The Nub

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(politics and baseball – 12/28/07)

Red Sox fan/American songbook preservationist Jonathan Schwartz said it: “When I turn on the television these days I expect to see an empty ballpark.”

Although baseball is all talk and little news as the year ends, the action, we know, is feverish in Pakistan after the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, and more pertinently from a domestic standpoint, at the political ballpark in Iowa.  One of the sharpest media birddogs, Al (Albert R.) Hunt of Bloomberg News, has scouted that two-party presidential contest and looked beyond it.  He says, the odds indicate that, despite her recent stumbles, Hillary Clinton has the best chance of going all the way:

“If the senator from New York wins the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, she's a prohibitive favorite for the nomination. She's the only candidate who could survive a couple of early losses and conceivably bounce back. Clinton, 60, would have a difficult general-election matchup with Senator John McCain of Arizona; against anyone else, she'd be a favorite.

As of today, however...her aura of inevitability is gone. Still, given all the vicissitudes, if you could only bet on one candidate, there is no stronger choice. The odds of Hillary Clinton being the 44th president: 3-to-1.”

Hunt’s odds scoreboard has Barack Obama at 7-2, Mitt Romney 5-1, John McCain 8-1, John Edwards and Rudy Giuliani 10-1, and Mike Huckabee 12-1.  Others on the field are far outside the competitive lines, as he sees it.

Former divinity student and NY Times correspondent Chris Hedges is taking Huckabee, and what he represents, seriously.  Here is how he put it on Truthdig.com:

“The rise of Mike Huckabee as a presidential candidate represents a seismic shift in the tactics, ideology and direction of the radical Christian right. Huckabee may stumble and falter in later primaries, but his right-wing Christian populism is here to stay… Members of the Christian right, recruited into the Republican Party and manipulated to vote against their own interests around the issues of abortion and family values, are in rebellion. They are taking the party into new, uncharted territory.  And they presage, especially with looming economic turmoil, the rise of a mass movement that could demolish what is left of American democracy and set the stage for a Christian fascism...

“I do not blame Huckabee or the tens of millions of hapless Christians - 40 percent of the Republican electorate - who hear his words and rejoice.  I blame the corporate state, those who thought they could disempower and abuse the working class, rape the country, build a rapacious oligarchy and never pay a political price.”

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The post-2007 season has been a revealing time for Mets fans, the team’s flawed operational strategy exposed in trades and free-agent signings.  Two years ago, the Mets broke decisively with what could be called their Joe McIlvaine past.  In the nineties, GM McIlvaine ran an operation centering on farm-system promotions and only marginal free agent signings.  The McIlvaine era produced pitchers Jason Isringhausen, Paul Wilson and Bill Pulsipher in one burst, but few other genuine prospects and no formidable teams.   McIlvaine’s successor Steve Phillips oversaw a transition in which big-name trades and signings – Mike Hampton, Kenny Rogers, and Roberto Alomar came to the team during the late ‘90’s/early 2000s period – replaced the emphasis on farm system call-ups.  That approach was a one-time success, in the 2000 World Series year. 

Lacking a stable base of solid players, the Mets staggered for a few post-WS years until Fred Wilpon hired Omar Minaya and decided to splurge on superior free agents – Pedro Martinez, Carlos Beltran, Billy Wagner – and high-level trade acquisitions Carlos Delgado and  Paul Lo Duca.  The problem now is the team has neither a productive farm system nor an owner willing to spend on further blue chip talent.  Example:  a top-notch outfielder was needed to join Beltran (and perhaps relocate him to right, replacing Shawn Green).  Andruw Jones was available.  Journeyman Ryan Church was traded for instead.  Another problem: GM Minaya has a disconcerting tendency to go with players past their prime who are injury-prone:  Moises Alou, Orlando Hernandez, Jose Valentine, Pedro, etc.  A recent illustration: Minaya just signed second baseman Luis Castillo to a four-year contract.  Castillo, who is clearly a downsider, will be 37 when his contract expires.   

Further darkening the 2008 outlook:  the defending division champion Phils, who have already added Brad Lidge to their bullpen, signed outfielder So Taguchi the other day.  Taguchi hit .290 for St.Louis last season, 18 points higher than new-Met Church did for Washington (while striking out well over 20 percent of the time with the Nats).  Happy New Year, Willie Randolph.

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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 






(politics and baseball, etc. – 12/21/07)

The day after George Mitchell served up his report on drug use in baseball, Bill Moyers talked to Keith Olbermann, the leadoff guest on his PBS show.  Although Olbermann rose from the broadcast minors as a sports guy and now does sports stints for NBC, Moyers had more important deliveries than Mitchell’s to discuss: the fireballs Olbermann has been tossing at Team Bush on his MSNBC news show.  Keith’s blistering polemics - he calls George W. and Dick Cheney liars, fools and worse - are rare examples of no-holds-barred truth-telling in the mainstream media (a distinction he shares with Moyers).

Moyers asked Olbermann about a new feature on his nightly program: a Bush Administration “scandals list.” Or, as Olbermann put it: “A list of the top three administration scandals you may have forgotten because of the latest administration scandals.”

The frequency of one scandal pushing another off the media plate - by happenstance or design? - was touched on coincidentally by International Herald Tribune columnist William Pfaff:

 “It is a strange affair when the CIA’s destruction of videos made of its torture of prisoners has created a greater scandal in the U.S. Congress and the press than the fact that the torture itself took place.

”The actual scandal is that the United States has been torturing prisoners on orders from the top of the Bush administration, using methods of torture authorized from the top that the administration still refuses to condemn or renounce. The White House says ‘the United States does not torture,’ and therefore nothing that it does is torture.

”It is equally important that the U.S. Congress has been unable, or unwilling, as a body, to condemn torture in unequivocal terms, nor have Bush presidential nominees to high legal and judicial office been willing in testifying to Congress to identify torture as anything other than what America’s enemies do, not us -- since as the president says, we Americans do not torture.”

What commentators – and all of us – dislike facing is the reason the scandals are piling up unresolved:  the impunity with which the Bush Administration is operating, thanks to its control of law enforcement and the courts.
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The Mets raised ticket prices for ’08 despite failing to improve their product: now they are apparently worrying that fans will stay away.  The team is offering reduced-price holiday ticket packages, with some single seats going for as little as $5.00.  Sounds like what the Nets have been doing in an effort to attract fans to their basketball games at the Meadowlands.  The Nets are hurting competitively because, like the Mets, they haven’t added any real studs to their nucleus, in their case, Jason Kidd, Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson.  Considering how the Knicks are doing, NY/NJ pro basketball gets a “d” for the first part of the season – d as in “desultory.”

TV Program Note:  Bill Moyers will address the implications of the Mitchell Report - referring indirectly to The Nub – in his commentary tonight on his weekly program.  The show can be seen, as usual, in the NYC area on Channel 13 at 9.
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 






(baseball and politics – 12/18/07)

Shortly before George Mitchell issued his report on the use of performance-enhancing drugs in baseball, former pitcher/author Jim Bouton talked at a forum about the importance of a level playing field.   Were he playing today, Bouton said, he wouldn’t want to lose his livelihood because his competitors had an unfair advantage.

Everyone – Bud Selig and the team owners, the players and their union, and the fans - want a level playing field.   But only the fans have the ultimate power to see that the baseball professionals get the leveling job done.  If in large numbers they would stop attending games, stop watching their teams on TV, true reform would come, or baseball as a profitable business would die.     

We know that won’t happen.  If organized protests on an important national issue like Iraq have lost their impact-making intensity, and massive protests against economic unfairness are non-existent, it is a stretch to expect collective action from baseball fans.  Their indignant voices notwithstanding, Americans don’t feel strongly enough about the need for level fields - economic, social or athletic - to fight for them.

Our government favors the upward tilt, and, as in tax policy, seeks to reinforce that unfairness.  More pernicious is its hostility toward other democratically elected regimes that act to level the economic and social disparities in their countries.  The lineup of  Yanqui interventions – open and covert - against left-leaning democracies in Latin America alone over the past half-century is a roster of shame: 1954 Guatemala - Jacobo Arbenz overthrown; 1961 Ecuador - J.M. Velasco overthrown; 1963 Dominican Republic - Juan Bosch overthrown; 1964 Brazil - Joao Goulart ousted in military coup;

1973 Chile - Salvador Allende killed in military coup; 2002 Venezuela - Hugo Chavez  survived coup attempt; 2003 Haiti - Jean Bertrand Aristide removed.  That’s to name only a few.

And now Bolivia.  Four wealthier provinces have staged protests against the government of the country’s first indigenous president Evo Morales.  He has begun leveling differences between Bolivia’s “haves” and “have nots” through land reform and a strengthening of the rights of those whom previous governments had discriminated against, his fellow indigenes.  Morales says the U.S. Embassy is managing many of the players moving against him.  After looking at the record book, it is not hard to believe he’s speaking the truth.                                                                  
 
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Let’s see:  The Mets’ number two trade target, Oakland’s Dan Haren, has gone to Arizona.  Number one, Johan Santana, is apparently going nowhere, almost certainly not to the Mets.  The Phillies have added reliever Brad Lidge, the Braves veteran returnee pitchers Tom Glavine and Mike Hampton; Atlanta will also have Mark Teixeira for the entire season.  The Mets can point to newcomers Brian Schneider and Ryan Church (and the departure of Lastings Millidge and Paul Lo Duca).  The most positive transaction news for the Mets last week was the subtraction of Aaron Rowand from the Phillies.  He signed a five-year contract with San Francisco.  That pre-holiday gift list must be taking some of the merriment out of Willie Randolph’s Christmas.

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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 







(politics and baseball – 12/14/07)

It remains to be seen whether Yankee fan Rudy Giuliani will be the Mets of the presidential campaign:  Whether, after a strong start, he fades as the electoral season plays out. The beating Rudy’s been taking in the media – the brush-backs about Bernie Kerik, Judy Nathan, the tricky mayoral bookkeeping, etc:  all that, and his left-tilting stances on abortion and gays seemed to be part of a possibly decisive losing streak  

But the scoreboard – in the form of electoral polls – shows Team Rudy is still ahead, and, for the time being, has weathered the worst his opponents have thrown at him.  Giuliani has been particularly effective in fouling off strikeout pitches about the many errors he has made in his public life.  He concedes “mistakes”, such as in failing to sufficiently check Kerik’s background, but then quickly notes the good appointments, the positive side of whatever the issue.  In any event, he is making cautious believers out of respected observers who thought he didn’t have a chance.  One is expert analyst Charlie Cook, who said this in the National Journal:

“Early on, many political operatives and analysts expressed skepticism about (Giuliani’s) chances of winning the GOP nomination based on the fact that his positions on social and cultural issues were considerably to the left of his party and because of his relatively colorful personal life.

“I went so far as to boldly -- and perhaps stupidly -- say that I would win the Tour de France before Giuliani would win the Republican presidential nomination.

“But while his personal history and positions on social issues have certainly hurt him, the damage hasn't been nearly to the extent that many of us expected…. So, as far as I am concerned, I was wrong, whether he ends up with the nomination or not.  Win or lose,  Giuliani has beaten the point spread.”
                                    
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Remember “TG” as in TGIF – Thank God It’s Friday.  The Mitchell Report on baseball drug use has its own TG - Taint and Grief: taint on the players, grief for the fans.  The taint attached to particular players named in the report – Andy Pettitte, for example - causes sadness here.  The report, which recommends no punishment for past sins, has been over-hyped as a justice-dispenser.  It may turn out to be a useful starting point in bringing reform to a sport whose suspect credibility has now taken a big hit.  Meanwhile, affection once felt for Andy and former players like Lenny Dykstra won’t be quite the same. 

Whadda you know, Joe:  Paul Lo Duca signed with the Washington Nationals for a modest $5 million.  So much for the Mets’ cover story that he was asking for too much to re-sign with them.  Let’s give the Mets the benefit of the doubt and say it was drug use –as charged in the Mitchell Report - that prompted their badmouthing Lo Duca for much of the season.  Lo D’s signing with the Nats produced an embarrassing sidelight for Omar Minaya.  Washington’s catcher-in-waiting is Jesus Flores, a former Mets farmhand.  Flores outhit new Met Brian Schneider with the Nats last season and matched Schneider’s rate of throwing out runners (29 pct.)  Flores would still be Mets property had not Minaya dropped him from the 40-man roster before last season; dropped him to make room for guess whom? 49-year-old Julio Franco, who didn’t make it past mid-summer and shouldn’t have been kept around that long.
                              
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 






(politics and baseball, etc. – 12/11/07)

If parks protection proves to be a major issue in the 2009 mayoral campaign, potential candidate Christine Quinn has put herself at a disadvantage.  Council Speaker Quinn grew up a Mets fan, but was a key player in pushing through the Yanks’ new stadium project.  At a breakfast last week sponsored by Manhattan Media, she defended the project and the city’s giving up 22 acres of contiguous Bronx parkland as part of it.

Offered a chance to back away from the deal that outraged preservationists, Quinn indicated she was proud of her involvement.  “You observed but did not oversee that arrangement,” The Nub suggested in asking if she had any second thoughts about the giveaway.  “I oversaw it,” she said.  “The Yankees have committed to helping finance an economic revival not just around the Stadium, but in a depressed area nearby.  And they are making good on the promise to hire local help.”  She cited a small boiler-installing business that employs ex-offenders as part of its work force.  She said she saw two of the local firm’s big blue boilers in place as she inspected the project not long ago.

Elected officials like Quinn clearly find the prospect of jobs that come with economic development – in construction and related industries – reason enough to impose changes on neighborhoods like the one around the Stadium.  Few electeds stood with the many local residents who opposed the project and rejected the idea that the new stadium and parkland preservation was an either/or proposition. 

Majora Carter, executive director of Sustainable South Bronx, expressed the broad  borough-wide opposition on the subject during a conference last summer on Robert Moses’ legacy.  Said Carter to fellow panelist and Deputy Mayor Dan Doctoroff : “No community should have to choose between jobs and quality of life.”

In 1993, Mayor David Dinkins was defeated for reelection by Rudy Giuliani as his administration was negotiating the turnover of 42 acres of parkland in Queens to the U.S. Tennis Association.    
                                        
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Laugh of the month:  Omar Minaya saying the reason for the Mets’ unproductive farm system is that they’ve been “good citizens,” adhering to the commissioner’s recommended signing-bonus ceilings in dealing with drafted players.  What we know you mean, Omar, is that the Mets have been cheapskates.  Fred Wilpon clearly seized on Bud Selig’s recommendations as an excuse for saving money.  Now the joke is his team trying to compete on the trade market with the “bad citizen” Yanks, Red Sox, Tigers, etc. and their well-stocked systems.

Putting Wilpon’s frugality in context:  Forbes magazine says the Mets franchise is the second most valuable (behind the Yanks) in all of baseball.  It puts the NYM’s value at $736 million, ahead of the Red Sox, at $724 million.  The Yankees?  Their out of sight, valued at $1.2 billion. 

For single-minded baseball fans who find it hard to care about pro football or basketball, we recommend this antidote to restlessness: follow the frost-belt home-field playoff teams: Patriots, Packers and Steelers.  You may find it diverting to watch their wintry games - however interminable - from your living room.  Similarly, you may enjoy watching superior NBA players like Cleveland’s Lebron James, New Jersey’s Jason Kidd, Boston’s Kevin Garnett, etc. take charge of the often decisive last five minutes of their televised games.  Just remember: five minutes of late-second-half NBA playing time can take the better part of a half-hour.

P.S.  Only two months (roughly) to pitchers and catchers.
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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 





(baseball and politics – 12/7/07)

(Still more) Field-Box Journalism 101:

“Why doesn’t Billy Wagner just shut up…He is not a real winner.  Just a real whiner.”

We hear those sentiments these days not just from some Mets fans (a friend messaged here, using those words).  We hear it about Vladimir Putin, Hugo Chavez, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, to name just a few of the growing number of kvetching world leaders unwilling to play ball with the U.S.

The Mets organization surely welcomes the loyal fans’ attitude.  Wagner, you may remember, said on the team website that, having lost Tom Glavine and Paul Lo Duca, the team is in trouble.  That’s a piece of accurate counter-spin for which, pace, loyal fans, we should be grateful.  Any time we can see or hear something credible at variance with the party (or, more often, the government or corporate) line, we are getting something rare: info that balances the one-sided viewpoints lofted from various public- or private-sector PR offices and too often relayed unchallenged by the mainstream media.

The media have revved up public animus about designated enemies, saying little about the misguided provocations that prompted their anti-U.S. outbursts:  Bush’s plan to set up a missile defense system on Russia’s - and Putin’s – doorstep, for example;  or our cloak-and-dagger complicity in the 2002 attempt to overthrow Chavez ; or our president’s dismissal of Ahmaedinejad’s truthful claim that Iran was not making nuclear weapons.

Journalists true to their trade read the work of colleagues the way all news consumers should:  with a generous slab of skepticism.  They have a series of questions at the ready: Who was the source of this story?  Who benefits from it?  Are we hearing in a substantive way from the ‘bad guys,’ the people, businesses or governments being attacked?  The most predictable and pernicious slant - you’ll find it in the papers and on TV every day - is, as already noted,  toward our “friends” internationally (whether or not they are dictatorships) and away from the government-designated enemies (whether or not they have democratically elected leaders).
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Newsday’s Wallace Matthews is clearly not a fan of Hank Steinbrenner.  He thinks the Boss’s son has been too clever by half in his negotiations to improve the Yankees.  But Matthews also thinks Steinbrenner has no choice but to reopen his bid for Johan Santana and perhaps give up too much in order to keep the Twins ace away from the new Evil Empire:

“For Hank Steinbrenner's Yankees, ‘No’ is the new ‘Yes.’

”A couple of weeks ago, Boy George just said no to negotiating with Alex Rodriguez after A-Rod exercised the opt-out clause in his contract. A couple of days later, ‘No’ turned out to mean ‘Yes’ after all… He wanted Rodriguez back so badly that he not only reversed a very loud and public proclamation, he wound up bidding against no one but himself in his mad rush to secure A-Rod's services.  What makes you think the same thing isn't going to happen with Santana?

“…History tells us Hank will reverse field, bundle up Ian Kennedy, Phil Hughes, Melky Cabrera and throw in the rights to the first-born sons of A-Rod, Jeter and Robinson Cano in order to get what he really needs, which is Santana at the top of his rotation. Either that, or watch Santana go to Boston and take the AL East title with him for the next 10 years.”

At least the Yanks are in the running for Santana (or Dan Haren or Erik Bedard).  As for the Mets, fugedaboudit, says another Newsday columnist, Ken Davidoff:

“ (Willie) Randolph is on a short leash. (Omar) Minaya really has to get the Mets back into the playoffs in order to re-establish his own credibility with his bosses and his fans.  And yet, Santana, Haren and, very likely, Bedard are not coming through that door. Minaya passionately defends his trading chips, as well he should; it comes with his job. The deafening silence on the other side of the conversation tells the real story.”

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Can’t say it better than this:“The new National Intelligence Estimate shows that George Bush and Dick Cheney's rush to war with Iran is, in fact, a rush to war."- John Edwards                        

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(The  Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments to dickstar@aol.com
are welcome. Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)







(politics and baseball – 12/4/07)

During a recent flap over what to do (if anything) about Social Security, Barack Obama said Hillary Clinton was pulling a “hidden ball trick” on the issue.  That is, she was pretending to do one thing about it – form a bipartisan study commission – but hiding what her real intention was. 

As we know, the hidden ball trick - fielder motioning to throw a ball he keeps, hoping to decoy a stationary runner into leaving a base – seldom works.  Although rarely tried now in baseball, the trick has been a political staple, especially at election time.  Most of us remember George W. Bush promising in 2000 that he would be a “compassionate conservative”, a non-“nation-builder”, etc.   And in the same campaign year, Al Gore coming on as a progressive with a rousing speech (written by Arthur Schlesinger, Jr.) at the Convention.  We know what happened then: he moved to the center, losing his passion and the election.  Gore hid a strategy of caution behind his ball-of-fire rhetoric.

Progressive Democrats worry now that, contrary to Obama’s charge, Hillary is hiding nothing.  She truly supports Bush’s staying-the-course policy in Iraq and his aggressive  confrontation of Iran.  As for the Republicans, no one can accuse them of seeking to decoy the public: nearly all have made clear they aspire to be like anti-terrorism commander-in-chief George W., only more so. 

The mainstream media has had a field day calling Hugo Chavez every dirty name in the market democracy book – “socialist,” “fascist”, “autocrat”, etc. – in advance of Sunday’s referendum in which the democratically elected Venezuelan president hoped to broaden his powers.  That he narrowly lost is almost a source of embarrassment to those who were sure the fix was in.  Matthew Yglesias of Atlantic (Monthly).com is an exception:

 “I guess if Hugo Chávez can't even get majority support in a referendum for proposed changes to the constitution, then he can't be much of an aspiring dictator, can he? On the merits…Chávez's proposals - an end to presidential term limits plus concentration of more power in the president's office - are probably a bad idea for a country like Venezuela and it's probably a good thing that they were defeated.  Still, the level of pious screeching about Chávez's authoritarianism from people who think … dictators  (elsewhere). should be treated with nothing but the utmost respect has always chafed.”
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“Despite a lack of splashy moves, Minaya believes he has improved the Mets and still has a chance to land a big-time starter.”
Newsday (David Lennon)

Omar Minaya is kidding nobody with his brave but contradictory talk.  On the one hand, the GM said the team was willing to spend big money again for players, on the other that Paul Lo Duca wanted too big a contract.  The resulting pickle:  the loss of prime trading chip Lastings Millidge for Lo Duca’s replacement, journeyman 235-hitting catcher Brian Schneider and another Washington Nat, outfielder Ryan Church.  So now the Mets have no Millidge, no Lo Duca and must be prepared to give up one or two other of the few marginal prospects left with which to deal for a would-be ace.  At the same time, the mystery persists as to the real reason for the Mets’ determination since mid-summer to drop Lo Duca.  

In contrast to the hole-filled Mets, the return of Andy Pettitte stabilizes the Yanks’ rotation, moving them close to the same ballpark as the Red Sox in 2008 starting pitching.  It is reasonable to expect at least two of three of the newcomers – Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain and Ian Kennedy – to fill regular slots as starters.  A rotation of Pettite, Chien-Ming Wang, Hughes, Chamberlain and Kennedy or Mike Mussina, while not matching Boston’s front line corps of Beckett, Schilling, Matsuzaka, etc., wouldn’t be too shabby.

A last word (perhaps) on Lastings Millidge from Newsday’s Wallace Matthews:

“Of all the assets Lastings Milledge brought to the Mets, none will be missed nearly as much as his speed.   I refer not to his time in the 90-foot dash but to the amazing speed with which his status plummeted from Untouchable to Undesirable.  In a little under seven months, L Millz went from the kind of precious property with whom the Mets would not have parted in exchange for Alex Rodriguez, Josh Beckett and a vial of Tom Seaver's DNA thrown in, to a guy they couldn't wait to ship off for the equivalent of a sack of baseballs, a smear of eyeblack and a pine-tar rag.
                             
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(The Nub is a team effort skippered by Dick Starkey.  Comments
to dickstar@aol.com are welcome.  Previous Nubs can be found by scrolling below.)

 




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