The Nub

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December 2008 Archive

NY’s Likely Political Rookie of the Year in ‘09     

“The envelope, please, Governor Paterson.”

“The next U.S. Senator from New York is…Joe Torre!”

That’s a fanciful choice to replace Secretary of State nominee Hillary Clinton – one of 13 “interesting people” – suggested by the New Yorker’s Hendrik Hertzberg.  He calls the names on Paterson’s political list of potential choices as “strikingly unimaginative.”  It’s doubtful that Torre has maintained a New York residence that he may have once had, just as it is unlikely that another from the Hertzberg list, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, has maintained his long-ago NY residential status.  But Hertzberg’s game seems to be to   justify Paterson’s probable selection of Caroline Kennedy: she is the only one on the governor’s list, Hertzberg says, “that qualifies as even marginally adventurous.”

It says here that Attorney General Andrew Cuomo or Nassau County Executive Tom Suozzi (for whom we’ve worked in the past) would, based on their experience and records, be excellent choices.  But both have a gender-disadvantage - many believe the seat Clinton holds should be handed on to a woman.  There’s a further sense that Cuomo (like his predecessor Eliot Spitzer) has made himself almost irreplaceable as AG.  Most agreed in 2006 that gubernatorial candidate Suozzi had everything going for him except timing: he had chosen to go to bat against Spitzer, the widely acclaimed “Sheriff of Wall Street.”

As for the three most frequently mentioned Congresswomen in the mix - upstater Kirsten Gillibrand, Manhattan and Queens Rep. Carolyn Maloney, and Brooklyn’s Nydia Velazquez - they would, under ordinary circumstances, have much to recommend them: Gillenbrandt is a bright new face; Maloney has 16 years of experience in the lower chamber, and Velazquez is the rare Latina in federal elective office.  But none of them can match the illustrious name – the obvious star power – and access to money that Caroline offers.  There’s all that, and the fact that, until she came out for Obama last January, the 51-year-old daughter of JFK and Jacqueline Kennedy had avoided making  enemies with political clout.  She could be the “rookie of the year” in 2009 that Sarah Palin might have been in 2008 had she sparked Team McCain to victory in the presidential contest.

Had the timing and other contingencies worked out, Joe Torre going to the U.S. Senate would not have been far-fetched.  After winning four World Series in five years in 2000, Torre was popular enough - downstate anyway - to succeed in joining another major leaguer, Kentucky’s Jim (No-Hit) Bunning, in the upper chamber.
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Anyone paying attention to the affiliations of the 84 minor league all stars listed last year by Baseball America could not have been surprised by the emergence of the Tampa Bay Rays as an AL power in ’08.  The Rays owned seven of the stars chosen from the six minor-league levels (nine position players and five pitchers at each level).  That was more than other team could claim.  This year, three teams - the Cardinals, Indians and Padres - placed six players each on the all-star rosters to share the distinction of having the most apparent blue-chip farmhands in baseball.  They will bear the kind of watching next season the Rays should have received this year.

Watching 39-year-old Brett Favre run out of steam as the Jets’ season winds down should be a cautionary lesson for baseball GMs.  Pitchers like Andy Pettitte, who will be 37 this June, are especially susceptible to late-season fatigue.  Look what happened to Andy last season, when, after a terrific start, he had to settle for a .500 W-L record (14-14).  It’s a lesson Brian Cashman may not yet have learned; Mets fans can hope Omar Minaya has, at last.

(Posted: 12/20/08)

Iraq’s Billy Wagner of Political Counter-Spin

Mets fans remember the pre-Santana-signing period a year ago when Billy Wagner low-bridged the team’s “things-are-looking-fine” spin.  “We’ve lost the 13 games that Tom Glavine won,” he said, “and let go a catcher (Paul LoDuca) who wanted to win more than most guys. I think there’s reason to be worried.” 

   Shoe-thrower Muntader al-Zaidi is the Billy Wagner of political counter-spin.  His brush-back interruption of the Bush news conference in Baghdad sent a clear message to the world: “Don’t believe the hype about things being fine in Iraq as George W. heads for the showers.”

   A feature of Team Bush’s last season has been a run of stories about how the game in Iraq is being won.  Typical was this account last winter in USA Today about progress a year ago this month:  U.S. deaths were at their lowest levels since the 2003 invasion, civilian casualties were down, and street life was resuming in Baghdad.”

   Then, in April, Bush’s field manager General David Petraeus reinforced a series of “Surge-is-working”media reports: “Levels of violence and civilian deaths have been reduced substantially,” he told a panel of senators.  Al-Qaeda Iraq and a number of other extremist elements have been dealt serious blows."

   And just the other day, the Washington Post ran a story by its syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer, which suggested our hav(ing) turned a chronically destabilizing enemy state at the epicenter of the Arab Middle East into an ally.”

   It was not only the toss of the shoe that exposed the new-friends-in-Iraq myth; al-Zaidi’s words as he threw - “This is from the widows, the orphans and those who were killed in Iraq” - brought home the horror of what Bush’s unprovoked pre-emptive war has produced.  And why our efforts to make Iraq a trusted democratic ally will never succeed.   

   More than a million Iraqi civilians are dead as a result of the war – that’s the stat reported by British sources - and another million felt they had to flee the country. The symbolic empty shoe will be part of Bush’s legacy.  It’s a disembodied image expressive of what could be his epitaph - pronounced in 2003 by historian Howard Zinn:  “He has no respect for human life."

  The Mets wisely did no more than ask Wagner to cool it in the future (which he never did).  The Iraqi government would be equally wise to give al-Zaidi no more than a slap on his pitching wrist.  All Iraq - indeed, the Arab, and the entire world - is watching.
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Baseball America’s annual review of the minor leagues contains a possible clue as to why the Yankees have deemphasized their dependence on farm system call-ups and reemphasized paying big bucks for big-time free agents.  The Yanks had only two players - Brett Gardner, at Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes Barre, and catcher Jesus Montero at low Class A Charleston, SC - among the 84 all stars chosen from the six minor-league levels this past season (14, nine position players and five pitchers at each level).  Last year, they had five, led by Edwar Ramirez and Ian Kennedy.  The Red Sox, who placed three players among the 84 all-stars in 2007, had four this past season, headed by outfielder Chris Carter, at Triple-A Pawtucket, and pitcher Michael Bowden, at Double-A Portland, ME..

The Mets, who have continually insisted that their farm system is better than it looks, gave a speck of credence to that claim this year.  The team went zero for 84 in 2007; not a single all-star belonged to the Mets.  This year, they placed pitcher Brad Holt of Brooklyn on the Short-Season A-league all stars, and shortstop Wilmer Flores of Kingsport, TN, on the Rookie League stars.  The NYMs, who finished 27th of 30 in organizational standings (overall W-L at the six levels) last year, edged up to 25th in 2008.  The Yankees finished at the top of that category both seasons.  The Red Sox went from 12th in ’07 to 9th in '08.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

(Posted: 12/16/08)

Errors Many of Us Miss

Errors of omission, the kind that don’t show up in the box score: an infielder’s failure to cover a base to force a runner, an outfielder letting a catchable foul fly fall because he thought it was curving into the stands.

In politics, such errors only show up if we’re paying attention.  Team Bush launched a blistering offense against the legal way the game was played in the U.S.  There was a great outcry from spectators, media people and officials close to the field.  But the players who could have turned things around and made a key error of omission instead were hardly noted.

Similarly, the Bush-ites arranged a $700 billion bailout for certain Wall Street teams, using public dollars.  Again came the protests of observers, followed by yet another crucial error of omission by players who should have been alert.

The reckoning is coming too late to stop some of the excesses, but in time to emphasize the identity of those ultimately at fault, those who failed to make the possibly game-saving plays.

In a double-header on Bill Moyers’ Journal the other night, leadoff man Glenn Greenwald of Salon reviewed in striking words what we already knew in an unfocused way:  Team Bush’s offense, he said, was a declaration of war on the whole idea of law itself, on the idea that our political leaders are constrained in any way by the limitations of the American people imposed through our Congress.”

We expected those limitations to be imposed, he said.  Instead Congress (became) virtually invisible, impotent, powerless, by its own accord, almost voluntarily…We need Congress to reassert itself in terms of how the government functions.”

In the second spot, Moyers had Georgetown U. economics professor Emma Coleman Jordan address the error connected with Team Bush’s early bailout.  She said when Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson went to bat, he hit what should have been an easy force-out: “(Paulson) believed that by fixing the problem at the top, by giving the money with trust to his peer institutions on Wall Street, the money would trickle down in the form of lending to consumers and businesses. And the economy would be restored. And so that way of thinking dominated his decision making…

“The facts (contradicting that belief)…. clearly on display were simply ignored.”

After scoring what she called “the highest officials in the land” for “less-than-capable” decision-making, Coleman Jordan referred to the more egregious error of omission, the second, committed by players in the House and Senate:  “I have to ask a question of accountability for our elected officials.  You've got to step up and do more to make sure that there is proper oversight before you let the money go out the door.”   

The bipartisan failure to step up should be noted.  Although the Congressional lineup was top-heavy with Democrats, the Republicans could have stopped the majority from going along.  Team GOP has shown it can slow the game up in its anti-Labor stance over the auto industry bailout.
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Balks from the Box Seats (re previous Nub):  “I am pretty sure (Bush) will be remembered more for leading the country from fiscal stability into a massive recession with gargantuan deficits, rather than for his ability to prevent terrorist events.” - Hedge-Fund manager

“I think the notion of credit for Bush that there has not been another terrorist attack is wrong…These things come in almost every country with long intervals; in the US, it was more than eight years between early 1993 (the first attack on the WTC)  and 9/11/2001.”  - Health Affairs Consultant

“The Yankees don't win because they have more money.  They win because they use the money they have to build better teams that in turn let them attract fans who generate more money which they use to build better teams, etc.  By contrast, President Bush inherited a strong franchise, wasted his capital and left without a fan base.” - Member,  NY State Judiciary.

Could there be a connection between the heavy hit Mets boss Fred Wilpon may have taken in the collapse of friend Bernard Madoff’s investment firm and the loss of the team’s interest in signing a top-tier startng pitcher?  The guess here is the answer is no; before the Madoff story broke, the Mets were already into their penny-pinching mode.  The talk now is of their signing moderately priced Randy Wolf  (12-12 with San Diego and Houston in ’08) to join a rotation of Johan Santana, Mike Pelfrey, John Maine and Jonathan Niese.  Three of that five are not going to scare anybody.  If Oliver Perez is re-signed - a 50-50 bet, according to Omar Minaya – the pitching outlook will be brighter, but not by much.   

(Posted: 12/13/08)

The Tale of Two Georges

Before the year that signaled their retirement ends, let’s check the record book on two Georges with baseball and other things in common – George Steinbrenner and George W. Bush.   One has already stepped down from his seat of power, the other will make his departure official next month.  A skim of how they performed shows this: 

Both led baseball teams, of course – Steinbrenner as owner of the Yankees from 1973 to this year, Bush as co-owner of the Texas Rangers from 1989 to 1994.  Both were Republicans and both ran afoul of the law, one seriously. Steinbrenner was convicted in 1974 of making illegal contributions to President Nixon’s re-election campaign and of obstruction of justice, a felony.  He was spared a jail sentence and paid fines instead.  In 1976, Bush was arrested in Maine for driving under the influence of alcohol.  He forfeited his license.

Bush batted 1.000 when he went to the plate in presidential contests, going two-for-two.  Steinbrenner teams won 10 pennants and six World Series titles while he was in charge of the Yankees.  Both men held power against a backdrop of unpopularity; each became associated with the phrase “evil empire.”  Bush lost broad support for misleading the country into the Iraq invasion and acting to condone torture in the war on terror and curtail civil liberties at home.  Steinbrenner was booed, first, for buying all the best players, then for meddling in the on-the-field running of his ballclub, frequently hiring and firing managers, etc.

In the end, however, Steinbrenner earned the respect of fans, players and even members of the media.  Until this year, the Yankees had qualified for the playoffs for 13 straight seasons, and between 1996 and 2000, they won four World Series titles.  The team has missed that type of success this decade.  As for Bush, there was a major accomplishment on his watch that must be acknowledged, even by his detractors: After 9/11, the country remained untouched by a second terrorist attack.  Like Ronald Reagan, on whose watch Communism collapsed in 1989, Bush may be remembered, however grudgingly, for that single achievem
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The Yankees have returned to George S’s policy of buying the best players available…and it has people in Red Sox Nation worried.  The Globe’s Nick Cafardo saw the Yanks as formidable even before they signed A.J. Burnett:

“They have always been on an island by themselves in terms of what they can afford. They have tried to scale back that approach, trying to go the farm system route, but at the end of the day they revert to what they do best - they buy the best available players...The Yankees will now have a formidable rotation with Sabathia at the head…Watch out.” 

There’ll be plenty of time to lament the lack of quality position players filling holes in the Mets’ roster, so for today let’s hail the good job Omar Minaya did in landing Francisco Rodriguez and J.J. Putz.  Aaron Heilman may vindicate his early promise as a starter with the Mariners, and Joe Smith may develop into a reliable relief specialist with the Indians.  But what they gave the Mets won’t be missed.  Endy Chavez is another story; he had spark as a sub – he could run and field, and hit enough.  The Mets’ loss - admittedly minimal - is the Mariners’ gain.  Two of the three minor leaguers dealt to Seattle may be heard from again: first baseman Mike Carp hit for moderate power - 17 HRs - and average, .299, at Double-A Binghamton last season.  High Class A third baseman Ezequiel Carrera was organizational leader in triples - 12 - while batting .263 for St.Lucie.  The Mets are adding two Mariner marginals as part of the deal - relief pitcher Sean Green (4-5, 4.67 ERA) and outfielder Jeremy Reed (.269, 18 doubles, two HRs  in 97 games).
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(Posted: 12/9/08)

Obama Needs Fortified Bench to Make Crucial Plays

Bench strength: In politics as in baseball, it separates winners from losers.

The re-election of Saxby Chambliss in Georgia’s Senate playoff last week means Team Obama will fall short of the strength needed to nail down a victory during crucial legislative plays.  The Dem president’s team will have to recruit the equivalent of one, two or (if Independent Joe Lieberman doesn’t go along) three rental players to have the numbers - 60 -to force a vote on a bill that will clinch the win.  The rentals will have to be recruited from a small group of free agents playing with the GOP.  The two most likely are Maine’s Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins, both of whom hit to all political fields.

Outside GOP rental possibilities are Pennsylvania’s Arlen Specter, whom NY Times columnist Gail Collins sees as a potentially erratic addition to the Obama bench (“’Moderate and ‘deeply, deeply, deeply politically pragmatic’ are not precisely the same thing.”) and Ohio’s George Voinovich.  The Nation’s John Nichols thinks the survival instinct may persuade the pair to play ball with the Dem team, if needed: For Specter and Voinovich, both of whom face what could be difficult 2010 reelection races in states that were won by Obama, it may be hard to say no to the president.”    

The name of the game: filibuster-blocking.  Team Obama knows its success will be determined on how effectively it scores in that competition.

Hot-stove speculation about Hillary Clinton, key member of Team Obama’s core, is, well, heated.  On one hand, Israeli-affairs scholar Aaron David Miller is quoted in the National Journal as saying “Clinton's sensitivity to domestic politics may discourage her from pushing Israel as well as the Arabs toward concessions for progress.”  On the other, Robert Scheer predicts in the San Francisco Chronicle that Hillary “will leave her mark (as secretary of state) by exploiting her pro-Israel creds to complete President Bill Clinton's once promising Mideast peace initiatives to finally provide the Palestinians, and Israelis, with viable states.”
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At this point, the chances of the Mets providing their fans with a team good enough to make the playoffs  are slim.  Why?  A shortage both of productive second-line players and of a willingness to compete - that is, spend the money - for more than one top-tier free agent.  No one describes how puzzling it all is better than the Star-Ledger’s Dan Graziano:

 “If you're the Mets, with your own TV network and a beautiful new ballpark set to open in April, why be conservative? Why let yourself be priced out of Sabathia, Burnett and Lowe? Why fall in with the teams claiming the poor economy as a reason to hold back this off-season and see how the market develops?

“The Yankees aren't holding back. The Red Sox aren't. They're making plays for Sabathia and Mark Teixeira, the biggest names on the free-agent market. These are the big-money teams, and the big-money teams set the market -- they don't wait for the market to come to them.  The Mets are a big-money team too. They just don't act like it.”

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(Posted 12/6/08)

Team Obama May Change U.S. Anti-Chavez Stance

Johan Santana…Carlos Zambrano…Francisco Rodriguez…Magglio Ordonez…Bobby Abreu

Those are some of the more than three dozen Venezuelan major league players.  A peripheral, just-off-the-black, benefit of Barack Obama’s taking over Team USA is the possibility Johan, Carlos, et al will no longer feel their nationality is frowned upon here for political reasons.  Team Bush didn’t like Venezuela’s democratically elected skipper Hugo Chavez, mainly because he guided his country from the left side of the political playing field.  Six years ago, the Bush-ites were implicated in a failed right-wing effort to force Chavez out of the game on his home turf.     

Since then Chavez has considered the U.S. government no friend and in a speech at the UN called Bush a “devil”.  The tension between our “market democracy”and social-democratic stances spreading in Latin America is hardly new.  The yanquis, we know, have meddled in the region’s internal affairs since the late 19th century.  

What is new is the near-unanimity with which the U.S. media – led by the NY Times and Washington Post - have echoed the government line, much as they did in the run-up to the Iraq invasion.  The media’s latest anti-Chavez line drives came this week when Hugo had the Chutzpah to call for something NYC residents have been denied - a repeat  referendum on term limits.  Salon’s Glenn Greenwald calls our press’s consistent prejudicial parroting a disgrace:

“To this day, Chavez's hostility towards the U.S. Government (just as is true for the hostility of Iranian and Cuban leaders and many others) is depicted as proof of his dangerous extremism and irrationality -- even his mental instability -- as though American attempts to dictate who governs other countries will generate anger and resentment only among the Primitive, the Crazed, and the Evil.  More generally, discussions of our own role in spawning anti-American sentiment around the world is still more or less off limits in mainstream discourse… And our political and media elite continue to bastardize language to justify whatever we do, with ’democracy’ meaning ’a government that follows U.S. dictates regardless of how it gained and maintains power,’ and  ‘dictatorship’ meaning ‘a government not beholden to U.S. dictates even if they were democratically elected’."

Indeed, speaking positively about their native land seems to be off-limits to the Venezuelan major leaguers, who maintain a prudent silence about politics.  The onetime exception: voluble White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen.  Five years ago, on leading his team to a World Series title, Guillen expressed his national pride before a U.S. television audience.  After congratulating his team, Ozzie said with emotion: “Viva Venezuela!”
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When he signed a five-year contract to be Mets GM four years ago, Omar Minaya was promised he would not have to share power with VP Jeff Wilpon, who had undercut Jim Duquette, Omar’s predecessor.  That promise apparently no longer applies after the two straight late-season Mets collapses.  True, Minaya has been granted a four-year contract extension, but Jeff, the boss’s son, has made clear that he and father Fred will be looking over Omar’s shoulder from now on.  One reason: the four-year, $25 million contract the GM gave to Luis Castillo, a deal Joe Sheehan of Baseball Prospectus calls “the worst idea of Omar Minaya’s career.”

Jeff Wilpon hinted at the dilution of Minaya’s authority the other day when he sought to quiet concerns about the Mets’ inactivity on the free-agent and trade fronts: "Omar is comfortable with where we are…He's on the phone all of the time with the other GMs, trying to set things up ... He knows where he's going and where he wants to go.  We're going to let him do that." 

Post-script to the lead story:  Actor and baseball fan Sean Penn interviewed Hugo Chavez for The Nation magazine.  Penn reported he needed a translator, but…” On the subject of baseball, Chávez's command of English soars.”   
                                  
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(Posted 12/2/08)

Bloomberg's 'Hidden Ball Trick' Not Working

Former NYC schools chancellor Frank Macchiarola calls it Mike Bloomberg’s “hidden ball trick.”  The “ball” is the back-room jawboning managed by the mayor in connection with the city’s giveaways to the Yankees for their new stadium.  Mike sent pinch-hitters to press a quid-pro-quo demand for a free luxury suite, which the city received after agreeing to grant the Yankees an add-on goodie - 250 free parking spaces in a municipally-leased lot. 

The mayor distanced himself from the tawdry deal-making, just as he hid behind Deputy Mayor Dan Doctoroff when in 2005 the city tried to win public approval of a West Side Stadium by linking the project to a far-fetched bid for the 2012 Olympic Games.  This time, one of Mike’s new-stadium stand-ins gave away the trick:  “This is a big issue to the mayor,” he said, during e-mail exchanges with the Yankees.

Thanks to some digging by a team run by Westchester Assemblyman Richard Brodsky, Mayor Mike can’t hide from the major role he’s played in defraying the Yankees’ construction costs to the tune of hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars.  As one example of indirect financial help, Team Bloomberg got the IRS to let the Yankees float $942 million in tax-free bonds.  Only after that favor did the team consider turning the luxury suite over to the city.

By begging handouts, the Yankees, baseball’s richest franchise, have tarnished their gilt-edged image.  But the PR hit the team has taken is nothing compared to the depth of Bloomberg’s self-inflicted wound.  Polls throughout most of his seven years in office showed him scoring consistently high in trustworthiness.  His stadium hidden-ball moves plus his devious stance on extending term limits have surely undercut that strength. 

Village Voice columnist Wayne Barrett offers a measure of how badly Bloomberg has hurt himself.  He called Mike “the best mayor…I’ve covered in 31 years.” Now, says Barrett, “he’s also the worst.”  Here’s how Barrett sums up what has happened to the once “best” mayor:

The Bloomberg who came into office as the anti-politician, promising to transform city government, has been transformed himself. Some of us liked him precisely because his wealth insulated him from the kind of horsetrading that diminished his predecessors. But seven years later, Bloomberg has…proved himself to be a master politician, as hungry for power as anyone we've ever seen…”

A master politician from the era of the French Revolution – Charles-Maurice de Talleyrand – could have been speaking with prescience about the Bloomberg of 2008 when he said: “The most difficult farewell is the farewell to power.”
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Keeping the Thanksgiving spirit alive in the baseball world, the Boston Globe’s Nick Cafardo and his statman Bill Chuck offer these expressions of gratitude for good things that happened in the 2008 season on behalf of players, teams and fans who experienced those things:      

“1. Mark Buehrle is thankful for throwing 34 double plays this past season, the most in the majors, and the White Sox are thankful for Buehrle, because in 218 2/3 innings, he committed no errors. 2. Trevor Hoffman is thankful to umpires who called 70.3 percent of his pitches strikes, the highest percentage in the majors. 3. The Rays are thankful to Akinori Iwamura, who in 627 at-bats only grounded into two double plays, the fewest in the majors. 4. The Yankees are thankful to the 4,298,655 fans who attended their games, the most in the majors. 5. The Diamondbacks are thankful for catcher Chris Snyder, who in 112 games made no errors. 6. The Brewers are thankful for left fielder Ryan Braun, who in 149 games made no errors. 7. Phillies starters are thankful to Brad Lidge, who was 41 for 41 in save opportunities. 8. Orioles pitchers are grateful to Nick Markakis and his AL outfielder-leading 17 assists. 9. Braves fans are thankful to Chipper Jones, who hit .399 in Atlanta, the highest home average of any batter in baseball.”
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