The Nub

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August 2009 Archive

(Posted: 8/29/09)

NY’s Paterson and Cubs’ Bradley Must Get Off Political DL List

A few days after NY state skipper David Paterson complained about racial attitudes in the media (a charge he later sought to withdraw), Cubs right fielder Milton Bradley talked about the racism he confronts daily on and off the field.   That the media in NY and Chicago played the stories big suggests there was at least a squib of truth in what Paterson and Bradley were saying.

But what each could not acknowledge was another influential factor in their respective mistreatment stories: time on the disabled list.  Paterson’s physical disability - his near-blindness - has been a life-long burden; Bradley’s major league career, dating from 2000, has been marred by various injuries and long DL stints.  More significantly, the governor and the ballplayer have been hurt by word and deed that placed them on what could be called a political DL list.  Paterson went on the list, where he remains, because of his mishandling of his appointment of Hillary Clinton’s replacement in the Senate.  He dragged out the process by which Carolyn Kennedy was bypassed in favor of Kirsten Gillibrand.  A series of temper tantrums along with incendiary remarks earned Bradley his place on the political DL and a bad-guy reputation. 

Although sidelined with an early-season groin pull, Bradley has played in more 80 percent of Cubs games.  He’s hitting .262 with only 11 home runs, but his uncharacteristic durability almost vindicates the three-year, $30 million contract the Cubs gave him over the winter.  If Paterson is to get a new contract as NY governor, he’ll have to keep his frustrations in check, as must Bradley, and produce at a much higher level in his field than the Cubs right fielder is in his.

If we had Bradley’s ear, we would recommend his saying to the media how pleased he is with the way Lou Piniella has used him: “I’ve been able to stay healthy and I’m grateful."  More than just a positive pitch, Paterson has to switch from whiny-ness to expressing confidence. As a Mets fan, David might want to paraphrase manager Davey Johnson’s prescient statement before the 1986 pennant race:  “I intend not only to win next year, but to dominate.”                         
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A week ago, all Mets fans had left was Billy Wagner.  To know the electric, irrepressible, outspoken reliever was still on the team gave them reason to keep following the NY Bisons.  The departure of Wagner to the Red Sox reinforces the growing sense of the Mets’ financial desperation.  The Globe’s Tony Massarotti uses the Wagner deal to note indirectly the difference in spending attitudes between the Sox and the Mets: So why did the Sox make this move? Because even with 5 miles per hour shaved from his fastball, Wagner still throws harder than the majority of lefthanded relievers in the major leagues.  Because he gives the Red Sox another potential weapon.  Because the Red Sox are a big-market team that can spend $3.5 million on a player for six weeks of service and be none the worse for wear.”                                

Fearless end-of-August playoff projections:  AL - Yankees, Red Sox, Tigers, Angels.   (Caveats: the AL Central is always unpredictable.)  NL - Phillies, Cardinals, Dodgers, Rockies.  (Caveats:  Braves and Marlins have outside chance should either surge while Rocks and Giants stumble.)
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

The Nub is off on a road trip, returning late Labor Day week.

 


(Posted: 8/27/09)

Reason to be Glad Ben and Omar Are Staying On?

Proposition: We should be grateful for the week’s two big re-appointments, one by the president, the other by the boss of the Mets.  Grateful?  Many progressives deplore Barack Obama’s decision to keep Ben Bernanke on as chair of the Fed.  And most Mets fans believe Omar Minaya has earned a pink slip as the bedraggled team’s GM.  So, it won’t be easy, but let’s see if we can find a rationale for the prop:

The record book does not make a positive case for Bernanke: it shows him going from Princeton to the Fed’s Board of Governors in ’02, then moving in ’05 to George Bush’s   Council of Economic Advisors, before finally taking over as Fed skipper a year later.  If anyone was positioned to puncture the housing bubble early, it was he.  Similarly, Minaya must have seen the lack of a safety net for the Mets, if his high-priced “core” players went down.  If he did, he clearly didn’t do anything about it.

But there are strong cases to be made for both re-appointees: Economist and policy research executive Dean Baker concedes that, “serious issues of unnecessary secrecy and failed regulation” notwithstanding,” Bernanke moved very effectively in the last year to prevent the collapse of the financial system.”   Paul Krugman is even stronger in his endorsement: Bernanke has done a good job in the crisis — he’s been far more aggressive and creative than almost anyone else would have been in his place.”

For many of us, however, the most compelling argument for each of the decisions was the probable alternative.  Instead of Bernanke, the new Fed chair could have been Larry Summers – he, who with Tim Geithner and Hank Paulson, was a key behind-the-scenes player in the bank bailout.  The way that game ended has reinforced popular mistrust of government evident in the health care reform rhubarb. 

If Minaya didn’t return to the Mets, the team’s fans would probably have gotten assistant GM John Ricco in his place.  Ricco, mentioned here earlier this month, is an administrator.  The real player-signing power would belong to Jeff Wilpon, whom the fans have seen in action long enough to say: “No thanks.  We’ll stay with Omar.”

Joe Girardi stayed with the bunt to his regret Tuesday night.  The Yanks had rallied from 10-5 to score four runs against the Rangers in the ninth.  With men on first and second and none out, Joe asked Nick Swisher to lay one down, advancing the runners to second and third.  Swisher fouled one off, then popped out to third.  Channel 9’s camera showed Joe’s reaction: he stormed up and down the dugout as if Swisher’s failure - only the first out - had cost the game.  Could Girardi be carrying a crystal ball?  Melky Cabrera hit a liner to shortstop Elvis Andrus, who caught both the fly and pinch-runner Jerry Hariston before he could get back to second.  Game over: Texas 10, NY 9.  Melky allowed himself a tight grin.  Girardi wasn’t smiling.   

If misery loves company, Mets fans can find kindred spirits in Chicago.  Cubs fans never dreamed their defending Central Division champions (with a $135.1 million payroll just under that of the Mets) would be fading from the playoff race as they have been this month.  Carol Slezak of the Sun-Times voices a familiar frustration in this critique of Lou Piniella’s Teddy Bears:

For the umpteenth time in recent history, the Cubs have lost their way. They've spent most of this season making excuses for their poor play.  Yes, they've been hit hard by injuries. But it's always something…. The Cubs have spent a lot of money…but they've often spent it unwisely, throwing it at the wrong guys and hoping for a miracle…If the Cubs have had a plan, it has been indecipherable to most of us. But then, it's tough to build a championship team through free agency, and the Cubs' minor-league system has long been…threadbare.  How does this happen, when teams restock their system every year? Are the Cubs drafting the wrong guys, or are they failing to develop players properly, or both? If (new owner Tom)Ricketts hopes to build a team that can contend on an annual basis, he'll have to overhaul the entire scouting and minor-league operations. That's no easy task.  But it would be money well spent.”
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)




(Posted: 8/25/09)

The Obama-Jeter Connection Redux

Nub-worthy news items:

“_______TEAM LACKING MOST OF TOP PLAYERS”

The front-page headline in yesterday’s NY Times could have been about the Mets.  But the team in question was Obama’s.   Both roster-light outfits are losing ground, the Mets in the standings, Team Obama in the polls.

"OBAMA HOSTS JETER AT HIS VACATION RETREAT"

In the first Nub nearly two-and-a-half years ago, we suggested that candidate Obama could benefit from the similar multi-cultural background he shares with much admired Derek Jeter.   Now it’s an association with Jeter’s dazzling comeback that could help the struggling president.  Remember how Derek was considered to be over the hill by many after a slow early-season start?  Today he embodies, as Barack would like to, the knack of champions to bounce back when things are going badly.  Team Obama surely wants a photo of the two together at Martha’s Vineyard to hint at the possibility of a game-changing turn-around.

Paul Krugman on the possibly decisive moment of Obama’s performance:  It’s hard to avoid the sense that a crucial opportunity is being missed, that we’re at what  should be a turning point but are failing to make the turn.”    

The Mets missed their turn long ago.  More sobering than their present plight is the outlook for 2010.  In the words of the Daily News’ Adam Rubin:  The (team) will have several holes to fill with limited dollars…The Mets have no (ready) minor leaguers…leaving them entirely dependent on free agents and trades to fill any voids.”

How far has the Mets’ returning GM Omar Minaya’s stock fallen?  Allegedly given full autonomy over baseball decisions when hired in ’04, he now says he’d have manager Jerry Manuel return, too, “if given the choice.”
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Why such a Colorado Rockies high?  Because the NL wild card-leading Rocks believe a legitimate ace has emerged in their pitching staff.  Twenty-five-year-old Ubaldo Jiminez outdueled SF’s super-ace Tim Linceum Sunday to win his fifth straight this month   He has a1.63 ERA over those starts, and an arsenal that includes a 99 mph fastball. 

A performance that pleased Red Sox Nation and almost everybody in baseball Sunday:   The one turned in by John Smoltz who blanked the Padres for five innings.  A fine, fresh start for the Cardinals’ 42-year-old future Hall-of-Famer. 

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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 



(Post: 8/22/09)

Harvard Prof: Stop Bean-Balling in Baseball and at Israel

Harvard Professor Alan Dershowitz is known neither as a baseball fan nor for his progressive politics.  True, he’s a resident of Red Sox Nation.  But he’s more easily identified as a hard-liner on Israel-Palestine, a harsh critic of Jimmy Carter, and an accessory to the firing of a Jewish prof at DePaul U., who, like Carter, differed with Dershowitz on that deadly Middle-Eastern game.

Dershowitz believes the rash of bean-balling that has marred ballgames this season is potentially deadly in its own right.  He – like many of us – think the commissioner, owners and players are ignoring the danger of serious injury (as they did to the plague of drugs).  If the practice is allowed to continue, Dershowitz wrote in the Boston Globe this week…“Someone will be maimed or killed, despite the presence of helmets. The time has come for Major League Baseball to ban the bean ball. The only way to do this is for baseball to adopt a zero tolerance policy and to impose draconian sanctions not only on pitchers who throw at the heads of batters but, more importantly, on the managers who instruct them to do so.”     

Sports Illustrated’s Tom Verducci reinforced the message soon after the Mets’ David Wright was beaned: “A vigilante culture has taken root in which teams are retaliating even when it was obvious that a pitcher wasn't trying to hit a batter…It's time to knock off the punkish stuff in which every hit by pitch becomes a challenge to your manhood. One of the most dangerous eras in baseball history could become even more dangerous.”

Resistance to change that characterizes baseball exists, we know, in every field.  Many, if not most, Americans cling to the idea that the private sector must play its long-assumed major role in our health care system.  Brooklyn/Queens Congressman Anthony Weiner challenged that belief in a much-discussed appearance on MSNBC earlier this week.  He noted that insurance companies serve no direct delivery-of-services purpose.  Host Joe Scarborough was taken aback:

JS:  It sounds like you’re saying you think there is no need for us to have private insurance in health care.
AW: I’ve asked you three times. What is their value? What are they bringing to the deal?
JS: Again… I’m astounded by your question. It sounds like you’re suggesting that there’s no need to have a country that’s run on free market principles.
AW: Time out.  Let’s focus on one thing at a time. This isn’t a commodity, Joe.  Health care isn’t a commodity.
JS: You’re saying that health care is different than everything else.

Scarborough’s observation is the nub of the matter: Americans do not understand, as do people of most advanced nations, that health care is a right rather than a profit center.  And upholding – supporting – the rights of its citizens is a basic role of government. Until people comprehend that distinction, true reform will clearly not happen.
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Thoughts re the Mets spending several million less than the 29 other teams on first 10-rounders in the draft:  1) It suggests the rumors of Fred Wilpon having lost $700 million in the Madoff scam were right on; 2) That Rudy Terrasas (Rudy who?), not Omar Minaya had to take the fall before the media, suggests that Omar either asked to be spared any more Agita, or he is indeed on the way out.

An article by the Globe’s Tony Massarotti that compares young talent on the Yankees and Red Sox can be read as an unexpressed indictment of the Mets:

“Take a good look at the first-place Yankees this weekend. From Robinson Cano to Phil Hughes to Joba Chamberlain to Melky Cabrera, they have the kind of home-grown talent that makes them far more competitive with the Red Sox in that area than most anyone ever acknowledges…

“‘I just can’t get…concerned with that, because if something special is going to happen, you have to have a little bit of everything,’’ general manager Brian Cashman said when asked if the Yankees get enough credit for their player development.  ‘I just don’t pay attention to it.  I do know that we have a lot of good young talent.  I don’t think we have the best farm system in baseball, but I do think we have one of the better ones’.’’
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(The Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments to dickstar@aol.com
are welcome, as are subscription requests.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)



(Posted: 8/20/09)

Can Lefty Health Reformers Stage a Ninth-Inning Rally?

The Yankees and opponents of real health care reform are winning (something we discussed last time).  But neither the baseball nor the political game is over: If the Yanks don’t make it to the Series, they’ll be losers, and a ninth-inning rally could give true health reformers a walk-off win.

Yankees history supports the long-shot thesis that dissident underdogs can pull out a come-from-behind victory.   In 1976, the Yanks had arranged to take over 32 acres of Macombs Dam Park as part of a remodeling of the Stadium.  But local protesters on opening day that year caught the eye of Walter Cronkite.  CBS ran the story of the would-be land grab, which stopped it…until the Yankees got their way 30 years later.

How is that history relevant to the health reform contest playing out today?  Coverage by the media can add decisive clout to whichever side makes the stronger showing.  If the the team pitching for the public option could mobilize some of its millions of players to march in support of that reform, it would be difficult for the mainstream press to ignore.    

“In the end,” wrote Skipper Obama in the mainstream-est of papers, The Times, “this isn’t about politics.  This is about people’s lives and livelihoods.”  He didn’t say what we all know – that it is mostly about money: the billions at stake for scores of HMOs, insurance and drug companies.  The slugging radical Saul Alinsky said the way organized money can be outscored is through organized people. 

Mobilizing the kind of massive rally whose numbers would send a compelling message to Congress requires a clutch hitter to come to the plate.  The Web is awash with urgings for someone, some group, to get busy.  Robert Reich, for example, called Tuesday for a march on behalf of the public option, adding, according to The Politico, that “While he said organizing was not his strength, he would be prepared to assist.”  

Ralph Nader would surely take part in a rally along with Reich, but he doubts it will happen, in part, because young people are no longer interested:  “This is the third television generation,” he told Truthdig’s Chris Hedges. “They have grown up watching screens. They have not gone to rallies. Those are history now. They hear their parents and grandparents talk about marches and rallies. They have little toys and gizmos that they hold in their hands. They have no idea of any public protest or activity.  It is a tapestry of passivity.”       

Nader could well have meant those words as a challenge…to the old as well as the young:  All of us on the public-option team must be willing to line up together in DC, where the nation is sure to see.

Back to the Bronx and Yankee Stadium’s checkered history:  The Village Voice’s Tom Robbins connects the beginning and end of three decades this way: “(Among those) leading the (1976) protest were Gil Gerena-Valentin, who was soon elected city councilman, and a community and labor activist named José Rivera, also destined to become a Bronx political force.

“It took another 30 years, but in 2006, Macombs Dam was finally plowed under after Rivera, then the leader of the Bronx Democratic party, reached an agreement with Bloomberg and the Yankees on the new stadium.  In exchange, the team generously agreed to pay $800,000 annually to Bronx civic causes.”
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Baseball’s most glamorous name this week belongs to someone who has never played in the majors.  He’s San Diego State pitcher Stephen Strasburg, signed for $15.1 million plus incentives by the Washington Nationals.  The signing has excited the nation’s capital and Washington Post’s Tom Boswell:

“Strasburg has put the Nats squarely on baseball's map, on the list of can't-miss attractions in the game that must be seen.  Does he really throw 100 to 102 mph with command? Or is that partly scouts' mythology?  Is his 93-mph slider really his best pitch, so sharp it actually seems to hit something in midair and deflect? And is Mike Rizzo, the Nats acting general manager, correct when he says what sets Strasburg apart is not just his stuff but ‘a fierceness’?”

Baseball America calls the Mets one of the amateur-player draft’s biggest “losers” along  with Tampa Bay, Toronto and Texas.  The magazine identifies  the five top “winners” as Washington, KC, Colorado, Baltimore, Detroit.   Here is BA’s take on the Mets’ latest “nothing-close-to-aggressive” misplay: “While the cross-town Yankees spend money like nobody's business in the draft, the Mets toe the line. Sure, they paid top pick Steve Matz (a second-rounder) an above-slot bonus, as he got $895,000, almost $400,000 more than the recommended slot.  That's a Mets rarity…The(y)…failed to sign their fifth- and sixth-rounders, and only had two players—Matz and 13th-round pick Zach Dotson, a Georgia prep lefty signed for $500,000—who signed for as much as the Yankees gave their 44th-round pick.  No large-revenue team uses its money less in the draft than the Mets.”
                                   
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 



(Posted: 8/18/09)

The Difference Winning Makes?  Ask the Yankees and Obama

Winning changes everything: baseball fans know that better than anybody.  The opposite is true, too – in politics as well as baseball.  Ask the fans of Team Obama, worried about a losing streak.

At the season’s start, we remember, the Yankees were tarnished by negative stories about the financing of their new ballpark, how the land-grab penalized the community, and the park’s inflated ticket prices. .  Then there were the A-Rod drug-taking revelations, the frequent early losses and unseemly rash of stadium home runs.

What thrilled many Obama supporters at his season’s start was how he and his team were restoring America’s winning image in the world.  That perception has taken hits…in Latin America, Asia and, owing to the faltering health care reform effort, in parts of Europe.      

Today, the Yanks are leading the majors in winning percentage, attendance, and a tangible aura, that of overall dominance.  The Stadium is the place to be, or, remotely, watching Joe Girardi’s juggernaut on YES.  The young Steinbrenners, so patronized by the media last winter, look for the moment like (older) boy geniuses.  

Meanwhile, news that an anti-government offensive has apparently balked a key component of Obama’s health care reform pitch - the public option - means the president will get watered-down reform, at best.  The likelihood of such a compromise when the U.S. clearly needs drastic system overhaul astonishes the British. The UK Independent’s Guy Adams described how urgent the need is through his report on the one-week offer of free medical and dental care in a Los Angeles suburb last week:

"They came in their thousands, queuing through the night to secure one of the coveted wristbands offering entry into a strange parallel universe where medical care is a free and basic right and not an expensive luxury.  Some of these Americans had walked miles simply to have their blood pressure checked, some had slept in their cars in the hope of getting an eye-test or a mammogram,  others had brought their children for immunizations that could end up saving their life.  In the week that Britain's National Health Service was held aloft by Republicans as an 'evil and Orwellian' example of everything that is wrong with free healthcare, these extraordinary scenes in Inglewood, California… provided a sobering reminder of exactly why President Barack Obama is trying to reform the US system."

That the program was run by a humane outfit called Remote Area Medical, which often offers services in underdeveloped countries, is not lost on the Brits.  It only underlines how bad things are health-wise for many Americans and how badly hurt Team Obama will be if real health reform is not achieved.       
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We mentioned last week Orel Hersheiser’s suggestion that some players might see their numbers go into free-fall concurrent with baseball’s latest crackdown on drug use.  The Globe’s Nick Cafardo spotted two-plus examples almost immediately without speculating whether having to play drug-free was responsible for the declines in performance:

“Chris Young, CF, Diamondbacks - There are a lot of guys in Young’s boat this year - guys who were once good (J.J. Hardy) but are having inexplicably bad seasons. The first rookie in major league history with 32 homers and 27 steals in 2007, Young was optioned to Triple A Reno after hitting .194 with 7 homers and 28 RBIs in 103 games this year. Arizona has him signed through 2013, with an $11 million option in 2014. Yikes.”

“Bill Hall, INF, Brewers - Designated for assignment, the versatile Hall has had a terrible season after hitting 35 homers in 2006, but might be a nice piece for a contending team. He can play multiple positions, steal a base, and add some pop. Hall, owed $10.5 million by the Brewers, is still only 29 years old. While Milwaukee GM Doug Melvin was talking trade, teams may wait until Hall clears waivers rather than absorb the money.”

Among notable playoff-related weekend results: the Rays ending a five-game losing streak by taking two of three from the Blue Jays.  That bounce-back kept Tampa Bay in the wild card hunt, three games behind Boston and (going into of last night’s Minnesota-Texas game) three-and-a-half behind the Rangers.  The Cardinals sweeping San Diego while the Cubs took two of three from the Pirates.  St.Louis thus stretched its lead in the NL Central to five games over Chicago…pending the Cards’ game with the Dodgers in LA last night.

The Red Sox will know if they are slipping into critical condition after their next six games: they face Ricky Romero and Roy Halladay in the first two of three games at Toronto beginning tonight, then three against the Yankees at Fenway.
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 



(Posted: 8/15/09)

Hope for Team Paterson as We Forget the Mets

Earlier this month, a regular reader suggested a connection between David Paterson and the Mets:  both needed to “go on a tear”, he said, to avoid falling out of their respective races.  Since then Paterson has been running in place while the Mets have plummeted out of wild-card sight.  The governor may not have surged but he’s held his own; the Mets, on the other field, have looked so bad there’s now talk of GM Omar Minaya losing his job before a three-year-contract extension kicks in.

We can’t resist re-offering free advice to the team still in the game:  Paterson can surge by playing “small ball.”  He’s an engaging and effective conversational partner going one-on-one with people.  He’s got to do that with members of the media.  We believe getting up close and personal will stop, or, at least, slow down the print and on-air head-hunting.  That plus competent handling of the state’s challenges should have a positive effect on the polling scorecard.  A note on road trips: Governors go nowhere without an entourage.  Paterson would do well to cut the size of his travel team to a minimum; too many dugout coaches distract the public’s focus from where it belongs.

If the governor were operating on a Yankees instead of a Marlins budget, he could commission a national TV spot depicting him as someone who has attained political leadership despite disability.  On that score, New Yorkers have much to admire in their chief executive and should be so reminded through paid media. Meanwhile, Andrew Cuomo doesn’t have to be reminded that, as AG, he is in the catbird seat.  He can decline to participate in pushing out Paterson in 2010, buoyed by the prospect of four more years of adding to his public approval:  His “I’ll look into it” works magic in calming popular fury over the latest hustle or outrage.  The gov has no such power.   

While Paterson is comparatively new as NY’s skipper, Minaya has overstayed his time with the NYMs.  His excuse for placing minimal emphasis on the Mets’ minor leaguers has been “New Yorkers want big names.”  He should have realized, as Brian Cashman does, that New Yorkers want it both ways – big ticket players AND promising prospects.

Omar’s strategy - fielding a star-studded first string with waiver-wire, bargain-basement backups - provided no insurance against key injuries.  He should be let go.  Our guess is that, because of budgetary considerations, Minaya will be granted a year to reverse the team’s fortunes.  And, given the alternative suggested by the News’ Adam Rubin - Assistant GM John Ricco, an administrative type, taking over for Omar and depending on the player-evaluations of “deputies” - Minaya remaining would be preferable.

For Mets fans, the most preferable scenario would be a sale of the club by Fred Wilpon.  His judgment-challenged son Jeff has been complicit in - indeed the instigator of - many of the team’s bad moves since 2000: the hirings of Art Howe as manager, of Jim Duquette as (short-leashed) GM, of Tony Bernazard as vp for player development, yes, and of Minaya.  In each case, Jeff Wilpon allowed personal relationships to influence personnel decisions.  Given such an error-prone history, it’s clear that for the Mets to turn things around, a clean house - starting with the sweeping out of the Wilpons - is in order.   Fans should hope it happens in their lifetimes.

Updating a stat noted by NY Postman Kevin Kernan (and tinkering with his text): “(Going into last night’s games) the difference between the Yankees and Mets (was)…this, the Yankees ha(d) hit 109 more home runs than the Mets this season. That's insane.”

It may be equally insane to say the Yanks, Angels, Phils and Dodgers are sure division winners.  But since that’s the consensus of attentive observers, we can, by hard-nosed count, identify 10 teams in the wild-card race, including respective Central Division leaders Detroit and St.Louis.  The AL has four – Red Sox, Rangers and Rays, as well as the Tigers.  The NL: Rockies, Cardinals, Giants, Marlins, Braves and Cubs.

Do the words of Mike Lowell (quoted by the Globe’s Nick Cafardo) constitute a Red Sox white flag vis-à-vis the Yankees?  “We have to be realistic about things, given where we are right now. We’d love to be in first place and watch the Yankees battling for the wild card, but that’s not what’s happening…”   Answer: yes…but the concession is only good until the teams tangle again, beginning next Friday at Fenway.

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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome, as are subscription requests. 
Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 



(Posted: 8/13/09)

How Team Goldman and the Red Sox Got their Edge

In an ideal world there would be an even playing field - perfect fairness in baseball, politics, finance…life.   In the real world, we know, everybody’s looking for an edge.  Disclosures over the past week suggest that, in separate games, the Red Sox and Goldman Sachs benefited from unfairness in a way their corporate competitors did not.

We remember in George Mitchell’s ’07 report listing 104 players alleged to have taken performance-enhancement drugs, that he did not mention the since-identified Manny Ramirez or David Ortiz.  The Red Sox, for whom Mitchell had worked, got a pass, while Yankees Roger Clemens, Jason Giambi and Andy Pettitte were named.  Mitchell has denied giving the Sox favorable treatment, just as former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson - through his bench coach – denies arranging a financial edge for Team Goldman during frequent pre-bailout confabs with its skipper.

What’s clear at a minimum from the published work of NY Timespeople Gretchen Morgenson and Don Van Natta is that Paulson cut ethical corners in his generous dealings with Goldman (whose survival depended on the rescue of mega-client AIG).  Furthermore, that an air of desperation surrounded the phone calls between the two former teammates.   

Paulson’s deals cost us taxpayers well over a hundred billion dollars, much of which we’re not expected to get back.  Yet, even lefty slugger Paul Krugman has joined a lineup minimizing what Paulson and successor Tim Geithner have wrought. “Without (the badly handled) bailouts, Krugman says, “things would have been much worse.” 

Baseball has gone the bailout minimalists one better.  A united front of the players union, the commissioner’s office and the Red Sox supports Ortiz’s claim of ignorance of buying what were allegedly banned substances over the counter.  “Allegedly” was an operative word at the Saturday news conference:  The validity of the charges against players on the Mitchell and a separate government list, as well as against Ortiz, was questioned.  Amid the “sludge” - Gordon Edes’ word (on Yahoo Sports) - baseball’s goal seemed to be to trivialize the game’s recent doping history.

Detroit’s Jim Leyland says “nobody cares” among the fans.  ESPN’s Orel Hersheiser suggests that fans will care about some players – those whose performances deteriorate drastically from what they were during the steroids era.  

Then there are the few players whose careers take a sudden upward turn.  Toronto’s Marco Scutaro is a prime current example.  His last four seasons – three with Oakland, one with the Blue Jays, his BA’s were .247, .266, .260, and 267.  This year, playing regularly at shortstop for Cito Gaston, Scutaro is batting .296 and, going into yesterday’s game, led the AL in hitting on an 0-and-2 count - .423, 11 for 26.      

Lob from Left Field…unloaded by former NY Timesman Chris Hedges, who refuses to avert his gaze from the game Team Obama is playing:  

“The American empire has not altered under Barack Obama.  It kills as brutally and indiscriminately in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan as it did under George W. Bush.  It steals from the U.S. treasury to enrich the corporate elite as rapaciously.  It will not give us universal health care, abolish the Bush secrecy laws, end torture or ‘extraordinary rendition,’ restore habeas corpus or halt the warrantless wiretapping and monitoring of citizens. It will not push through significant environmental reform, regulate Wall Street or end our relationship with private contractors that provide mercenary armies to fight our imperial wars and produce useless and costly weapons systems…If we have not learned by now that the system is broken, that as citizens we do not matter to our political elite, that we live in a corporate state…we are in serious trouble.”  (Truthdig.org)

The NL’s wild card-contending Giants have serious scheduling trouble – 16 games in September against the Phillies, Dodgers, Rockies and Cubs.  Talk about an edge: the Rockies, vying with SF for the WC lead, open September with 13 games against the Mets, Diamondbacks, Reds and Padres.
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(Posted 8/11/09)

NYC Vote This Fall Could Produce a Political Ichiro

Just as Ichiro Suzuki quickly became the first Asian position player to achieve stardom in the majors, so John Liu is seeking to gain political stardom.  He's pitching to become the first Asian to win city-wide office in New York. 

Ichiro, we know, is Japanese and has been playing for nearly a decade with theSeattle Mariners.  Liu is Chinese and has represented Flushing in the Council for eight years  When Ichiro led the league in batting and won both MVP and Rookie-of-the-Year awards in 2001, he triggered an influx of Asian players who would supplement pitchers like Hideki Nomo and Hideki Irabu, already established U.S. performers.  Liu could be making a similar impact in NYC politics.

Liu is one of a strong four-player Democratic field in the contest for comptroller.  His opponents are three fellow Council members - Melinda Katz, David Weprin and David Yassky.  Liu and Weprin rejected legislation backed by heavy hitters Mike Bloomberg and Christine Quinn to extend term limits…and do it in defiance of the voters’ twice-expressed preference.  Katz and Yassky played ball.

For those of us who believe one's position on anti-democratic power plays to be decisive, the choice between the two nay-ers and yea-ers is clear.  Liu has an edge over Weprin, it says here, because he, more than his fellow Queens competitor, is pounding away on the baseline issue.   “It’s about upholding the fundamental basis of our law and democracy,” he said when the legislation came to a vote.  And that has been his out pitch throughout the campaign.  .

Liu is not a perfect candidate.  He has an opportunistic streak displayed when he switched his candidacy to comptroller from the race for public advocate.  He made that side-step move right after Mark Green entered the PA field.  His supporters called it pragmatism.  Despite that hitch in his delivery, Liu serves as an important model for the Asian community, a Chinese Ichiro, potentially - in a political major league.
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Going into last night’s games, Ichiro was hitting .363, two points behind Minnesota’s Joe Mauer in the mlb batting race.  Ichiro led both leagues in hits with 165, Mauer had 120.  The NL batting leader was Florida’s Hanley Ramirez, at .348.

“How do you deal with this bad stretch of injuries?” Sox manager Terry Francona was asked by Fox’s Joe Buck during the game with the Yankees Saturday.  By “not feeling sorry for ourselves,” Tito answered.  A far cry from the “Oh, woe is us,” heard on at least one team with injury problems.

Nineteen of 30 teams are still within single digits of division leads, meaning they remain in playoff consideration.  Fans of the two NY teams are excitement-deprived: the Yanks appear a lock, the Mets locked out, as far as post-season play is concerned.  The NL West boasts three (of five ) teams in the hunt – the league-leading Dodgers and the two top wild card competitors, the Giants and Rockies.  Four of six teams in the NL Central are still in the scramble for the league’s final four.
                                     
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(Posted: 8/8/09)

Bad Calls in Baseball and Off-Field Contests

The other night, a bad umpiring call at the Trop almost cost Tampa Bay a victory over the Red Sox.  Everybody - on MLB.com, anyway - agreed that a runner who reached home safely had passed third base before a ball went out of play.  The umpires said the tie-breaking run did not count, the player had to return to third.  (The Rays eventually won, 4-2, on an Evan Longoria HR in the 13th)

“It’s baseball’s dirty little secret,” said a neighbor who is also a fan.  “How many really bad calls there are.”  The Henry Gates-James Crowley confrontation in Cambridge was clearly a bad call, a simultaneous one: both players overreacting in a stressful situation.  The good that will come from that bad episode – a heightened awareness on the part of police of reflexive racial profiling, and a new public appreciation of the  pressures police feel when facing challenged citizens who turn hostile – will make things better for everybody.  But the tech revolution is reason to believe police-public interaction will be even better - more restrained - in the future.

In baseball, a zone evaluation system has improved judgment-accuracy around home plate.  Under the system, umpires’ balls-and-strikes calls are camera-monitored in the 30 major-league parks.  The monitoring is on the way to eliminating the wide variations in umpiring calls that once existed.  And the video-replay policy of double-checking controversial home run “boundary” calls has been successful enough to remain in place.   The crew chief, not a team manager, decides whether replays are needed.  Growing tech use will make for fewer and fewer bad calls and, perhaps eventually, fewer and fewer umpires.

Police work will surely remain a growth employment field.  But the widening use of miniature cameras, like those on cell-phones, will help protect the public against overzealous police behavior.  That salutary trend began when a witness with a video camera recorded the beating of Rodney King by LAPD officers in 1991.  Such equipment has obviously come a long way since then.

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The pennant races still have a long way to go.  But, as of the start of the second week of the next-to-last month of the season, there look to be three sure-things in the eight-team playoff picture: the Yankees, Angels and Dodgers.  The temporary absence of Jason Bay has probably made the Red Sox seem shakier than they are.  But the playoff-qualifying challenge they face - fending off the surging Rays while hoping the Rangers fade – is a big one.   That’s especially true since the Sox have eight more games with the Yanks, while the Rays have only three.  

When the Braves vetoed in mid-spring letting Tom Glavine try a comeback with them, he said he would consider making another attempt - perhaps somewhere else - next year.  John Smoltz’s comeback experience with the Sox should prompt Glavine, who will be 44 next March, to hang it up for good.  Here is how a scout summed up Smoltz’s plight to the Boston Herald’s Sean McAdam: He has to keep that fastball off the middle of the plate, because it’s straight with no movement, and he can’t do it.  The slider actually is pretty good, but they’re feasting on that fastball.”  Smoltz’s future, if he has any with the Sox, would seem to be spotting that slider often while pitching out of the bullpen.

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(Posted 8/6/09)

NY’s Governor Can Learn from the God of Batting

 “I’m seeing the ball good,” is how hot hitters like to explain why they’re going so well. 

 That phrase came to mind at a recent gathering of NY political friends who were talking about the governor.  “Part of David Paterson’s problem,” someone said, “is that he can’t make eye-contact.”

The remark – more proposition than statement - prompted a quick response. “That’s exactly right,” said a nationally prominent former office-holder.  “And I don’t know if he can do anything about it.” 

Slumping hitters talk to coaches, look at tapes, take extra BP.  Paterson is legally blind.  Yet he does have partial sight in his right eye.  He has many political problems beside the physical one.  But he has to do what he can – consult with experts, check the tapes - to communicate in something approaching a personal, eye-to-eye way.  Why?  It’s almost impossible to establish rapport with members of the media, or with voters, if you can’t seem to be focusing, at least briefly, on each of them.  “I couldn’t tell if I had his ear,” a staffer was quoted as saying about the governor.  Such a sense of elusiveness is inevitably reflected in the polls

Paterson could learn from the man who was Japan’s first baseball superstar. Tetsuharu Kawakami, a contemporary of Ted Williams, was renowned for his constant practice and intense focus.  Called the God of Batting, he said he paid such close attention at the plate   he could “see the pitch stop.”  His disability notwithstanding, Team NY’s manager must work to pay Kawakami-like attention to everyone on the field.  Along with an in-charge message, he must attain what performers describe as “just the other side of intimacy.”

When we worked briefly with Paterson in the mid-90’s, he was concerned about the need for practice, for getting more comfortable at what was his plate – the speechmaking podium.  He worried that his visual disability was making him too reticent to speak publicly.  He planned to do something about that communications problem then.  It would be surprising if, during Andrew Cuomo’s much publicized “waiting game”, Paterson isn’t taking his practice hacks now, with eye-contact on a comeback rally.    
                                
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Baseball America’s Jim Callis identifies what he considers the “most puzzling” of the July 31 deadline deals: “The Reds' decision to trade two quality arms (Zack Stewart, Josh Roenicke) to the Blue Jays for Scott Rolen.  Cincinnati isn't in the playoff hunt and Rolen is in the midst of just his second healthy and productive season in the last five.  He's an upgrade over Edwin Encarnacion, who also went to Toronto, but Rolen makes $11 million next year and the Reds will miss Stewart and Roenicke.” 

Callis cites two other puzzlers - he says the Indians should have resisted dealing Cliff Lee to the Phillies and Victor Martinez to the Red Sox:  “Lee ($9 million) and Martinez ($7 million) both had very reasonable club options for 2010, and saving $16 million isn't going to make the Indians major players for off-season free agents and trades. The American League Central lacks anything close to a powerhouse, so Cleveland could have contended for a division title next year with Lee and Martinez.

And while it was a buyer's market, the Indians sent Lee to the Phillies and Martinez to the Red Sox without getting any of either club's premium young players…Justin Masterson (however) could be a No. 3 starter after he transitions back from relieving for the Red Sox.”

Stat city: the majors’ top three pitchers, according to mlb.com, have a surprise in the number 1 spot.  Toronto’s Roy Halladay is second on the list, the Giants’ Tim Linecum third – no surprises there.  Ahead of those two super aces is Adam Wainwright of the Cardinals.  Wainwright is 12-7, with a 2.79 ERA.  That he’s rated as tops is a statistical anomaly as well as a surprise: Halladay is 11-5, 2.75; Linecum has the gaudiest stats – 12-3, 2.18, with a majors-leading 191 strikeouts in 22 games.
                             
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(Posted: 8/4/09)

Yanquis and Baseball Are Creating Pariahs

In the aftermath of baseball’s mad deadline-trade melee, one thing is clear: the game’s powers-that-be have made pariahs out of small-market teams that collect luxury-tax subsidies, then exploit the chance to unload big-ticket players.  Meanwhile, in the international political league, the world power is making pariahs out of many states that accept its military aid, then play an anti-populist game in their bailiwick.

The people who run the Pittsburgh Pirates were already being booed for trading away most of their high-salaried players when the team’s subsidy figures emerged over the weekend.  A former Bucs’ PR director told the Globe’s Nick Cafardo that, in addition to receiving a reported $27 million in subsidies from big-spending teams, the Pirates took in another $36 million in shared-TV money.  All that before the season started.

The USA is pouring thousands of troops and hundreds of millions of dollars into Latin America, an under-reported region, to stop the rally toward what the Pentagon has called “radical populism.”  The two main home bases for this offensive are Honduras and Colombia, where military training and anti-drug-trafficking are official reasons for our armed presence.  In Honduras, Team Obama’s acquiescence in the ouster of President Manuel Zelaya is becoming clearer every day.  The State Department has declined to follow up Barack’s strong words of support for Zelaya with action.  A Democracy Now report from the Honduran capital said Zelaya’s approval of a hike in the minimum wage helped trigger the coup.  The report suggested that the United Fruit Company, now called Chiquita, played a major role in the upheaval.  In Colombia, Team Obama’s decision to send U.S. military personnel to three airfields and two naval bases has heightened tensions along the Venezuelan border.  A veteran Latin American observer sees the move as more than what it’s supposed to be - a warning to drug dealers:

“It’s a signal to the rest of the region that the United States is going to be using military means in order to address not just drug trafficking…(but) to support…counterinsurgency and to carry out (unspecified) operations in the region.”   (John Lindsay-Poland on Democracy Now)

We can’t expect that anti-populist signal to be noted by our mainstream media, which have chosen their side: Yanqui and business interests wherever in Latin American they can still be encouraged.
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The Pirates may be on their way to a 17th straight losing season, but, depleted roster and all, they are still trying.  The same cannot be said of the Baltimore Orioles.  The O’s have lost 12 of 16 since the All-Star break, managing only a single win in nine games against the division-rival Red Sox and Yanks.  Baltimore did do something constructive before the trade deadline…for the Dodgers.  Sending George Sherrill to LA shores up Joe Torre’s bullpen at a time when relievers tend to get worn down.

Couldn’t say it better:  If I were Czar of Baseball you’d come out of spring training with your team, and that would be your team, other than what you’d produce from your farm system. That would stop this nonsense in which the rich get richer, which is generally what happens in these matters.” – Bob Ryan, Boston Globe

“It was the sickening desperation of it all, the feeders feasting on the helpless.  Baseball totally has lost its vision.”  - Nick Canepa, San Diego Union-Tribune

A measure of the aridity of the Mets farm system can be found in the identity of stopgap pitchers called up from triple-A.  Remember Jose Lima (0-4) in 2006?  Jason Vargas (0-1, ERA 12.19 in two games) in 2007?  Nelson Figueroa, thrown into the breach last night, is the latest bad penny.  He has filled the emergency role – in mediocre fashion (3-4) – throughout 2008 and now.
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(Posted: 8/1/09)

The Differing Small-Market Blues in Baseball and Politics

You’re a Pittsburgh Pirates fan.  Your small-market team has been up against it – a record-tying number of 16 straight losing seasons.  But this year was going to be different: the Bucs finished April above .500, and it looked as though ownership’s promise that better days were at hand would be realized.

Another small-market team of six U.S. senators - from Iowa, Maine, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota and Iowa - are involved in a game of health care reform.  They’ve promised fans to put together a bipartisan bill that will insure healthier days ahead for all Americans.

Until June, Pirates GM Neal Huntington rejected the term “rebuilding” in connection with the team.  But early that month, he traded returning All-Star centerfielder Nate McLouth to the Braves and Eric Hinske to the Yankees, then earlier this week dealt current All-Star second baseman Freddy Sanchez to the Giants and former All-Star Jack Wilson (plus pitcher Ian Snell) to Seattle. And Thursday, he sent prize lefty reliever John Grabow and former lefty starter Tom Gorzelanny to the Cubs.  All those established players (plus Nyjer Morgan and Sean Burnett, dealt to the Nats) went in exchange for prospects or suspects like Lastings Millidge and Joel Hanrahan.  The Pirates are now all but certain to set a new consecutive- losing-season record.

If Pirates fans feel betrayed, imagine how Americans hopeful of meaningful health care reform feel: the small-market sextet of three so-called “centrist” Dems and Repubs have tossed away two key progressive proposals: the public option that would provide government-run competition to private health insurance programs, and the income surtax on high earners to help pay for the reforms.

 So we have two disparate small-market effects: In baseball, the big-market teams dominate low-budget clubs like the Pirates, picking off their high-priced stars and leaving small-market fans frustrated. In Congressional politics, it’s the small-market veteran players from mostly rural states who are in a position to snuff out progressive rallies; they apparently will get to decide what kind of health care reform Americans – most from larger states with sizeable urban populations – are to receive.

The center-right has seized on the costs of proposed substantive changes in our health care system to signal stop.  Meanwhile, defense spending rises with little complaint from both sides of the Congressional playing field.  Chalmers Johnson, author of  “Sorrows of Empire,” has some eye-opening stats on our world-wide military investments:

“According to the 2008 official Pentagon inventory of our military bases around the world, our empire consists of 865 facilities in more than 40 countries and overseas U.S. territories. We deploy over 190,000 troops in 46 countries and territories. In just one such country, Japan, at the end of March 2008, we still had 99,295 people connected to U.S. military forces living and working there -- 49,364 members of our armed services, 45,753 dependent family members, and 4,178 civilian employees. Some 13,975 of these were crowded into the small island of Okinawa, the largest concentration of foreign troops anywhere in Japan.

“These massive concentrations of American military power outside the United States are not needed for our defense. They are, if anything, a prime contributor to our numerous conflicts with other countries. They are also unimaginably expensive.  According to Anita Dancs, an analyst for the website Foreign Policy in Focus, the United States spends approximately $250 billion each year maintaining its global military presence. The sole purpose of this is to give us hegemony -- that is, control or dominance -- over as many nations on the planet as possible

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The Nub has never liked the non-waiver deadline deals that occur each season and, in general, benefit the wealthier teams while consigning the less wealthy to wait another year.  Nevertheless, key trades that have been completed require acknowledgment.  We rate them this way:

Super-clinchers – Cliff Lee (Indians) to the Phillies, George Sherrill (Orioles) to the Dodgers  (both teams seemed to be division winners anyway).

Possible clinchers – Jarrod Washburn (Mariners) to Tigers, Freddy Sanchez (Pirates) to the Giants,Victor Martinez to Red Sox (SF is now a valid wild card threat, Sox have solidified their wild card status, at least). 

Anything can happen – Mark DeRosa (Indians and Julio Lugo (Red Sox) to Cardinals; John Grabow (Pirates) to Cubs  (Both teams now look to have an edge on Brewers in NL Central).               

Staying alive – Orlando Cabrera (A’s) to Twins.  (Minnesota not conceding AL Central)            

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