts and, by his own admission, deliberately made errors to force his first team, Milwaukee to trade him.

”He has ripped Latin players and players who didn't conform to his image of racial purity,  such as Derek Jeter   He couldn't get along with Joe Torre,  a man who could find common ground with Mahmoud Ahmadineiad.  And just about every place Sheff has landed, he has found occasion to level a charge of racism at somebody.”

Can Sheff make himself over for the Mets?  The team’s fans - it says here - should pray for a miracle, which is what it will take.  Still, the deal so far goes down as a good one.

Reliable NYC statman Scott Swanay, the Fantasy Baseball Sherpa, has passed along his annual regular-season predictions as games are starting to count

AL:  Yankees, Indians (barely), and Angels win their respective divisions.  Red Sox easily secure Wild Card.  NL:  Phillies & Mets in dead heat (outcome will depend on the teams' relative health - I like the Mets' chances of staying healthier and winning the division).  Cubs and Diamondbacks win their respective divisions.  Phillies-Mets runner up will get the Wild Card as a consolation prize, edging out the Cardinals.”

The Sherpa knows we all have our own gut-estimates as to how the season-long games will end.  There will surely be comments from the Nubby cheap seats in due course.

E-Mailbag re new ball parks: Has there been any talk of an active organized boycott of games at the new stadiums?  I tried to push my son into leading the charge but he doesn't sense the injustice yet (he may get a better appreciation as the months go by).  I can't wait to see pictures of a half filled stadium or for the opportunity to buy tickets at below face value on stubhub.”Jeremy.M., Manhattan 

“Your article, which accurately focused on all the excesses, left out the most important fact for Yankee lovers, the big palace is still in the down home Bronx neighborhood it has always been. Our team was saved from the West Side!  See you on the #4 train. Play Ball!!!!”Jim M, Nyack
                    - o -  

(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)



(Posted 4/4/09)

 New Ball Parks Rate as Many Boos as Cheers

It may be wet-blanket-y to suggest - even to hope - that the dank and drizzly “opening night” at NYC’s new stadiums was an omen of financially dismal days ahead for the Yankees and Mets.  Yet, weeks of puffery notwithstanding, the ballparks have earned at least as many boos as cheers…on merit.  The record book, we know, shows hundreds of millions in public subsidies granted both private ventures, 22 acres of parkland sacrificed to make room for the stadium in the Bronx, and the deal whereby bailed-out Citigroup got its disgraced name emblazoned over the Mets’ ball yard.

Then there’s the seldom noted cultural change the new arenas represent.  NY Times columnist George Vecsey addressed it briefly in yesterday’s paper when he said the teams’ “main goal became turning ballparks into resorts, land cruises, designed for A.I.G. bonus-recipient wallets…”  Nevertheless, he added, “real fans will find a way to the ball parks, pulled by the life-affirming force of baseball coming around again in the spring.”

The latter point may prove true while the new playing fields remain an early-season novelty.  But just as forced-out residents soon stop revisiting their gentrified old neighborhoods, so regular fans are likely to resist returning to the upscale replacement of their old cheering grounds. 

The days of the spontaneous “Let’s go out to the ballgame” are over.  The decision now entails substantial investment and planning, more like attending an opera than an athletic event.   Instead, fans will retreat to their TV sets and hope that, as baseball tries to mimic pro football’s season-long sellout success, the cost of watching games at home doesn’t soar. 

Caught up in this comparatively benign version of “class warfare”, the best regular-fan strategy – it says here – is to put off visits to either ball park until someone offersfile:///C:/Users/dickstar/Downloads/Documents/PerfectPitch%20blog/the_nub.html a free ticket.
                                   -     -     -
This weekend marks The Nub’s second anniversary.  Following a hoary tradition started a whole year ago, we herewith re-run our first item from 4/5/07:

“If Barack Obama regains his early campaign momentum, one reason is likely to be the Derek Jeter factor.  That Barack and Jeter share similar multi-cultural backgrounds will surely seep into the broader voter consciousness as the baseball season unfolds.  The racial comparison will likely lead many even casual observers of the sport to connect Jeter’s attributes with those of Obama.  Jeter has earned the admiration of fans throughout the country and world for his skills and conduct.  Obama can benefit from a transfer of that admiration if he handles himself in the political field with the same unruffled assurance that Jeter exhibits when he steps to the plate or corrals a difficult ground ball.”    

Two years later, Obama has reached the pinnacle of political power while Jeter, now nearing 35, is no longer the premier player he was at 33.  He remains - it says here - the athlete with whom most New Yorkers would like the city to be identified.  Why?  Newsday’s Wallace Matthews provided this answer not long ago:

“For 13 years now, Jeter has navigated th(e) (celebrity) minefield and come through it largely unscathed. No former girlfriend has dished on him or sued him, or so far as we know, is writing a book about him.  No one, publicly, has had a bad word to say about him.  He never has embarrassed himself or his team.  That's not by luck or accident.

Nub’s-eye view of the MLB’s top three rotations:  1) Yankees – CC Sabathia, Chien-Ming Wang, A.J. Burnett, Andy Pettitte, Joba Chamberlain.  2) Red Sox – Josh Beckett, Jon Lester, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Tim Wakefield, Brad Penny.  3)  Reds – Aaron Harang, Edinson Volquez, Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Micah Owings.

What that listing suggests to us: Cincinnati could surprise and be a factor in the NL Central race.

                                  - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)



(Posted 4/2/09)

Piling On Popular in Politics as Well as Baseball

“Dog-piling”, they call it in baseball.  It’s when teammates rush to engulf a game-winning hero after the decisive run has scored.

Political dog-piling – better known as piling on – has been under way throughout much of NY state.  The target: the media’s favorite anti-hero, Governor David Paterson.  When what Jimmy Breslin calls “the Pekinese of the press” smell blood they can’t resist pouncing over and over on the wounded.

Paterson opened his own wound by mishandling the appointment of someone to fill the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Hillary Clinton.  The reaction to that bumble sent him sprawling; state Republicans, abetted by right-wing elements of the media, have not let him up. “GOV CLINCHES DEAL ON HUGE TAX HIKES” is the way the NY Post headlined the budget agreement announced earlier this week.  Rush Limbaugh declared the new taxes and, by implication, Paterson “stupid.”  “THE STENCH OF TERRIBLE LEADERSHIP” was the Daily News’ headline contribution to the coverage.

Had the dog-piling mindset not taken hold, the media might have found cause to congratulate Paterson for a crisis budget that did not (a) trim education and health care (as did his Republican predecessor George Pataki earlier in the decade, nor did it (b) follow the Republican reflex of cutting taxes and spending at a time when people need adequately funded government services more than ever.

On NPR Tuesday night, MIT prof and former IMF economist Simon Johnson said the US led the world in entrepreneurial initiative but lacked the “strong safety net” that could make it as desirable a place to live for the masses, as are most European countries.  Paterson, in his budget, recognized that, now especially, many New Yorkers relate to the axiom “Government is your enemy until you need a friend.”

Paterson has to play hard, but he could get out from under the dog-pile before next year’s gubernatorial campaign and position himself as a feisty incumbent.  Andrew Cuomo would be well advised not to challenge him in a primary, given the AG’s record of having taken on another African-American, Carl McCall, in 2002.  If Cuomo does run, it will almost certainly be the result of Paterson stepping aside, having been buried too long to regain his stride.            
                                
-     -     -
Many Mets fans are in their high-flying, pre-season mode.  For them in particular, Newsday’s Wallace Matthews has these come-back-to-earth questions:

“After Johan Santana and, hopefully, Mike Pelfrey, which starting pitcher can you truly rely on every five days for a full season? John Maine? Oliver Perez? Livan Hernandez? Pedro Martinez?

“Or, do you really expect that Daniel Murphy, with all of 131 major-league at-bats to his credit , can handle the responsibilities of an everyday leftfielder?

”Same goes for rightfielder Ryan Church, who suffered two serious concussions last year and was never the same.  Are we to trust that he is fully recovered now?

”What about Luis Castillo, the subject of this year's spate of disingenuous ‘rededicated and in the best shape of his life’' training-camp space-fillers?

”And then there's Brian Schneider, who didn't hit a lick last year but will this year, we are assured, because he now is ‘more comfortable’' in New York.  Never having heard this before this spring, I wonder: When exactly did his comfort level become a problem? 

                            - o -
(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 

the_nub archive
The Nub Archive
Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010
Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010 Dec 2010
Jan 2009 Feb 2009 Mar 2009 Apr 2009 May 2009 Jun 2009
Jul 2009 Aug 2009 Sep 2009 Oct 2009 Nov 2009 Dec 2009
Jan 2008 Feb 2008 Mar 2008 Apr 2008 May 2008 Jun 2008
Jul 2008 Aug 2008 Sep 2008 Oct 2008 Nov 2008 Dec 2008
Jul 2007 Aug 2007 Sep 2007 Oct 2007 Nov 2007 Dec 2007
Apr 2007 May 2007 Jun 2007

Dugout Banter (“The Nub”) | Home Plate | Barnstorming Skills
Scouting Reports
Copyright 2007 Perfect Pitch Communications