The Nub

 the_nub.html

July 2008 Archive

(Posted 7/31/08)

 

Despite the sizzling pennant races in five of six divisions and the simmering presidential election campaign, baseball and political fans have reason to be hot under the collar these days.  In both fields, facades that obscure tawdriness are stirring up resentments.

 

We’ve learned this week that behind the shiny promotional shell glorifying the new Yankee Stadium, is another in a series of boondoggles: the apparent misuse of tax-free bonds through overvaluation of land involved in the project.  The higher the estimated value of the land, the more money that can be raised through bond sales.  The city has agreed to letting the bond-buyers receive tax-free repayment with interest.  That’s good for the Yankees and investors but represents a loss in tax money that could help improve New York’s schools, roads, health care, etc.   Congressional investigators want to know why the city went along with the deal, seemingly a sellout of the public.  A hearing has been scheduled for September.

 

Meanwhile, the Yankees have failed to make good on a $1.6 million commitment as part of a sop to the community for, among other depredations, destruction of 22 acres of parkland.  On a day when both the feds and the state were bearing down on the Yanks for their anti-public behavior, the team announced that, belatedly, it was meeting a fraction of that commitment in the form of grants to 15 local youth groups.  That story received big play in the Daily News, which printed not a line on new developments in the tax-free bonds story, a story News columnist Juan Gonzales broke a day earlier.  The NYC media, with few exceptions, have been content to report on the stadium façade, not the negative stuff behind it.  As for the politicians who rubber-stamped the project, they’re playing dodge-ball: Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion, for example, repeatedly declines to comment on the deal (according to Gonzales).  Bronx Dem Party Chair Jose Rivera said, in effect “Don’t ask me” about what’s happening.  “If the people we put in place are not doing their job, they need to be fired.” 

 

The façade of legality Congress and the media have allowed the Bush Administration to hide behind in the name of anti-terrorism has appalled, not only many Americans, but much of the world.   Author and journalist Jane Mayer documents the damage in her book “The Dark Side”.  After laying out Team Bush’s policy of “deliberate cruelty… (including) the…sanction(ing of) coerced confessions, extrajudicial detention and other violations of individuals’ liberties” in an article in the NY Review of Books, Mayer describes the global consequences in sobering terms:  

 

“The war in Iraq, the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, and the deteriorating security situations in Afghanistan and Pakistan have all reportedly contributed to the radicalization of the Muslim world.  But according to one former official who traveled extensively through the Middle East, no subject was described by Muslims he spoke with as more deeply disturbing than America's abuse of the detainees.  Eric Haseltine, the former top adviser on science and technology to the Director of National Intelligence, worries that prisoner abuse has profoundly hurt what he defines as the most important battle in the war on terror— the struggle to win the support of the next generation of Arab youth. ‘I came away from my many visits to the Middle East convinced there is a widespread belief that if America abuses prisoners then there can be no true freedom for anyone,’ he said.  ‘It seemed to me that our greatest sin in the eyes of Muslims was not invading the Middle East, or even our support of Israel: our greatest sin was robbing Muslims of hope’."

                               -     -     -

If the Mets don’t obtain a solid roster addition by 4 this afternoon, it will likely be because of the following addition Fred Wilpon sees when looking at his player payroll: Moises Alou $8.5 million, Orlando Hernandez $6 million, Luis Castillo, $6 million.  That’s $20.5 million out of Wilpon’s pocket this season for a handful of games each from Alou and Castillo, and none from Hernandez.   Can the owner be blamed for saying to Omar Minaya “We’ve got to go with what we have.  Enough is enough.”?

The Yankees have a passel of long-term injured of their own.  But Brian Cashman  clearly has been allowed to spend to get the players he felt the team needs to compete for the world championship.  Having traded Kyle Farnsworth for Detroit’s Ivan Rodriguez after obtaining Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte from the Pirates, Cashman has inflated the Yankees’ MLB-high payroll of $209 million by a pro-rated total of close to $5 million.  Do the math: Rodriguez makes $13 million, Nady $3.35 mil, Marte $2 mil.  With about a third of the season left,  that combined pro-rated tab comes to a little over $6 million, minus the less-than $2 million the Yanks will save as Detroit picks up that money Farnsworth ($5.5 mil) is to receive.  Five mil may be chump change for the Yanks but not for their comparatively budget-conscious Queens relations. 

Could Manny be talking himself out of Boston to go to south Florida?  A lot of media people - on SNY, YES, ESPN, etc - seem to think it can happen.  We should know by 4p this afternoon.    The guess here is that, in the end, the Sox will keep Ramirez, shrugging off the latest flap with the familiar mantra “Manny will be Manny.”                            


(Posted 7/29/08)

 

No better time to appreciate how everybody loves the idea of an even playing field.  Everybody, that is, but the people who run baseball.  And the country’s power elite.  Funny, how they mirror each other, isn’t it?  It’s no secret that, despite our land-of-opportunity lip service, the national economic playing field is skewed – income inequality wider than it has ever been.  In the MLB, on the days leading to July 31, the rich teams reach out and get richer for the season’s homestretch; the working class teams deal stars to save money and look to another day.

 

How big has the national economic losing streak been for have-nots?  The federal minimum wage, which went up to $6.55 an hour this month, is three-and-half dollars less in real (adjusted for inflation) terms than it was 40 years ago.  The great progressive journalist Murray Kempton gave the simplest explanation of what lowered income levels  over those four decades; he spoke impromptu on the subject shortly before his death in 1997 at an Upper West Side political club.

 

“When I was a young reporter,” he said, “elected officials responded to their constituents.  Now, I’m an old reporter and elected officials respond to their contributors.”  That’s all he said.  What he didn’t have to add: the influence of money had turned too many of our political hitters into bat boys for the big guys in business. 

 

Fans fortunate enough to live in high-income MLB neighborhoods like New York, Boston, Chicago and Los Angeles, find this period - when what had been a largely even field is realigned to favor a few well-heeled teams - exciting.  “The best time of the year,” some misguided ESPN savant called it.  Not if you live in Oakland, or Pittsburgh, or Cleveland.  Fans in those cities have about as much reason to cheer this month as do minimum-raise people now able to try to live on $6.55 an hour.  

 

The teams likely to be most affected by last-minute upper-income deals are the two with the lowest payrolls: Florida and Tampa Bay.  Until now both have been in the thick of their division races.  We can hope they will stay there for the rest of the season, but the odds against it are probably about to grow.

Rich Get Richer (cont.):  The Yanks, who saw Mike Mussina retrogress last night, seem on the verge of adding Seattle’s Jarrold Washburn on top of newly acquired Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte..  Scott Miller, of CBS Sports, puts that putative deal into perspective:

 

Adding Washburn would cost the Yankees a minimum of $14 million in salary through 2009 -- ahem, New York's deep pockets are on the verge of striking again -- and that alone should induce Mariners general manager Lee Pelekoudas to keep Yankees counterpart Brian Cashman on speed dial.  The broken Mariners can use the savings and a low-level prospect they would get from the Yankees far more than they can use Washburn if they don't deal him...

 

 So score another for the Yankees, who, if Manny Ramirez’s latest midseason mental break in Boston continues very much longer, have every tool now to bypass the Red Sox and close in on Tampa Bay in the AL East. “

 

It was a chancy proposition, the Mets making the playoffs while remaining overly dependent on Fernando Tatis, Damian Easley, Endy Chavez, etc.  Now, with starter

John Maine’s future availability in doubt, it’s Mayday for Omar Minaya. 

 

Mark Teixeira could decide who wins the NL West.  He’ll be traded this week, the Braves say, and the consensus is Arizona has the best shot at getting him.  But the Dodgers will likely be spurred to get into the bidding because they won’t have much of a chance of making the playoffs if the D-backs do indeed add the slugging first baseman.

 

Angelic Augury?  In the previous four years, the first team to reach 60 wins made it to the World Series.  The LA Angels were the first to reach that milestone this year.  Were the season to end now, the Angels would have to get by any two of either the Rays, Red Sox or White Sox to get to the grand finale.  A big challenge that could even be bigger if the Yanks and Tigers push their way into the playoffs.

 

 

(Posted 7/26/08)

 

The surging Yankees on the mind this weekend, for reasons good and bad:  First, the bad:  the sentimental hype about the Stadium’s final season is sickening.  The team could have invested in renewal of the existing ballpark and made possible survival of what is an authentic sporting shrine.  Instead, fans are supposed to cheer the coming of a glitzy new suburban-friendly stadium with its plethora of corporate boxes, higher ticket prices, etc.  And we’re all expected to ignore destruction of 22 acres of precious parkland needed to make way for the taxpayer-subsidized extravaganza.  The general media applause for what’s happening is a prime example of the “con” in conventional wisdom.

 

On the other hand, led by Joe Girardi and Derek Jeter, the Yanks on the field exude class.  With his quiet intensity, Girardi kept the team on an even keel through early struggles; he maintains the same commanding composure now.  Jeter continually exhibits the “aura of refined casualness” - something he shares with his bi-racial political counterpart Barack Obama.  Incidentally that phrase – another way of saying “comfortable in his skin” - was used by an Israeli reporter this week in describing Barack Obama during his visit to a village near Gaza.    

 

The benefits Barack gains from the Jeter-Obama connection has been noted here often.  Columnist Frank Deford amplifies the idea in the latest Sports Illustrated:

 

“Look, maybe Obama would be the Democratic nominee if there had never been a Frank Robinson… and a Derek Jeter.  But I really don't think so.  I think the black athlete has, ultimately, made a deep, if subconscious, impression on whites.  He's been heroic, of course.  But beyond that, it's he who's had the chance to show whites that he can be congenial -- just folks, just like the white guy next door -- and that he can demonstrably lead people, yea, even to championships. This evolving comfort factor for fans must have eased the path for Obama with voters.”

                                                -     -     -

In the third inning Thursday afternoon, it almost seemed as if SNY’s Ron Darling had a line in to Jose Reyes, leading off first base against the Phils’ crafty Jamie Moyer.  Moyer had thrown over twice when Darling said it would be a good time for Reyes to go: “Few pitchers throw over to first three times.”  Reyes went on the next pitch; he stole second and eventually scored the Mets’ first run on David Wright’s single.

 

After the 3-1 victory that put his team in first place, Jerry Manuel sent an implicit SOS to Omar Minaya for offensive help: “The way our team is hitting, every game is going to be close.  I’m hoping the middle of the order catches fire.”  Best guess on whom the Mets could land before Thursday’s inter-league trade deadline:  KC’s Jose Guillen.  Why?  The Royals, now out of the AL Central race, might like to unload Guillen’s big contract and not demand any of the Mets’ few attractive prospects in the bargain.


(Posted 7/24/08)

 

A serendipitous mid-summer skim of the still-tentative lineup for the 2009 NYC mayoral race. 

 

Leading off, alphabetically and also as first to take the field, is Queens Councilman Tony Avella.  As befits a leadoff man, Avella seems to be always in motion, making the rounds of the city’s political bases.  He started running, and seemed to be everywhere, more than a year ago.  At the same time, he’s managed to attend to Council business, his attendance record at last published count was more than 96 percent, best of the legislative bunch. Avella’s stance: populist, on the side of communities opposed to what they consider to be over-development.  His problem: his game has not attracted enough money so he can take it to another level.

 

Batting second on our scorecard is the lineup’s number two fundraiser, Comptroller Billy Thompson.  Billy, adept at taking advantage of fielding errors, has reached base through aggressiveness recently against the MTA (for deferring several capital programs), the Sanitation Department (for deficiencies in its vacant-lot cleanup program), the Department of Aging (for insufficient oversight of senior centers) and the Department of Education (for slow response to complaints about school buses).  The sometimes-long-after-the-fact nature of Thompson’s audits and complaints has prevented him from scoring big with the media and public.  But as a player both well financed plus respected by the political establishment, and the lineup’s only African-American, he will clearly be competitive.  

 

Council Speaker Christine Quinn earns the customarily productive third spot in the order because she attracts more favorable press than Thompson, despite the part she played in the city’s slush fund rhubarb.  That was the game in which the Council bigs earmarked discretionary dollars whose existence was kept secret.  Recent Quinnipiac poll numbers suggest that Quinn has overcome the bad buzz thrumming from the scandal.  She finished tied with Thompson in that survey.  The impact of Quinn’s status as the lineup’s lone openly gay member is still to be played out.  But the fact that she has a fan in Mayor Bloomberg can’t hurt.

 

The clean-up batter, pro-tem, is Congressman Anthony Weiner, who could have forced a runoff in the 2005 Democratic mayoral primary.  The party owes him for leaving the field to Freddy Ferrer then.  Weiner is the only mayoral player to have already maxed out in money raised for the primary campaign.  The success of the congressman’s financial pitch may connect to his being more centrist than both his lineup-mates and most party activists.  His piddling supply of progressiveness may provoke much noisy opposition.  But no one will dispute Weiner’s status as the most intense, engaging and witty of the top-tier candidates.  

 

Well, Brooklyn BP Marty Markowitz may disagree with part of that judgment.  Marty, an antic charmer in his own right, has been penciled in as the lineup’s fifth hitter on the strength of his surprisingly strong support in the Q-poll.  He finished third behind Bloomberg and NYPD Commissioner Ray Kelly.  The commish would presumably run as a Republican, vying with supermarket slap-hitter John Catsimatidis.  Perfect Pitch’s public opinion guru, pollster Bob Sullivan, says Kelly should be placed deep down in the lineup, near our all-but-invisible Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum.  Many New Yorkers, Sullivan says, will not forget that Kelly skippered the repressive tactics used to clamp down on anti-war marchers several times in the past years and also on demonstrators outside the Republican Convention in 2004.

 

Sullivan and teammate agree that the above lineup card can be thrown out if State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo decides to go for mayor as his father did three decades ago.  Unlike Mario Cuomo, who lost to Ed Koch, Andrew figures – as of now - to have a big edge in the field on the basis of his strong record as AG.  Should the young Cuomo run, Sullivan believes Weiner could give him a battle.  But there’s no doubt the congressman would have to cede his spot as clean-up hitter in the race.    

                                                 -     -     - 

The Mets have reason to settle for a split of their two games with the Phillies and to welcome a possible rainout today.  Pedro Martinez has left the team, owing to his father’s death in the Dominican Republic.  That leaves their rotation short-handed for the Cardinals series this weekend.  Rain, however, could make today’s starter Oliver Perez available tomorrow, with Mike Pelfrey penciled in for Saturday.  Tony Armas, who pitched well against the Cards early in the month, could presumably be brought back for another start Sunday.   

 

The Mets have won 12 of 15, but it’s the streaking Yanks who are playing great ball.  Seldom have two contending teams played so contrastingly as the NYY’s and the Twins during their three-game series at the Stadium.  Total score: NY 25, Minnesota 7.  The Yanks did everything right – timely hitting, superb pitching – especially by Mike Mussina in yesterday’s finale, and the team’s relief corps generally.  The Twins, who supposedly do the little things right, made a series of big, dumb mistakes; the most glaring: second baseman Alexi Casilla’s failure to complete an inning-ending double-play Wednesday afternoon because he lost count of the outs. The Yankees took advantage of the extra fifth-inning at-bat to break a 0-0 tie and go on to their sixth straight victory.   The swept Twins have now lost four straight and their lead over third-place Detroit in the AL Central has shrunk to three games.  The Yanks go into Boston Friday just three games behind the Sox and (depending on a game tonight) no more than four behind the first-place Rays.                                     

 

Winning seven straight, the Milwaukee Brewers have moved to within a game of first in the NL Central.  When ownership sprung for C.C. Sabathia earlier in the month, some people thought it presumptuous of the team to think it could overtake the Cardinals, much less the Cubs.  The Brewers’ three wins in St.Louis suggest they knew what they were doing.

 

 

(Posted 7/22/08)

 

When asked by a journalist during the Depression how he could justify his large salary, Babe Ruth reportedly said something like “Nobody on somebody’s payroll is paid too much.” 

 

The size of employee salaries - the amount employers consider their workers to be worth - often becomes an issue in a slumping economy (or when a highly paid player goes into a slump).  If jobs are not eliminated, hours on the payroll are reduced.  Upper-level people are affected, too, but it’s the working masses who take the biggest hit.  In our trickle-down system, most of those at the top - corporate executives, managers, shareholders and the corporations themselves – are cushioned from the shock of drastically lost income. 

 

International Herald Tribune columnist William Pfaff  talks of the “moral responsibility” corporate owners and managers felt in the post-World War II period for employee well-being.  With the coming of market democracy abetted by business-oriented government and a corresponding decline of unions, the executive and managerial class began treating their workers as - in Omar Minaya’s phrase - “inventory players”; that is, replaceable parts. 

 

Pfaff, an Iowan who lives in France, a social democracy where unions are still strong and employee solidarity a source of political clout - wonders how our system became so skewed:  I would be interested to know,” he says, “the moral and social argument for privileging stockholder and management interests over the interests and contractual claims of employees…Is the survival of a particular corporation… a superior public interest to the well-being of its past and present workers?

”Does this additionally mean that management which mismanages nonetheless possesses a claim on the corporation and its assets superior to that of the employees who suffer the direct consequences of this mismanagement?”

 

The answer for the moment is dismal, yet cautiously hopeful: the unequal market-driven system will remain in place until we elect - perhaps as early as next November - public servants pledged to reestablish the respected place of employees in the corporate order.

                                                   -     -     -

While the Mets have been winning 11 of 13, the Yanks have returned to their contending place in the AL East order, taking nine of 12.   This may be the only time this season when both local teams are clicking, and at home. 

 

The Minnesota Twins are one of five teams in the bottom quarter of the ML payroll list that are legitimate playoff contenders.  The Twins are notable because they lost three key players - Johan Santana, Carlos Silva and Torii Hunter over the winter – and now comprise mostly modestly paid player-employees.  Nevertheless, Minnesota now boasts  the best record in baseball – 23-9 – over the past five weeks, and by far the best team hitting average - .313, going into last night’s defeat - with runners in scoring position.  What’s been the source of the Twins’ surprising performance?   Organizational “depth,” manager Ron Gardenhire told NY Timesman Pat Borzi.   

 

Even with the loss of Jorge Posada, the Yankees have sufficient depth so the addition of Richie Sexson may well be all the dealing they’ll do between now and the end of the month.  The Mets’ glaring lack of depth seemed to preclude their making a major deal.  But Jerry Manuel says he thinks Omar Minaya is ready to pull the trigger on a trade that would bring a name outfielder to team.   The careful Manuel would be unlikely to put Omar on the spot if a deal wasn’t in the offing.                                    

                                              

Ten days before the inter-league trading deadlines, 20 of 30 teams are within single-digit games of the top of their divisions, meaning they have a right to think of buying instead of selling.  Only six games separate the top four teams in the NL East, eight-and-a-half in the NL West, with defending league champion Colorado (seven games behind) back in the mix.

 

 

(Posted: 7/17/08)

 

Derek Jeter and Alex Rodriguez reminded us the other day of bush-league behavior by fellow ML ballplayers.  In 2006, players, teams and even some fans greeted the World Baseball Classic - our national pastime’s first truly global tournament - with disdain.  It was a disruptive distraction, they said, causing too much spring training time to be lost, and exposing participants to the risk of injuries.  The performance of the U.S. team reflected that lack of enthusiasm; the (a)pathetic play earned the U.S. elimination in an early round (long before Japan beat Cuba in an exciting final).

 

Jeter and Rodriguez now say they are looking forward to the second WBC next spring to redeem American “pride.”  The hope here is that a more positive attitude toward the Classic will be catching; that the public, like the teams, will be more accepting of, not only the change in baseball routine, but of the way things are done, generally. 

 

We like to think of ourselves as a proud people, but clearly it is egotism, rather than pride, that diminishes us.  Our self-involvement and anti-otherness have surfaced lately as a result of something Barack Obama said at a meeting in Georgia last week.  In case you missed it, a woman spoke of the need for bi-lingual education, prompting this reply from the candidate:

 

“I agree that immigrants should learn English. I agree with that.  But understand this. Instead of worrying about whether immigrants can learn English -- they'll learn English -- you need to make sure your child can speak Spanish. You should be thinking about, how can your child become bilingual?  We should have every child speaking more than one language.

“You know, it's embarrassing when Europeans come over here, they all speak English, they speak French, they speak German. And then we go over to Europe, and all we can say [is], ‘Merci beaucoup.’ Right?...

“I'm serious about this. We should understand that…  if you have a foreign language, that is a powerful tool to get a job.  You are so much more employable. You can be part of international business. So we should be emphasizing foreign languages in our schools from an early age, because children will actually learn a foreign language easier when they're 5, or 6, or 7 than when they're 46, like me.”  

 

For those sensible remarks, Obama has been accused of being an elitist, of seeking to make Spanish our official language, etc.  Not that many Americans seek to discriminate against Spanish.  They resent the prominent use of any other language in this country.  This indiscriminant attitude extends on the political field to the targeting of terrorists.  The American Prospect’s Ezra Klein says Obama makes crucial distinctions between groups like al Quaida and Hezbollah while the Republicans lump several disparate groups together:

 

“Obama says one of the clear distinctions between the Left's approach to terrorism and the Right's approach to terrorism is that the Left wants to limit the scope of the conflict, while the Right wants to expand it.  So though it was only al Qaeda who attacked us on 9/11, Romney and Giuliani and McCain and plenty of their colleagues want to zoom out from al Qaeda to terrorism, and from terrorism to Islamic extremism. Rather than this being an effort to hunt down al Qaeda, it becomes a war to hunt down al Qaeda, destroy Hezbollah, eradicate Hamas, overthrow Saddam Hussein, change the regime in Tehran, crush the Muslim Brotherhood, and confront Syria.”

 

Thus, says Klein (and by implication, Obama), the Republicans would have us girding to take on militarily a massive part of the Muslim world.

                                             -     -     -

If you think the Yanks and the Mets have holes as the crucial half of the season begins, consider the plight of Joe Torre and his LA Dodgers.  Columnist Mark Whicker, of the Orange Country Register, offers this rundown of LA problems:

 

“Surely the Dodgers could have foreseen their 46-49 record – eighth-best in the National League – if they'd known that:

•Rafael Furcal would play only 32 games. He's still eighth on the team in total bases.

•Andruw Jones would devolve into something almost satirical. His OPS (on base average, plus slugging percentage) is .513. Lance Berkman, Chipper Jones and Albert Pujols are all over 1.000.

•Brad Penny would win only five games and get hurt.

•Clayton Kershaw, the ace in the hole, would have to be played so early in the season and then hidden back into the deck.

•The offense would score seven fewer runs than Kansas City and 117 fewer than the Cubs.

Add the fact that Jason Schmidt still isn't ready to begin earning the $47 million he got last year, and you have an apparent Code Blue situation.”

Stat city: Teams with fewest errors – (AL) Cleveland, 41; (NL) Houston 47.  Teams with best one-run game records – (AL) Texas, 19-11; (NL) Milwaukee, 20-10.  Teams with best extra-innings records – (AL) Oakland, 7-2; (NL) Pittsburgh, 10-3. 

Mets:  63 errors; 9-13 one-run games; 7-4 extra innings

Red Sox: 55 errors; 14-16 one-run games; 4-2 extra innings

Yanks: 50 errors; 17-11 one-run games; 3-2 extra innings

 

(Posted 7/15/08)

 

A spate of disappointments – political as well as athletic – stand out at the symbolic halfway point of the baseball season.  The Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Indians have seen their pennant pretensions disappear.  Chuck (Where’s Charlie?) Schumer has emerged anew as a living disappointment, a label earned this time for, among other things, his chutzpah use of the d-word: he uttered it in describing the work of at least one player he helped put into power. 

 

It was right-leaning lefthander Schumer, you may remember, who cast a decisive committee vote that eventually installed Michael Mukasey as attorney general, replacing Alberto Gonzales.  Schumer made an effective pitch for Mukasey, saying he would be an improvement over torture-enabler Gonzales (whose appointment in 2005 the senator supported and called “encouraging.”)  Mukasey “is the best we can hope for,” Schumer said last year, adding that the AG nominee had persuaded him he was prepared to overrule the White House on water-boarding and executive privilege.  When the new attorney general reneged on that alleged promise, Schumer called it “disappointing.”

 

Then, last week, after Mukasey told senate investigators he would not pursue the possibility of politically motivated prosecutions by his federal attorneys, Schumer upped his verbal velocity: he said he was “very disappointed.” 

 

Charlie’s pitch through the years - described by one puzzled centrist as containing “no consistent set of principles…(except)…to follow the way the wind is blowing” -  has dismayed NY progressives since his election to the upper chamber in 1998.  He voted to give Bush war powers in 2002,  then declined to say a single public word about the deceitful conflict in Iraq beyond backing initiatives to support the troops.  And last September, Schumer helped bolster White House belligerence toward Iran by voting     

to designate that country’s revolutionary guard a terrorist organization.

 

“You have to be careful” is a favorite Schumer feint when caught in a decision-making pickle.  One occurred last week, fed regulators saying a letter of concern written by the NY senator triggered a disastrous run on a California bank.  His critics on the left found this to be a rare time to be less-than-disappointed with Schumer.  For once, he had not been self-protectively careful. 

                              -     -     -

Nobody asked, but…

 

Mets fans would be wise not to let the team’s pre-All Star surge give them playoff illusions.  Why?  Even in a weak division, a team dependent on bargain-basement/unproven fill-in’s like Fernando Tatis, Argenis Reyes, Robinson Cancel and Nick Evans cannot be counted on to compete like champions against opponents tougher than the Giants and Rockies. 

 

That caveat notwithstanding, Omar Minaya deserves another rare commendation from this corner:  He had the vision to install Jerry Manuel as Willie Randolph’s second-in-command, and to hold on to Mike Pelfrey during the Johan Santana negotiations (although it may be the Twins wanted no part of the pre-season Pelfrey).

                              

Sentiment fans will dismiss but Fred Wilpon may share: “You don't want to be in the situation where you wake up one morning and Johan Santana has won eight games all season and you owe him $150 million.” - Mark Lerner, principal owner, Washington Nationals on strategy vis-à-vis free agents.

 

The Yankees, five-and-a-half games from the wild card lead, are at least even money – it says here – to qualify for the playoffs that way.  They have the depth of quality personnel (unlike the Mets) to leapfrog the Rays, Twins and A’s.  The Red Sox can match the Yanks in fire power and exceed them in starting-pitching effectiveness.  The Sox are a hairline-click away from being a top-of-division lock.   

 

Collective disappointment of the half-season: the five NL West teams, all under .500.                              

 

 

(Posted 7/3/08)

  

Two cautionary baseball tales for Barack Obama – one from the east, provided by the Philadelphia Phillies, the other from the west, courtesy of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Both teams entered June, comfortably ahead of their main rivals in the NL East and West divisions.  The D-backs proceeded to lose 16 of 27 over the month, letting the well-under-.500 Dodgers stay close.  The Phillies won only three of their last 14 games in June, giving renewed hopes to both the sub-.500 Mets and Braves.

 

Most polls showed Obama with a double-digit lead over John McCain at the end of May, a lead that by the end of June had shrunk to a consensus six points.  A prominent player on the NYC political field who was an early supporter of Obama said during that May-June period: “I hope he hasn’t peaked too early.”

 

The downward spiral began as soon as it became clear Barack would be the Dem nominee.  Detailed poll results then apparently presented Team Obama with a dilemma: whether to switch strategy or stay the course.  A Gallup survey taken in June suggests what prompted the decision to swerve toward the center.  The polling firm’s Jeffrey Jones described the potential pitfall awaiting Obama, as indicated by the survey :

Obama is running as the ‘change’ candidate, and while that would seem to be advantageous, positioning in an election to replace an unpopular incumbent, there is risk in advocating more change than perhaps Americans would be comfortable with. To the extent that McCain and the Republican Party can paint Obama as looking to make too great a departure from the status quo, they can make McCain seem like a safe alternative.

“The USA Today/Gallup poll asked Americans how concerned they are that Obama would go too far in changing policies that Bush has pursued.  About half say they are concerned, including 30% who are very concerned.”

For the time being, Team Obama obviously thinks it can at least stabilize the poll numbers by winning over worried swing voters with its switch strategy.  As for longtime supporters, the Obama team believes they won’t go anywhere, despite dismay over the changes in what their candidate is saying.  Progressives are using another “dis” word – disgust.

                    

Here is what the Philadelphia Inquirer is saying about tomorrow’s big day for baseball and other holiday events:

“This year, America doesn't deserve to celebrate its birthday.  This Fourth of July should be a day of quiet and atonement.  For we have sinned.  We have failed to pay attention.  We've settled for lame excuses.  We've spit on the memory of those who did that brave, brave thing in Philadelphia 232 years ago.  The America those men founded should never torture a prisoner.  The America they founded should never imprison people for years without charge or hearing.  The America they founded should never ship prisoners to foreign lands, knowing their new jailers might torture them.  Such abuses once were committed by the arrogant crowns of Europe, spawning rebellion. Today, our nation does such things in the name of our safety. Petrified, unwilling to take the risks that love of liberty demands, we close our eyes.”

                                       -     -     -

“After having so much success for so many years,” asked Gary Cohen on SNY last night, “is it hard for someone like Pedro to adjust to what he’s going through?”  Pedro Martinez was giving up four runs and five hits in the first inning of the Mets-Cardinals game.  Replied Keith Hernandez ‘It’s hard not to channel the negativity.”  Pedro’s body language bespoke lack of confidence.  Cohen wondered aloud when the time would come to concede that Pedro wasn’t going to return to anything close to his old form.  From the   the grave faces of Jerry Manuel and pitching coach Dan Warthen, watching from the dugout, it looked like that time has arrived.  Cohen reminded viewers that the Mets have still not won a game where they’ve fallen more than two runs behind: “That’s amazing.” he said, “considering how late it is in the season.”

 

The Yankees’ bats revived last night, thanks to Texas’s lack of pitching depth.  Ron Washington had to send a raw rookie - Warren Madrigal - in to protect a 7-6 lead in the bottom of the seventh.  The result: sad music for the Rangers.  Although disappointed in losing the series, Joe Girardi had to be pleased by relief work of new recruits Dan Giese and David Robertson, as well as by the consistently good Jose Veras and Edwar Ramirez.      

 

Broadcasting from Boston the other week, Buck Showalter was asked if he agreed that Dustin Pedroia deserved to be the starting AL All-Star second baseman.  “After Ian Kinsler,” he said, referring to the Rangers’ young standout who gets comparatively little attention in the East.  Yankee fans don’t need to be persuaded of Kinsler’s value after watching him during the series at the Stadium.  An ill-timed error last night notwithstanding, Kinsler put on an overall show.  He played major roles in Texas’ two victories with key hits and stolen bases.  He is among AL leaders in BA as well as steals and is on a pace to reach 100 RBI’s despite batting leadoff.  

 

(The Nub will take a pre-All Star break over the next week-and-a-half, returning

the day of the game, 7/15)

 

(Posted 7/1/08)

 

Charlie Rangel, number three hitter on NY’s Congressional team, has a baseball-like answer when asked how he feels about his political teammates moving to the center.  “You want to win,” he says.  “You count the votes, and if you see you’re one short, you move.”

 

Sometimes numerical “wins” on issues like war-funding and foreign intelligence surveillance (FISA) look like defeats to the party’s activist base.  Rangel took a positive half-swing at that idea yesterday during a breakfast organized by the publication City Hall.  He expressed frustration over the bi-partisan support for what he considers a waste of lives and resources.  “Money means absolutely nothing,” he said, “when it comes to paying for the war.”  The money could be better spent on health care, education, affordable housing, he said.  Yet, “No one gets upset.”

 

The House Ways and Means chair did not try to speak of Barack Obama – although he did go to bat for the party’s presidential nominee (“As president, he could bring us health, peace, education – good stuff.”)  But Rangel did say he thought Hillary Clinton – of whom he was an early supporter – deserved serious consideration for second spot on Obama’s team: “Sixteen million votes she received (in the primaries) added to his 16 million.  It makes arithmetical sense to me.”

 

Perhaps not surprisingly, right-of-center commentators are also making the case for  Obama to choose Hillary as his running mate.  Columnist Michael Goodwin put it in this dismissive way in the Daily News:  “While those shifts (away from left-of-center stances) are probably necessary to reach a general election audience, they undercut (Obama’s) claims of a new kind of truth-in-advertising politics.  So, if he’s going to act like a Clinton, why not team up with one?”

                                                      -     -     -

Twice now the Mets have shown vital signs in series against the Yanks only to sink back into lifelessness when returning to NL play.  Things were so bad last night in St.Louis that Gary Cohen and Keith Hernandez on SNY put together what could have been a verbal epitaph for the team.  What has happened, Cohen wondered.  “I’ve been on teams where when the pitching was good, the hitting wasn’t,” Hernandez mused. “They can’t get it together.”

 

Over on YES, there was hope.  When, trailing Texas 2-1, the Yanks escaped from a none-out, man-on-third situation in the seventh, Kenny Singleton suggested the stage was set for a come-from-behind victory.  It didn’t happen, but unlike with the Mets, it could have.  

 

Stat city:  If baseball had a one-month season, and the month was June, the champions would be the Detroit Tigers, 19-8.  Not far behind: Tampa Bay, the LA Angels and Milwaukee Brewers, 16-10, and the Minnesota Twins, 17-11.  The Twins had the best inter-league record, 14-4; the Tigers and KC Royals both were 13-5.  Overall, AL teams had a 149-102 inter-league mark, Of the 16 NL teams, only the Mets and Reds, 9-6, and the Braves, 8-7, played winning inter-league ball.                           

 

It’s clearly too soon to for Mets fans to consider Johan Santana (7-7, 3.01) a disappointment.  He has a half a season to show he’s much better than a .500 pitcher and perhaps lead the team into legitimate contention.   If you’re a Twins fan, on the other hand, you have to be ecstatic about the performance of one of the four players Minnesota received in return for Santana.  Carlos Gomez is among AL leaders in stolen bases, outfield assists and hits with men in scoring position.  He’s a key reason the Twins are stepping on the heels of the first-place White Sox in the AL Central.  And Carlos is only 22.                       

the_nub archive
The Nub Archive
Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010
Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010 Dec 2010
Jan 2009 Feb 2009 Mar 2009 Apr 2009 May 2009 Jun 2009
Jul 2009 Aug 2009 Sep 2009 Oct 2009 Nov 2009 Dec 2009
Jan 2008 Feb 2008 Mar 2008 Apr 2008 May 2008 Jun 2008
Jul 2008 Aug 2008 Sep 2008 Oct 2008 Nov 2008 Dec 2008
Jul 2007 Aug 2007 Sep 2007 Oct 2007 Nov 2007 Dec 2007
Apr 2007 May 2007 Jun 2007

Dugout Banter (“The Nub”) | Home Plate | Barnstorming Skills
Scouting Reports
Copyright 2007 Perfect Pitch Communications