The Nub

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September 2008 Archive

(Posted  9/27/08)

                                         

In the debate game last night, John McCain kept hitting away, forcing Barack Obama to field his “he doesn’t understand” shots.  But in the overall contest, Team McCain’s no-longer secret weapon is the suicide squeeze.  The candidate has put the play into motion twice – once, late last month, when he brought Sarah Palin up from the Northern League to take second spot in his presidential lineup; then when he put the squeeze on debate organizers in Mississippi, pulling out of that game - temporarily, it turned out - to go to Washington for a bailout-crisis photo-op with the president.

 

Democrats said it was suicide for Team McCain to turn the rookie Palin loose in such an important contest.  But the surprise aspect of the move – and the feistiness of the player - got it off to a good start.  Then the play ran afoul of the financial crisis, stopping Palin’s momentum.  When the crisis showed McCain slipping behind Obama on the polling scoreboard, the veteran competitor decided to pull off his second squeeze.  Laying on a sudden, White House-organized meeting on the crisis was called, among other things, a “tactical gimmick” and “not the behavior of a confident man” by some media observers.

 

At the same time, a NY Times news analysis noted these positive results of McCain’s tricky offensive maneuver:  (His) actions have shaken up the campaign…put him at center stage, permitted him to present himself as putting his country ahead of the campaign…(It also has) put him on deck to…at least be associated with a (bailout deal).”

 

In the debate last night, McCain showed no loss of confidence.  And if , despite his to-ing and fro-ing, he gets credit for helping to get the bailout deal completed, his second squeeze play might work in the end.  As for McCain’s first surprise play, his number two’s out-of-her-depth performance while interviewed by Katie Couric on CBS prompted one viewer to shake her head: “From George Washington to Sarah Palin,” she said. 

                                                -     -     -

The final word on the last three playoff positions probably won’t be in until tomorrow, although the Mets could take fans out of their misery today.  One thing is clear, however – three of the five teams competing for those positions do not deserve to make it into the post-season.  The Mets, Brewers and White Sox have disqualified themselves - it says here - because they could not meet the litmus-test challenge of winning big games in the  crunch-time homestretch.   Although anything can happen in a three-of-five series, any of those three would be justifiably heavy underdogs against their (probable) first-round opponents: Cubs (Mets), Phils (Brewers), Rays (White Sox).  While the NL wild card can’t offer any team better than the Mets or Brewers, the AL Central has an exciting alternative to the Chisox in the Minnesota Twins.   

Before losing to the Marlins last night, the Mets, more revealingly, had to scramble to win Thursday night against a Cubs lineup lacking most of its best hitters, including Alfonso Soriano, Derrick Lee and Aramis Rodriguez.  Lou Piniella, in effect, said “Here is a farewell gift” to the Mets.  In the SNY broadcast booth, Gary Cohen asked Keith Hernandez and Ron Darling, “How do you think they’re going to feel in Milwaukee about this Cubs’ lineup?”  “They’re not going to like it,” said Hernandez, “and they’ll be right to be upset.”   If Piniella plays a similar lineup of call-ups against the Brewers during the rest of the weekend, the Mets’ Shea Stadium sendoff tomorrow will surely be more funeral than celebration. 

 

(Posted: 9/25/08)

 

Their underwhelming performance is one thing, says a local columnist, but “it is their arrogance…that is truly unforgivable.”  Wallace Matthews could be talking about NYC’s  electeds, seeking to extend legislatively their term-limited time in office from eight to 12 years.  But Matthews writes sports for Newsday; he is referring to the Mets.

 

Both the politicos and the ballteam consider themselves special, the electeds because of the savvy they allegedly glean through time in office, the Mets because they are consistently considered legitimate contenders for a pennant or even a World Series championship.  The electeds who claim phenom status are just as off-base as the Mets.

 

Anyone politically attentive knows the longer incumbents remain in office the less responsive they tend to become toward their constituents.  Since the system rewards incumbency with longevity, veteran officeholders need not work as hard as they once did to keep voters happy.  All they must do is remain visible, something they achieve with the help of the media and their own promotional materials.

 

The NY Times reports that 27 of 51 Council members favor extension of term limits.  They know how resistant the public would be if the proposal were passed in-house without a referendum.  So, many are hoping that Mayor Bloomberg will announce he’s going to bat for the extension, ready to use his popularity to rally support for Council action.  Should he make that effort, Bloomberg might find he has overreached. There will surely be a court challenge.  People resent pitchers whose “out” delivery is a hard sell.  Bloomberg heard their boos once before when he pitched hard for the ill-conceived West Side Stadium.  The mayor should also be aware, that, despite having earned MVP status on a tough playing field, no one, not even he, is indispensable.

 

Before taking on the Mets, let’s gather in this lob from left field, then look ahead to the regular season’s decisive last few days:

 

“The federal bailout of the financial market (YAWN) is a calamity that people accept as if it were just one more hurricane.  An air of crisis, the secretary of the Treasury striding down a hall at the Capitol with minions in his wake, solemn-faced congressmen at the microphones.  Something must be done, harrumph harrumph.  The Current Occupant pops out of the cuckoo clock and reads a few lines off a piece of paper, pronouncing all the words correctly.  And the newscaster looks into the camera and says, ‘Etaoin shrdlu qwertyuiop.’  Where is the outrage?” - Garrison Keillor, Salon

 

Although Lou Piniella would surely rather have his Cubs play the Mets than the Dodgers in the first round of the NLDS, he is making it more difficult for the NYMs to gain the playoffs than he will the Brewers, whom the Cubs meet in Milwaukee this weekend.  Where the Mets had to deal with ace Carlos Zambrano in last night’s debacle, and will face Lou’s number 2 starter Rich Harden tonight, the Brewers will only get the Cubs’ middle- and back-of-rotation guys – Ryan Dempster, Ted Lilly and Jason Marquis. The Twins now have a good shot to overtake the White Sox and meet the Rays in what would be a Cinderella AL playoff.  The Red Sox-Angels series will, nevertheless, be the no-contest central attraction of the four playoff pairings.  The Phillies still don’t know if they’ll be playing host to the Dodgers or the Brewers.  Mets fans are praying the opponent in Philadelphia will be Joe Torre’s team.

 

Media people must take the rap for the annual overselling of the Mets.  Early in the year, they allowed the acquisition of Johan Santana to blind themselves to gaping holes on the team’s roster.  The consequence now is what fatalistic fans can see coming: where, last year, the post-collapse lament was “If only we had had some young reinforcements,” this year it will be “If only we had had a bullpen.” 

 

The blame game last year centered on Willie Randolph.  This time around the fall guy has to be Omar Minaya, he the recipient of a four-year contract extension.  Omar let the 2008 team compete with only two semi-reliable backups to Billy Wagner.  One was the shaky Scott Schoeneweis, who demonstrated early that he never should have received a three-year, $10 million-plus contract; the other, Aaron Heilman, was still an unpredictable work-in-progress as a reliever.  As we know, both would-be alternatives fizzled badly.  Omar is in danger of being labeled the Mets’ “If only” GM.

 

Let’s give a last word on the team today to Governor David Paterson: “The Mets' bullpen is going to kill me.  "It's not the budget, it's not AIG, it's not the Federal Reserve -- it's the Mets' bullpen.”

 

(Posted: 9/23/08)

 

While the U.S bailout play was dramatizing the dimensions of the system’s disastrous capitalist error, our diplomatic traveling team was attracting unwelcome attention on a political playing field in Bolivia.  The game there, ironically, has to do with an effort to spread wealth downward instead of, as is happening in the U.S., redistributing dollars from the average fan up to the big, blundering financial players.      

 

Team Bush is accused of “meddling” in a secessionist game designed by anti-government leaders in Bolivia’s mineral-rich provinces to stop President Evo Morales from, among other things, sharing the resource profits with the rest of the country.  Bush’s recently expelled ambassador denies his team has taken the anti-Morales side in the dispute, just as our Venezuelan envoy denied we were complicit in the 2002 aborted coup of Hugo Chavez.  The record book, of course, documents U.S. interventions in Latin America throughout the last century – almost always on the same “right” side against would-be redistributers.

 

In the current secessionist game, Morales has assembled a potent nine to help him take on his domestic opponents and what he calls the “Empire.”  The lineup:  Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia (yes, even our staunchest regional ally), Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay, Venezuela.  Thus, the suspicion of U.S. mischief has served to reinforce growing collective resistance to gringo influence in South America.   

 

Our current financial crisis may add to the trend, further dimming the aura of inevitable Yanqui dominance, as has happened to the team in the Bronx.

                                     

Lob from Left Field:  “The lobbyists and corporate lawyers, the heads of financial firms and the crooks who control Wall Street, all those who spent the last three decades assuring us that government was part of the problem and should get out of the way, are now busy looting the U.S. treasury. They are also working feverishly inside the Democratic and Republican parties to blunt any effective regulatory reform as they pass on their distressed assets to us. The process is stunning in its hubris and mendacity, and two of the most potent enablers of this unprecedented act of corporate welfare are John McCain and Barack Obama.

“The federal government, reeling backward from the meltdown of financial markets, is now considering taking responsibility for the bad assets of numerous financial companies. But if that intervention does not include robust new mechanisms of regulation, accountability and control we will see nothing more than a massive taxpayer-funded bailout of stockholders and the financial industry.  The rhetoric of the two presidential candidates about the crisis has been filled with pious outrage about the abuses of Wall Street and short on actual solutions.  John McCain and Barack Obama know, after all, who funds their campaigns…” – Chris Hedges, TruthDig.com

                                                   -     -     -

Looking at last night’s action that counted:  Arizona moved to within two games of the idle Dodgers in the NL West.  The D-backs defeated the Cardinals behind Brandon Webb, in a game they had to win to keep their hopes of overtaking LA alive.  Tampa Bay jumped two-and-a-half ahead of Boston (three games in the loss column) by beating Baltimore, while Cleveland edged the Sox.  As for the Mets, they’re now just a game ahead of the Brewers for the wild card after losing to the Cubs.  The Phillies, victorious over Atlanta. are now two-and-a-half ahead for the NL East title.   “The Phils are not going to come back,” said Keith Hernandez on SNY last night.  “The Mets are going to have to go at least five-and-two to hope to catch them.”  Change that to five and one (and even then…).

 

(Possibly premature) epitaph for ’08 Mets:  Any team that can neither fight back nor tack on does not deserve to make the playoffs.  A three-run deficit in the first inning (usually, with Pedro pitching, or a five-run deficit in the fourth, as happened last night), and the Mets are dead.  A three-run lead at mid-game and the Mets are finished scoring.   Never mind the lack of a bullpen: A team that can’t find a spark when behind or ahead would stand little, if any, chance in the post-season.

 

Is it a bad time to be opening new stadiums?  Sports economist Andrew Zimbalist (quoted by Newsday’s Ken Davidoff) indicates the Yanks and Mets may find it is: “The baseball model… since about 1990, has been to cater to the more rapidly growing income groups.  The corporate executives, the top people in the financial sector, to make money off corporate suites and club suites. These are the population sectors that are getting hit hard right now.  It seems to me logical that (this) model is going to be taking… a hit.”

 

(Posted: 9/20/08)

 

Leading off today, pinch-hitter Gretchen Morgenson of the NY Times:

 

“SO, ladies and gentlemen, how does it feel to be the new owner of those two big and banged-up mortgage companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Not exactly the kind of real estate you were looking to buy, you say? Felt you had swallowed enough garbage after the Bear Stearns bailout tapped you for $29 billion?

 

“Make no mistake: we, the American taxpayers, are amassing quite a portfolio of flotsam and jetsam in the mortgage bust.  It certainly brings new meaning to the notion of an ownership society, doesn’t it?”

 

Morgenson, hitting the long ball, neglected to note additional items in the portfolios of NYC taxpayers:  the glitzy replacements for Yankee and Shea Stadiums, both being built -  as has been noted many times - with the help of millions of tax dollars.

 

To reiterate further:  The Yankees are shedding promotional crocodile tears about the imminent dismantling of the “cathedral” of baseball, (“This is the very last time Mussina will be leaving the mound in the stadium,” Suzyn Waldman informed radio listeners of the game the other night) It’s a desecration that could have been avoided through an upgrading of the existing ballpark.  The city has been complicit in the public-be-damned project; in addition to benefiting the Yankees through subsidies and dubious financial bookkeeping now under investigation in Washington, NYC allowed the team to take over 22 acres of neighboring public parkland.  Although required to provide replacement park space as part of the deal, the city is putting many of the new facilities on the roofs of parking garages instead.

Assemblyman Richard Brodsky, who has monitored the Bronx project as a member of the state legislature’s Sports Development Committee, summed up the boondoggle at the construction site the other day: "This stadium is being built by the people of the city and the state of New York,” he said, “and in return they are getting almost nothing.  This deal does not serve the peoples' interest.  It serves the Yankees' interest."

The same can be said for the Citi Field project in Willets Point project; it serves the Mets’ interest.  The public there, as at the new stadium, will be priced out of the best seats, and second, third and fourth-best, as well.  Tickets to games at both new parks will, by and large, be sold at corporate expense-account rates (cost of single-game best ticket at the new Stadium: $2,500.00!).  The average fan can either be content to sit far from home plate, or at his home, watching on TV.   And he can thank our elected officials, beginning with Mayor Bloomberg and Council Speaker Christine Quinn for cooperating in the betrayal.

                                               -     -     -

Five of 30 teams still fighting for three playoff berths – a realistic estimate - on the eve of the final week of the season.  The White Sox must hope that home-field advantage means little at this point: they’ll be playing five of their last eight away – two in Kansas City and three big ones at Minnesota before finishing at home against Cleveland.  The Twins get home for their last six, three against the White Sox and a final three hosting KC.  But first Ron Gardenhire’s team has two more tough ones at Tampa Bay.  There is no playing-field edge in the NL East - the Phils, Brewers and Mets all finish at home.   After playing two more with the Marlins in Florida , the Phillies are home for three each with the Braves and Nationals.  The Brewers finish their road schedule at Cincinnati today and tomorrow before playing three each with the Pirates and Cubs at Miller Park.

 

The Mets have two more games against the Braves in what for the NYM’s is the quicksand of Turner Field.  Then comes four against the killer-Cubs at Shea, followed by a hold-your-breath series with the Marlins.  Could it be any worse than last year for Mets fans?  How about twice as bad – losing both the division and the wild card?

                          

Stat city:  The five teams still contending for three playoff spots have a total of 10 blue-chip starting pitchers, a reasonable designation for starters who, going into last night’s games, were among the ML’s statistical top 50.  The teams each with three blue-chippers – the Phils and White Sox – should have an edge in the last week.  The Mets have two, which might give them a shot, the Brewers and Twins, one each, which could make them long-shots. 

 

Here are the pitchers, team by team, with their places in the numerical order:  Phils – Cole Hamels, number 2; Denny Moyer, 41; Bret Myers, 44.  White Sox – Javier Vazquez, 15; Mark Buehrle, 18; Gavin Floyd, 35.  Mets – Johan Santana, 3; Mike Pelfrey, 33.  Brewers - Ben Sheets, 23.  Twins – Nick Blackburn, 47.  The Brewers have an additional challenge: Sheets is questionable, owing to an aching elbow.  (But the Brewers do have a genuine stud, C.C. Sabathia, obtained from Cleveland in July.  He is unaccountably unlisted in the combined AL/NL rundown.)

 

 

(Posted: 9/18/08)

 

It’s been an eventful sorting-out week in baseball and politics.

 

With seven of eight playoff spots now filled, or virtually so (the White Sox and Phillies look to be locks in the AL Central and NL East), many savvy observers foresee a Red Sox-Angels AL championship series, with the winner going on to the World Series title.  The NL titlist – possibly the Cubs – isn’t projected to have much of a chance against the AL survivor. 

 

The economy’s losing streak has introduced a dramatic change in the dynamic of the presidential contest.  The buzz fodder - lipstick, celebrities, computer savvy - has been shoveled off the campaign field to make room for a single issue: how the country can turn back the threat of hard times.  It’s an issue that transcends race, gender, religion.  The slogan version you may remember: “It’s the economy, stupid.”

 

Washington Post columnist E.J. Dionne says these days working class people of all ideological stripes are becoming aware of the distinction between “tax policies geared to the wealthy investing class” and those “toward the paycheck crowd.”  It’s why he thinks the eco-crisis is so presidentially significant:

For some time, McCain's strategists figured they could deflect attention from the big issues by …launching so many ill-founded attacks on Obama that the truth would never catch up.  The approach of the McCain strategists reflected a low opinion of average voters and some Obama supporters began worrying they might be right.

“But those so-called average voters understand the difference between low- and high-stakes elections ... The stakes in this year's election went way up this week.  The days of…(attack-dog) exploitation…are over. “

Political analyst Charlie Cook, using a basketball analogy in the National Journal, sees a new trend as almost inevitable: While managing the economy is not exactly Obama's strong suit, it does pull the focus even further away from national security, McCain's strength.  It would seem a better bet that this jump ball would be more likely go toward the team that hasn't been in power, and the edge would go to Obama.”

                                                -     -     -

Last night’s loss to the Rays means the Red Sox may have a last, big obstacle to winning the division and avoiding the Angels in the first round.  The Rays don’t have an easy remaining schedule – four games each with Minnesota, Baltimore and Detroit.  But the Sox must play three with Toronto and four with suddenly tough Cleveland before facing a Yankees team spoiling to be spoilers.

Bad financial judgments - paying big, long-term money to fragile or unproductive players - is why the Mets are the Lehman Brothers of baseball: bankrupt of the resources - relief pitchers, mainly - needed to survive into the playoffs.  The Phillies, on the other hand, have Brad Lidge, one of the ML’s best closers, ready to wrap up victories.  The battle for the division should rightfully be considered no contest.  If the Mets lose the wild card as well, fans can console themselves with this thought:  their holes-ridden team would not have made it out of the first round. 

Lots of culprits in the Mets’ latest collapse; among them, says SI’s John Donovan, is the man who should be their table-setter: Jose Reyes’ two-for-four (with a HR and SB) last night was long overdue, as Donovan pointed out yesterday Though still considered one of the most electric talents in the game, a blend of speed and skills and all-around baseball awesomeness, Reyes is pulling off a second straight disappearing act in the Mets' push for a playoff spot.  And, once again, it's taking the knees out of the Mets, whose standing is awfully shaky as it is.

“This month, (Reyes was) hitting just .204 with a miserable .283 on-base percentage in the first 13 games.  That'd be alarming enough on its own.  It's positively shocking when you compare it to Reyes circa 2007.  Last year, as the Mets frittered away a seven-game lead and missed out on the playoffs, Reyes was equally as bad, hitting .205 with a .279 OBP In 27 September games.”

 

(Posted: 9/13/08)

 

The other night at Fenway Park, ESPN’s Peter Gammons wondered why baseball compromised its own “integrity” by allowing rosters to be expanded during the crucial climax of the season.  It’s not right, he said, that add-on players should give some teams an edge, influencing the outcome of season-long pennant races.

 

Many media observers have wondered similarly about the compromised integrity of political journalists.  Why can’t they simply report in a balanced way without injecting “analysis” into accounts that tilt their coverage in one direction or another?  The problem is particularly prevalent in this election campaign.  It’s a time when many journalists don’t want to do journalism.  They want to be players in the political strategy game.

 

Thus, much of what we read and hear about the campaigns has to do, less with the substance of what the candidates are saying, than with the impact the reporter thinks the rivals are having on the voters.  That’s the job of consultants, says Jamison Foser of Media Matters, not journalists:

 

“A reader doesn't need The Washington Post to tell her whether she feels a ‘connection’ with Barack Obama or John McCain.  If the reader cares about ‘connections’ with candidates, the reader knows far better than the Post whether she feels one.  The ’analysis’ is perhaps marginally interesting as cocktail party chatter; as journalism, it is pointless vanity and role-playing -- if reporters want to be campaign managers, they should go do that.  But if they want to be journalists, they should start by giving their customers important information they can't get on their own -- like helping them (figure out) the…differences between the candidates’ plans.”

 

The Post’s syndicated columnist E.J. Dionne amplified the point yesterday, concluding with a pertinent warning to Obama and his team:

The campaign is a blur of flying pieces of junk, lipstick and gutter-style attacks.  John McCain's deceptions about Barack Obama's views and Sarah Palin's flip-flopping suggest an unedifying scuffle over a city council seat.  The media bear a heavy responsibility because "balance" does not require giving equal time to truth and lies.

“McCain has shown he wants the presidency so badly that he's willing to say anything…to win power.  Obama can win by fighting for what he believes.  What he can't do is wait for the media to call McCain out.”

                                                   -     -     -

We’ll all wait a long time before baseball beat writers call the MLB out for this interference with the sport’s integrity: allowing the wealthier teams (usually) to pick off star players from other rosters before the July 31 inter-league trading deadline.   The Dodgers and Brewers might have made the playoffs without Manny Ramirez and C.C. Sabathia.  And they should have had to - it says here - to establish a fair measure of how well organizations prepare for the season.  That’s not to say in-season trades should be barred; only blockbusters in which contenders strip away players with high current value from struggling teams.  Why, for example, should Pittsburgh fans who invested in seeing Jason Bay and Xavier Nady, be left to watch lesser lights for the last third of the season?     

If owners cared to show a faint sign of fairness in their sadly unequal universe, they would require that stars remain in season-long alignment with their teams.                                 

                            

 Two trades - one on July 31, the other pre-season - have transformed a pair of GMs from goats to geniuses.  Fans in LA and NY were ready to ride Ned Colletti and Omar Minaya out of town for not doing enough to make their teams contenders. That changed, first, when Minaya wangled Johan Santana away from the Twins late last winter. Then, at midsummer, Colletti may have saved his job by latching on to Manny in the three-way deal with the Red Sox and Bucs.  Going into last night’s game, Ramirez was batting just under .400, with 14 home runs and on-base-percentage of just under .500.  Those figures - compiled in six weeks - tell a big part of the story of the Dodgers’ surge to the top of the NL West.  If the Mets avoid a repeat of their ’07 September collapse, it will be because they have a stopper they didn’t have last year - and a great one in Santana.  Johan has proved to be a workhorse as well as a winner - more than 30 games and 200 innings already accounted for, with many big challenges ahead.                                    

 

 

(Posted: 9/11/08)

 

If you’re a Mets fan or an Obama supporter, your middle name is “Trepidation.”  Your teams are ahead - of the Phillies and Team McCain - but…

 

The Mets were well ahead a year ago, we remember all too well; and Al Gore and John Kerry seemed victory-bound in 2000 and 2004.  But just as was their teams’ earlier fate, both contenders are bedeviled now by the sound of footsteps: the Mets, trying again to fight off the Phillies, have lost their closer Billy Wagner and fifth starter John Maine; Team Obama was knocked off stride by the appearance of McCain’s surprising new relief pitcher Sarah Palin.

 

How big an impact does Palin’s presence portend?  NY Timesman Frank Rich put it this way the other day: “The Palin choice was brilliant politics - not because it rallied the G.O.P.’s shrinking religious-right base.  America loves nothing more than a new celebrity face,… McCain operatives are hoping to ensure that whatever happened in Alaska with Sarah Palin stays in Alaska.  Given how little vetting McCain himself has received this year…they just might pull it off. “ 

 

The “new celebrity face” factor scored big in Dayton, Ohio, this week.  An appearance by McCain and Palin drew 5,600; Obama could only attract 700 in Dayton at around the same time.

 

Frank Rich’s righty Times teammate David Brooks thinks McCain is scoring, as well, by playing up the unpredictable aspect of his game: “The maverick theme allows McCain to talk directly about character.   Obama can hint at his values when he describes his tax cuts and health care plans, but he is indirect.  Most voters, especially ones who decide late, vote character over policies.”

 

Team Obama’s necessary double-play strategy:  seek to persuade voters that McCain is “more of the same” masquerading as a maverick, and that, in Palin, McCain has confused a relief pitcher with a foul ball.

                                                      -     -     -

The Mets are looking good after their two-game sweep of the Nationals.  But the going gets tough from now on.  It’s no secret that Pedro Martinez is the shaky reed on which the team must lean if it is to make the playoffs.  Presumably Pedro will only have three scheduled starts as the Mets begin their fateful final 17 straight games (the period in which they collapsed last year) tomorrow.  Jerry Manuel will have him pitch Saturday against the Braves, then, likely, next Thursday, the 18th, at Washington, and Tuesday, the 23d, at home against the Cubs.  If the season finale, Sunday, the 28th, against Florida, is decisive, it’s safe to say Manuel will send someone other than Pedro to the hill.  Unless, that is, the future Hall-of-Famer surprises everybody and - impossible dream? - recaptures some of his old magic when the Mets need it most.

 

Josh Beckett demonstrated last night he has rounded back into top form just when Tito Francona needs him most - for the final push to the playoffs and the post-season.  The Rays are battling Boston valiantly for the top spot in the AL East, playing without injured stars Carl Crawford and Evan Longoria.  But, last night’s victory notwithstanding, it will be a surprise if Tampa Bay beats out the loaded Bosox for the division title.

                                  

The Diamondbacks couldn’t have picked a worse time to go 0-6 on the road.  The Giants gave the surging NL West-leading Dodgers (now three-and-a-half ahead) a big assist by completing their sweep of Arizona yesterday.  Meanwhile, Houston has snuck into a tie with the Phillies, four games behind Milwaukee in the NL wild card race.

                                          

 

(Posted: 9/9/08)

 

The Palin pop-fly that dropped into the presidential contest distracted fans from a double defeat suffered by Team Bush on the international field.  The defeats - involving NATO and the U.S. global reputation - occurred while America was still playing extra innings in Iraq and Afghanistan.    

 

The loss Team Bush suffered in Russia’s farm system bailiwick around Georgia was well publicized; the dimensions of that defeat were not.  At least, not unless fans read a game wrap submitted by an American observer not far from the playing field.  Europe-based William Pfaff of the International Herald Tribune described the hit taken by U.S. affiliate NATO in the first part of the double defeat:

When a tool is used for the wrong purpose, it may break. NATO has now been broken because it was used by the United States and the European NATO members as a tool for expanding western power…(against) Russia(…)

 

“NATO has been conducting this (expansionist) policy towards Russia on the assumption that Russia is too intimidated by western military power to resist.  Now Russia has done so, in Georgia. The bluff has been called.  The sham of the NATO guarantee has collapsed.”

 

Pfaff then made clear that Russia’s standing up to Team Bush led to the second and more devastating defeat; he used the record book to put it into context:

 

“Today the situation is the reverse of 1948-1950.  Russia is not an ideological power.  It has no doctrine to sell.  Its preoccupations are prosperity and power.  Vladimir Putin has no wish to subvert and rule the United States or Europe.  He just doesn’t want NATO’s candidates biting his ankles.  He wants level-headed governments on his borders who don’t make trouble for Russia.  But that is perfectly, if regrettably, normal…

 

“Today the world’s only expansionist ideological power is the United States, aggressively pushing everywhere, persuading, promoting, and even invading countries for ‘democracy.’ It wants to make everyone democratic ‘like us,’ which in the end means to do as we want them to do…This makes the U.S. the…aggressive nation in the world today, the one with a ’global ideology,’ with military power to back it up.  This frightens people.  When the power doesn’t work as intended, as in the Caucasus, it (especially)…frighten(s) the ones who have bet on the U.S. to advance their own agendas.  That is what is changing the geopolitical map.”

 

Pfaff says Team Bush plays up its ideology as “generous,” while working on “control” – of “energy resources, raw materials, trade and finances.”  He might also have mentioned that the drive for democracy - or “freedom” -always seems to yield generous results for U.S. armsmakers.

                                               -     -     -

The bad news for Mets fans is that their team is almost certainly going to have to do it without either Billy Wagmer or John Maine.  The good news is the team spirit (so absent a year ago) apparently typified by Pedro Feliciano’s message to Jerry Manuel after the team lost two straight to the Phillies:  “Nobody’s scared, nobody’s scared.”

 

The Yankees brass may be a little unsettled at the possibility Joe Torre will make the playoffs with the Dodgers while his replacement Joe Girardi couldn’t work a miracle with the pinstripers.  Girardi will be cut less slack if the Yanks fail to rouse themselves for a respectable finish.  

 

The AL final four shapes up as Red Sox, Rays, White Sox and Angels.  Only one other team - Minnesota - seems to have a shot.  The Twins’ main chance after losing 10 of 15 is to overtake the White Sox in the AL Central.  But the Globe’s Nick Cafardo finds that will be a tough challenge: One major league scout reasons that the Twins' young pitching staff might be hitting a wall. ‘You can see the fatigue in their body language and not finishing off pitches and not repeating their deliveries as consistently,’ said the scout. ’That's what happens with young pitchers when they get tired’.”

 

The White Sox have a challenge of their own: Carlos Quentin, who has been their unlikely sparkplug, is out for the season with a wrist injury. A late-summer trade that brought Ken Griffey to the Chisox may help neutralize the loss of Quentin.  GM Ken Williams surely hopes that will be case, although he told Cafardo he thought at the time that Griffey would be of more supplemental use:  "Brought Griff in for the offense he could bring, but also because of the hunger factor.  He and Jim Thome have never won a championship. I think that desire and hunger will hopefully rub off on the rest of our guys."      

 

 

(Posted: 9/6/08)

 

A year ago, as the Mets were preparing for their late-September swoon, manager Willie Randolph was getting bad press for lack of communication.  “The players don’t know where they stand,” went the complaint.  “Carlos Delgado has no idea if he’ll make the lineup, and, if so, where.”

 

Another manager - elected to run New York City - is hearing a similar gripe these days.  Elected officials – current and former - including candidates for citywide offices, are calling on Mayor Bloomberg to “clarify” where he stands on term limits.  Those limits, endorsed twice by voters, stipulate that NYC’s elected political players can earn no more than two four-year contracts; after eight years, they must leave the field.

 

Skipper Mike has hinted he would go to bat for a four-year contract extension for himself and everybody.  Instead of stopping such talk before it reaches the plate, many Council members, giddy with the thought that the popular mayor could sell the idea to their constituents, are assuming a stance of helplessness.  “Tell us where we stand, Mike.” they’re saying.  Translated: “Will you give us cover by asking us to amend the law legislatively?”  Bronx bomber Olly Koppell thinks that Bloomberg-based cover already exists: he plans to ask his Council teammates to vote themselves the right to four more years in the next few weeks.   

 

Koppell is trying to nudge Speaker Christine Quinn to take charge of the rally to keep incumbents in office awhile longer.  Until Bloomberg started flashing signals, Quinn was swinging away in support of term limits.  Now she’s playing Willie Randolph’s - and Mike’s - game of not communicating.  The kind of leadership that sent Willie to the showers for good. 

 

Quinn should challenge her team members to stand firm and wield their power the way the people want them to.  Tony Avella, Queens product and leadoff man in the current mayoral contest, hit the rhetorical ball out of the park when he said: “Why not say ‘no matter what the mayor does, we are not going to entertain this’?” Why not, indeed?

                            -     -     -

When the dust cleared after a couple of midweek AL series, the Red Sox had all but locked up no worse than a wild card berth.  After the Sox swept Baltimore and Toronto did the same to Minnesota, Boston was six games in the loss column ahead of the Twins in the wild card race.  If that’s still the margin at the end of this weekend, when the MLB regular-season sked will be down to 20 games or less, the fourth AL playoff position will be the imminent property of either the Sox or the Rays. 

 

In an early post-mortem of the team’s playoffs-less season, the Yankees brass consider the likes of Jacoby Ellsbury, Jed Lowrie and Dustin Pedroia painful reminders.  The team’s player development people concede that they overemphasized recruitment of pitchers at the expense of the type of young position players Boston signed.  They further acknowledge there’s no position player near the top of the farm system pipeline that could be of help to the Yanks next season.  

 

There’s no legitimate young second baseman with upside ML potential in the Mets’ pipeline.  Nevetheless, the team has signaled it will cut its losses with oft-injured Luis Castillo.  Castillo will be owed $18.75 million over the next three years – dividend of a disastrously bad $25 million contract Omar Minaya gave him.  Chances are the team will have to eat most of that money to find a taker for over-the-hill Luis.

 

Important as the Mets-Phils series is to the teams and their fans, it is not the most meaningful matchup of the weekend.  That designation goes to the Diamondbacks-Dodgers series, the last three times the two prime NL West rivals will play each other. 

In the AL Central, the Twins, playing the Tigers, have a chance to gain ground on, if not overtake, the White Sox, who must deal with the Angels

 

 

(Posted: 9/4/08)

 

“The early returns I am hearing…suggest that McCain's gambit (of choosing Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as running mate) may prove to be a home run for Obama.” – William Greider, The Nation

 

Baseball metaphors lend themselves to the recent vice-presidential selections.  Barack Obama happened to follow the Mets’ lead of deciding to try to win with an experienced player.  Where the Mets imported Johan Santana from Minnesota, Obama tapped veteran Joe Biden, a Senate teammate from Delaware.  McCain went the Yankees route.  Just as Brian Cashman gambled that youthful pitchers Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy and Joba Chamberlain would help lead the team to the playoffs, McCain is pinning his presidential hopes in large measure on a rookie to the political big time from the Northern League.

 

The Mets are no sure bet to win in their division, but the Yankees have clearly lost their gamble on youth.  Even McCain supporters, such as NY Times columnist David Brooks, worry publicly that Palin is a poor, if not fatal, Yankees-like choice:

 

“If McCain is elected, he will face conditions tailor-made to foster disorder. He will be leading a divided and philosophically exhausted party… He will confront Democratic majorities that will be enraged and recriminatory…

 

“He really needs someone to impose a policy structure on his moral intuitions. He needs a very senior person who can organize a vast administration..,He needs a near-equal who can turn his instincts, which are great, into a doctrine that everybody else can predict and understand…

 

“Palin, for all her gifts, is not (that person). She underlines McCain’s strength without compensating for his weaknesses. The real second fiddle job is still unfilled.”

                                       -     -     -

The Yankees are exposing Tampa Bay’s patched seams as they click at last.  A ball Eric Hinske couldn’t catch, but DL-bound Carl Crawford would have easily, gave the Yanks an early lead last night.  Then, later, Manny Aybar, subbing for injured Evan Longoria, hit into a double play with tying runs on the loaded bases.

 

Al Leiter, on SNY, chastised Carl Pavano when the pitcher responded with visible disgust to a failed catch by Johnny Damon: “(Pavano) should know better than to show up a teammate.”  Most impressive sight on an impressive afternoon in Milwaukee for the Mets:  the spirited, fist-bumping, “lets-get-‘em” exchanges of players and manager in dugout before the game.

 

Jonathan Niese is clearly not the fifth starter the Mets will need over the last 22 games of the season.  One difference between this season and last is that the manager will not allow a repeat of asking an untested call-up to start clutch-time games.  Remember Philip Humber being sent out to make his first start the last week of ’07, and falling on his face?  Jerry Manuel hinted he was unhappy giving the 21-year-old Niese the start Tuesday night:  “This…is not a time to be grooming…people for years to come,” he said before the game.  “We’re in a pennant race, and we’re going to put the best people out there.”  Asked after the game what his “gut” was telling him about future Niese appearances, Manuel said tersely: “My gut isn’t talking to me right now.”

 

The Rockies, who had won seven of 10, lost a chance to gain ground on Arizona in the NL West yesterday.  Instead, they lost a game when they bowed to Barry Zito and the Giants while the D-backs edged the Cardinals.  Defending NL champion Colorado had moved to within five games of the division lead; the margin is now six. 

 

Wingless Orioles:  Baltimore has gone 2-11 since August 20, when stopper George Sherrill went on the DL with a sore shoulder.  And that’s not all: ace Jeremy Guthrie had to be scratched from yesterday’s game against the Red Sox because of a dead arm.  The O’s, who on July 4 were four games above .500 and in the thick of the AL East race, now are 13 games below that mark and deep in the division cellar. 

 

 

(Posted 9/2/08)

 

In the season of "meaningful games," Atlanta may be missing from the playoff race, but there's a contest involving the "other" Georgia on the international political playing field.  Team Bush and Team Putin, aka USA and Russia, have been facing off over who should control two farm teams - South Ossetia and Abhkazia - in the Georgian area.  Russia used military force to stop Georgia from taking over the two provincial teams, despite US protests and warnings.  Then, in defiance of Bush, Team Putin endorsed the independence of each contested province. 

 

While the US cries foul, major players in Europe have sided either for or against the tough Bush position.  Here is a partial lineup: Britain, for; Holland, for; Poland, for;   

Belgium, against; France, against; Germany, against; Italy, against

 

How meaningful a political game this has become can be gleaned from these analyses from today’s main pinch-hitters, two Europe-based columnists - first, the International Herald Tribune's William Pfaff, then the UK Guardian's Seumas Milne:

 

"The crisis has been a turning point in current international relations because it demonstrated that the United States could not or would not defend Georgia, despite the widespread international impression that Washington, after having trained Georgia’s troops and showily displayed the Saakashvili government as its protégé, was in some way implicated in the Georgian attack on South Ossetia, and on the Russian soldiers legally there under international mandate."  (Pfaff)

 

"The days when one power was able to bestride the globe like a colossus, enforcing its will in every continent, challenged only by popular movements for national independence and isolated "rogue states", are now over. For nearly two decades… the U.S. has exercised unprecedented and unaccountable global power, arrogating to itself and its allies the right to invade and occupy other countries, untroubled by international law or institutions, sucking ever more states into the orbit of its voracious military alliance.

 

“Now, pumped up with petrodollars, Russia has called a halt to this relentless expansion and demonstrated that the US writ doesn't run in every backyard.  And although it has been a regional, not a global, challenge, this object lesson in the new limits of American power has already been absorbed from central Asia to Latin America."  (Milne)

 

The implications domestically are sobering indeed, as Robert Scheer suggests in TruthDig.com:

 “Sen. John McCain…thrills to a repeat of the danger lines of the Cold War, and now stands a good chance of being our next president.  A very good chance, if the Russian recognition of the independence of two breakaway Georgia provinces can be elevated to the status of a major challenge to the security of the United States.  It is an absurd claim: How can one justify uncritical support for the independence of Kosovo from Serbia earlier this year while denouncing a similar claim by a Georgian ethnic minority? It is also difficult to ignore that it was Georgia's president and close McCain friend, Mikheil Saakashvili, who upset the status quo by invading first…McCain can win only as a war president

                                                   -     -     -

The Mets, who finished Labor Day two games ahead of the Phillies in the NL East, can be taken seriously - it says here – if 21-year-old emergency starter Jonathan Niese holds his own against the tough Brewers tonight.  The Mets can become favorites to beat the Phils only if Billy Wagner returns as closer, fully recovered from his injured left elbow. 

Whether that’s a realistic possibility should be clear later this week.

 

Impossible dream dept:  The Yankees gained a half-game on the idle Rays yesterday.  All they have to do is sweep the Rays over the next three games, then sweep Seattle in three more, continuing to win almost ad infinitum to get back in the playoff race.  Impossible?  To paraphrase the French, “Impossible is not a Yankees word.”  Or hasn’t been in the past. 

 

Fans outside Red Sox Nation may have been surprised by the emergence into super-star status of Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia.  After last night’s winning game in Baltimore, Pedroia was batting .327, fourth in the majors, and fourth in the AL in fielding with a .990 pct.  White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen is a recent Pedroia-enthusiast.  He explained why to the Globe’s Nick Cafardo: "This kid...puts you under a lot of pressure.  He's the type of player that keeps coming and coming.  You don't want to see this kid...with the go-ahead run on base and he's at the plate. "

An unidentified general manager told the NY Post’s Kevin Kernan that Pedroia represented a missing Yankees ingredient.  Kernan put it this way:  The difference in the Red Sox and Yankees can be diagrammed in many ways, but the difference at second base between Dustin Pedroia, who is batting fourth for the Red Sox lately, and Cano, in style and substance, is dramatic.

"’The key (said the GM) is you have to find players like Pedroia, who really want to win. Those kind of players are getting harder to find’."

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